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Gallup: R-51/O-45
Gallup ^ | 10/20 | Gallup

Posted on 10/20/2012 10:08:03 AM PDT by tatown

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No change! So much for the Obama 'better numbers'.
1 posted on 10/20/2012 10:08:08 AM PDT by tatown
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To: tatown

Today’s Gallup update - Romney still up 6; up 2 among registered voters; Obama’s net job approval down another point.
Probably really plus 4 or so nationwide, giving as much credence as they deserve to other pollsters.


2 posted on 10/20/2012 10:08:39 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg

I believe that’s four days over 50%. No static in this result. It’s the real deal. I bet Zogby’s crying!


3 posted on 10/20/2012 10:09:38 AM PDT by Viennacon
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To: tatown

I can breathe easy for another 21 1/2 hours.


4 posted on 10/20/2012 10:09:49 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: tatown

I expected a narrowing in this poll today, so this is a surprise.


5 posted on 10/20/2012 10:10:23 AM PDT by TonyInOhio ("But, the Obama has no clothes!")
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To: Viennacon

Maybe Nate Silver can hold him.


6 posted on 10/20/2012 10:10:46 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: tatown

Americans have figured out that Hussein should never have been put inthea job for which is is manifestly unsuited.


7 posted on 10/20/2012 10:10:46 AM PDT by BenLurkin (This is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire; or both)
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To: tatown
This corresponds very closely with Rasmussen's just released swing state poll.


8 posted on 10/20/2012 10:11:46 AM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: tatown

Bambi bump: not optimal.


9 posted on 10/20/2012 10:12:18 AM PDT by rfp1234
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To: Perdogg

I think the collective fear in here about this being a Gallup ‘setup’ is wrong. Gallup is using the turnout model they expect to be reality on Nov 6 and using that model Romney is walking away with this thing.

If other pollsters were using models closer to 2004 rather than 2008 the RCP average would be 6+ in favor of Romney (not counting the eventual allocation of un decideds).


10 posted on 10/20/2012 10:13:09 AM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: tatown
In 2000 Russert said “Florida,Florida,Florida”.This year it could well be “Ohio,Ohio,Ohio”.
11 posted on 10/20/2012 10:14:01 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive)
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To: tatown

If Gallup is accurate this race really might be over


12 posted on 10/20/2012 10:15:31 AM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: Perdogg

Haha! Doesn’t mean I’ll sleep too well though.


13 posted on 10/20/2012 10:15:46 AM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: TonyInOhio

>> “I expected a narrowing in this poll today, so this is a surprise.” <<

.
The reported numbers were already ‘narrowed’ by Gallup.

The real numbers are more like 55 - 39.


14 posted on 10/20/2012 10:16:27 AM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: Viennacon
Consistency deflates the claim of Gallup being "an outlier." Reason for increasing confidence.
15 posted on 10/20/2012 10:18:17 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Gay State Conservative

>> This year it could well be “Ohio,Ohio,Ohio”. <<

.
Or “Michigan, Michigan, Michigan.”


16 posted on 10/20/2012 10:18:35 AM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: Gay State Conservative

Or Wisconsin, Wisconsin, Wisconsin : http://goo.gl/gWkyR


17 posted on 10/20/2012 10:19:22 AM PDT by Arthurio
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To: tatown

Obama is today 46 with registered voters; 45 with likely voters. 2 1/2 weeks before the election. Even is Gallop is undershooting Obama’s support by a couple points, these are just terrible numbers for an incumbent.


18 posted on 10/20/2012 10:19:41 AM PDT by BCrago66
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To: tatown
Don't relax people. From The Blaze: Here Are the 4 Surprise Signs That Obama Could Still Win the 2012 Election. Scary. Romney could win the popular but lose the electoral.

Ohio!

Fight for America!

19 posted on 10/20/2012 10:19:57 AM PDT by Art in Idaho (Conservatism is the only hope for Western Civilization.)
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To: editor-surveyor

or Wisconsin, Wisconsin, Wisconsin...Wisconsin + Iowa = Ohio, or Wisconsin + NH = Ohio in terms of what we need to get Romney to 270 the way the map looks now.


20 posted on 10/20/2012 10:21:13 AM PDT by barryobi
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To: tatown
I think the collective fear in here about this being a Gallup ‘setup’ is wrong.

Geeeze. Boogiemen enter their collective fantasizing minds. Booooo!

21 posted on 10/20/2012 10:23:33 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Perdogg

LOL.

Dude or dudette, I hope you’re doing something besides living by the poll results.

I just did several dozen phone calls yesterday and today we knocked on doors in our precinct for the campaign.

DO SOMETHING physical. If you’re sickly, spend some time in a prayer closet. Give money.

I love your poll updates, but you can be a force FOR good instead of passively waiting for the change to happen.

God bless ya.


22 posted on 10/20/2012 10:23:58 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: tatown

Gee there’s that number again..45 percent..notice how Obama is always hovering between 45 to 47 percent..HORRIBLE numbers for an incumbent..Obama is toast and he knows it..I hope he enjoys that 35 million dollar mega mansion in Hawaii


23 posted on 10/20/2012 10:25:01 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: tatown

If the Gallup numbers are accurate, and Obama is at 45%, it would defy history for him to win.


24 posted on 10/20/2012 10:28:21 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Hawaii is not far enough the one should be exiled back to his home in Kenya. He should be bunking with his half bro! And take that wookie with you obozo!


25 posted on 10/20/2012 10:29:09 AM PDT by Boardwalk
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To: Sarah Barracuda

I have been project 52-47 Romney since August. Guess Romney’s 47% comment was pretty accurate huh?


26 posted on 10/20/2012 10:30:10 AM PDT by gswilder
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To: tatown

The boys at Gallup don’t seem too worried about being called “outlyers.”


27 posted on 10/20/2012 10:30:54 AM PDT by stevem
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To: BCrago66
The greatest karma of all for Obama would be to end up EXACTLY at 47% when all of the votes are tallied.
28 posted on 10/20/2012 10:32:19 AM PDT by JPG (Make it happen)
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To: Art in Idaho
None of those are right. 1) Romney will win OH by 3-4; 2)GOP has $82. But Obamagetting a LOAN from B of A 3) the electoral map is hopeless for Obama; 4) Early voting is nowhere NEAR where Zero needs it to be if he even has a chance of winning--- but even those numbers rely on him breaking even with Indies, when all the polls show him losing by 5-15 points among Indies.

I am strongly convinced the election is over.

29 posted on 10/20/2012 10:32:32 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Art in Idaho

They’re dreaming... of course liberals are trying to convince themselves that’s possible - the only way Obama could win is with a plurality of the vote like Clinton. And even then that’s hardly a resounding vote of confidence. In reality, they know Obama is toast but they will never admit it. Coming to grips with reality is not who they are.


30 posted on 10/20/2012 10:33:04 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: tatown
If the Gallup numbers are accurate, and Obama is at 45%, it would defy history for him to win.

I've heard it said over,and over,and over that late deciders tend to break for the challenger.If that holds true this time that doesn't bode well for Osama.

31 posted on 10/20/2012 10:34:40 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive)
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To: Boardwalk

Hey as long as he can’t do any damage in the White House anymore I really don’t care where he goes


32 posted on 10/20/2012 10:34:47 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: tatown

We are being set up. We are being set up. We are being set up. If I’m wrong I’ll gladly eat my hat, but hold the salt and pepper for now.

Gallup will use something (the third debate, Gloria Allred’s October surprise, Obama’s “fantastic” new agreement with Iran or his decision to launch a drone strike in Libya, or something) as an excuse to change methodology from its current heavy weighting of Republicans. Then the numbers will start to move strongly in Obama’s favor and the MSM can try to create a bandwagon effect by promoting the “Greatest Comeback in American History.”

Pollsters and the MSM have no shame.


33 posted on 10/20/2012 10:35:08 AM PDT by olrtex
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To: gswilder

Yep! Romney might have been off by a number or two but he pretty much hit the nail on the head


34 posted on 10/20/2012 10:37:19 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: tatown
It sucks to be you.

35 posted on 10/20/2012 10:38:51 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (To bid on this tagline space: www.jeffchandlerstaglinespace.com)
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To: goldstategop
Four years ago, we got an empty binder when Hussein applied for the job of presidency. Since there were no negatives in the binder, we hired him.

Well this year when we look at his binder, it is full of failures, incompletes and not working with people well.
His election binder says it all. No hire this year.

36 posted on 10/20/2012 10:39:14 AM PDT by Kozy (Calling Al Gore)
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To: tatown

If Romney can hit it out of the park at the next debate, our current long national nightmare might be nearly over.

Of course, the current nightmare will have to be watched like a hawk during the lame duck weeks.

Let’s hope the moving vans are already on standby and the rumors about the current nightmare relocating to Hawaii in January are true.


37 posted on 10/20/2012 10:43:32 AM PDT by TomGuy (Dukakis is to tank as Obama is to binder & Big Bird)
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To: LS; goldstategop
I am strongly convinced the election is over. . . Liberals, coming to grips with reality is not who they are.

I hope you both are right. . Could use some sleep myself. .

38 posted on 10/20/2012 10:43:48 AM PDT by Art in Idaho (Conservatism is the only hope for Western Civilization.)
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To: Art in Idaho
Romney could win the popular but lose the electoral.

The "popular" has nothing to do with anything. It's the electoral college foe's tool.
39 posted on 10/20/2012 10:45:53 AM PDT by smith288 (Peace at all costs gives you tyranny free of charge)
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To: olrtex
How do you know Gallup is using a "current heavy weighting of Republicans?"

Just asking...

40 posted on 10/20/2012 10:46:38 AM PDT by wireman
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To: Kozy
His election binder says it all. No hire this year.

He was 'present' as far as the actual job of President but did his level best to turn our Sacred Republic into a socialist/communist hell hole. Words cannot describe. . . It will take generations to work our way out of the Clinton/Obama Fabian socialist nightmare. Wake up America!

41 posted on 10/20/2012 10:48:07 AM PDT by Art in Idaho (Conservatism is the only hope for Western Civilization.)
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To: Perdogg

[ I can breathe easy for another 21 1/2 hours. ]

I know exactly how you feel! ;-)


42 posted on 10/20/2012 10:50:12 AM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: editor-surveyor
Actually seeing the trend in PA, it might be PA-PA-PA.

If Romney takes NH-VA-NC-FLA-PA the election will be over by about 10pm election night and how Ohio goes will be irreverent.

43 posted on 10/20/2012 10:55:09 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: tatown

Gallup is irrelevant.

You guys need to trust Nate Silver’s numbers. He’s yet to be wrong.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

If you don’t approach this election from the standpoint that you need to bring Obama below 270, Romney will lose.

Keep believing that Romney can win without Ohio or Iowa at your own peril. The current situation is impossible for him even if he wins CO+NV+VA+NC+FL+NH.

Then again, I’m voting for Gary Johnson since Romney is a useless idiot.


44 posted on 10/20/2012 10:56:19 AM PDT by catsup
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To: tatown

Four days running at 51 or 52 to 45. VERY GOOD TREND.


45 posted on 10/20/2012 10:57:53 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: MNJohnnie

Irreverent, yes. And also irrelevant!


46 posted on 10/20/2012 10:59:16 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: Art in Idaho

No one is going to win the popular vote by 6pts and lose the electoral vote.


47 posted on 10/20/2012 10:59:21 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Art in Idaho

IF and ONLY if we get out the vote, the election is over. We have to get our people out there.


48 posted on 10/20/2012 10:59:58 AM PDT by Hero
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To: GeronL

Separate “accurate” in terms of percent vs. accurate as in “picking the right horse”. They’ve picked the winning candidate every time since FDR, except for Truman-Dewey and Ford-Carter.


49 posted on 10/20/2012 11:00:08 AM PDT by bigbob
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To: olrtex

If there was the live boy or dead girl, that would already have been news and any foreign adventure Obama decides upon will be seen by Americans as an election stunt - if they had something planned they would have done it already; throwing out rumors is part of the strategy they use to try to depress Republican turnout. This has nothing to do with the truth, its all part and parcel of psychological warfare. And since I have no stake in the outcome of this election, this kind of stuff has no hold on me. I don’t worry about it and I sleep very sound at night.


50 posted on 10/20/2012 11:00:40 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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