Skip to comments.Republicans Find New Hope in Pennsylvania (Romney, RNC move 60+ staff to PA, more on the way?)
Posted on 10/20/2012 5:27:34 PM PDT by kristinn
For months, Pennsylvania was considered a cakewalk for Democrats, with Sen. Bob Casey easily cruising to reelection and its 20 electoral votes in the bag for President Barack Obama.
But enter Republican Tom Smith and his personal fortune, and suddenly the Keystone State has the potential of upending the national political landscape. Buoyed by a tightening presidential race here, Smith a no-name GOP Senate candidate and self-funding multi-millionaire has suddenly made Republicans bullish about picking off the Keystone State to make Mitch McConnell majority leader and Mitt Romney more competitive here.
He wasnt on any endangered list, Rep. Bob Brady, the Democratic congressman from the Philadelphia area, said of Casey. But he is now.
Whats happening in Pennsylvania reflects a national trend: Romney has risen in the polls following his first debate performance, giving him new opportunities in states seen as prime Democratic terrain. And a rapidly shifting Senate landscape has prompted GOP leaders to reassess Democratic-leaning states like Connecticut and Pennsylvania, putting the Northeast suddenly at the heart of the GOPs dwindling hopes of winning a Senate majority
Polls have shown theres a reason for Republicans to believe they have some hope here. Two public polls in the past 10 days have suggested that Smiths ad campaign where hes dubbed Casey as an invisible senator has erased the Democrats double digit lead, dropping his lead down to single digits, with an Allentown Morning Call poll even putting the Democrats advantage at 2 points. According to a Quinnipiac poll, Romney has sliced Obamas 12-point lead down to 4, while a GOP poll released Friday even put Romney ahead by 4 points here, and Smith up by 2.
From Huffington Post tonight:
Mitt Romney's Campaign, RNC Have 60+ Staffers In Pennsyvania, Planning More
(Excerpt) Read more at dyn.politico.com ...
NRA just ran an ad. 1+ million hunters, 6+ million gun owners in PA.
Here’s one good thing I can tell you about PA. I have a huge family, and we’re all conservative, but my mother most of my siblings aren’t very political. However, this year, my siblings and my mom are more motivated than I’ve ever seen. They are arguing with strangers about politics, and trying to get as many of their misguided friends to switch their vote from Obama.
This election has certainly awoken a sleeping dragon.
PA IS IN PLAY AND VERY WINNABLE!!!!
They all but SNUCK Ryan in Pittsburgh International and he still drew a quick, enthusiastic 1000...this past July, Gov. Romney was in my little town (Irwin) and he had an overflow crowd. It’s a different “feeling” this time. Three reasons: 1) Energy. The Obama EPA HAS shut down coal powered electric plants (making our electric bills almost TRIPLE), and 2) the Marcellus Shale...fracking HAS flown under Dear Leader’s EPA and is alley regulated by the Commonwealth. That WON’T continue under a second Obama Regime. Alot of “shaleionaires” are supporting Romney; and 3) Tom Smith has criss crossed this state. He HAS done the heavy lifting to get the “R” groundswell going. In many ways I find him more conservative than Toomey. He defeated the RINO, party endorsed candidate in the primary and then spent HIS OWN money (which he made in the coal industry!) to fund his campaign.
Anecdotally there is a sign, that I see EVERYWHERE in my area...”SAVE COAL, FIRE OBAMA.” The R/R HQs cannot make more fast enough. It IS the sentiment of the masses in the western part of the state.
R/R NEEDS to carpet bomb the Pittsburgh TV market with ads (as they will be seen in eastern OH and WV as well). PA will go red INSPITE of Philly.
North of Philly, there’s nothing. This time 2008 we were swamped with Obama stickers.
The revenge of King Coal!
>>PA is fools gold!<<
Yes I remember hearing that from Joe Scarborough Oct 2010.
I wonder what Pat Toomey has to say about that.
I concur. Again, and I know this is all anecdotal, but I’m revisiting signage. I babysit for my new granddaughter 3 day a week. My daughter’s house is in the North Hills (Shaler/Etna). There are 2 Obama signs that have been out (Mt Royal Blvd) for the last couple weeks. Two! In a supposedly Democratic, closer “in” suburb (not Cranberry, McCandless, etc)!?! Yet in her little neighborhood heavy R/R signs (on the side streets) along with a few of the coveted “Coal” signs.
If you want on/off the PA Ping List, please freepmail me.
If you see posts of interest to Pennsylvanians, please ping me.
Boy, you said it exactly right.
If Romney takes PA, it’ll be a short election night. A “Party time by 10pm” kind of night.
In 2010 we elected a Republican Governor.... In many of the local election where Democrats were always the winner’s the tide turned and very few Democrats were elected or re-elected. So yes I am hopeful for R&R and Tom Smith...When I start to feel good about what is happening I think back a few years to those who had to teach Santorum a lesson... Resulting in the dumber than dirt Casey.....
I remember when my cousin drove to school with guns in the truck's gun rack...
Yeah...that's what she said....
Your thoughts n’l@ about the “win ability” of PA?
Your thoughts n’l@ about the “win ability” of PA?
I was just posting on two other threads about this! I’m guardedly hopeful. I’m tired of being burned, but I honestly believe Romney will win Pa. Dare I be so hopeful?? I think Smith is going to win it as well. I hope so. I’m tired of the entire state getting blamed for the voting transgressions of Pittsburgh and Philly!
VERY winnable but not getting my hopes up too high. Ryan in PGH this AM, John Bolton Tuesday evening! RWI went this morning. I might be able to go Tuesday depending on grandkid duty, LOL!
Agree, Pennsylvania is blue but Romney doesn’t need.
He wins Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, New Hampshire and Ohio and he’s the President. If that happens, they’ll call Romney the winner at 9:30 ET.
Penn is difficult for the GOP in the best of times. I know Mitt can hit Ohio along with Penn so perhaps that plays into the thinking. Mitt’s internal polls (the real polls) must be excellent, or this is a fake out....I guess we won’t know for sure until election night.
I too worry about getting stung again...but last go round we got Toomey, Corbett, along with an R Pa House & Senate. I don’t think there are enough cemeteries in Philadelphia County to out do the West and “Alabama.”
It was a long night for Pat Toomey, but rural north-central PA pulling it out was the game-changer.
Most Americans are clueless about what's going on in that very red part of PA. Massive, earthshaking, economic deliverance from energy.
Pennsylvania did shift the GOP way in 2010 when we elected a Romney-type moderate Tom Corbett governor without my vote.
He got 54 percent.
We also elected Pat Toomey with 51 percent of the vote including mine.
I think it would be a good bet for Romney to invest here along with Michigan and Wisconsin.
It may end up being tougher to win Ohio than PA because the GOP there lost a referendum to control big labor unions.
I’ve been getting mailings and robocalls saying Romney will save Medicare and Social Security.
They don’t inspire me but maybe others will be.
Agreed. Every election we go through the same crap with PA. It’s a blue state because of the inner cities. Period. I remember people getting hyped when McCain was polling within 4 or 5 points a month out. He lost it..Romney will lose PA as well.
Lemme tell you this much...if I am wrong and Romney does win PA? You might as well open every bottle of booze in your house because it will be an early night and proof we are headed for a landslide for Romney. Win PA, VA, NC, and FLA...then who the hell cares about Ohio.
If we can turn Southwest PA from blue to red, then the PA math works.
The democrats have massive machines in Scranton, Pittsburgh, and Philadelphia. They can manufacture as many votes as they need to take the dem over the top. With the court injuction on voter ID, they are home free to continue to manufacture their votes. It would be nice for PA to go GOP, but I wouldn't hold my breath.
Even with those low democrat participation numbers, there will still be 110% turnout (all for Odumbo) in Philadelphia.
Same here. And I tend to only frequent echo chambers and hear the things I like to hear.
All I can say is that PA momentum for Romney is spilling over into upper Baltimore County MD.
Pennsylvania is, and should be considered a red state but for a corrupt and willfully inept state GOP, in particular the patronage machine in philly. Philly as a city is depopulated, the populationleft is solidly D, but the western suburbs aren’t contested for some reason.
Casey is a stunningly fragile candidate, he has no record to run on, had no record to run on, and hides whenever challenged, hoping the elderly think he’s his dead father. His tv commercials are comically inept, yet there is some idiot conventional wisdom that says he is a sure thing for reelection. That CW comes courtesy of a terrible statewide organization, which can’t seem to ever contest a union stooge for fear of losing the philly parking concession.
Tell the folks there that if they run out of Romney-Ryan signs is to make your own home made signs fast.
Tat King Coal...
I used to live in Bucks County, Pennsylvania.
I can verify that New Hope is in Pennsylvania. If the campaign has any doubt, they can set their GPS.
40 degree 21 minutes 51 seconds latitiude,
minus 57 degree 47 minutes 4 seconds
Yep, that's the ticket. SNL is a 90 minute Obama Orgasm.
But, yes, we have to kick the butts of Boehner and McConnell...one is an alcoholic who sides with the left, in order to “get along”, and the other one mumbles and talks down the inside of the shirt he is wearing...DOES not fight for Republicans/Conservates...is about an inspiring as wet lint.
Grinning ear to ear here in Pa. Can’t wait to say told ya so on 11/7. At least in the areas I travel, Chester, Montgomery, Berks and delaware counties, the mojo is strong for our side. Yeah, there’s still a good number of 0bamaphiles...but I believe they are seriously outnumbered. This is the state that gave us Toomey over sniveling Sestak in 2010 and we’re ready to do it again.
Thanks Onyx. Tom Smith is a good man. A true citizen’s candidate. I’m hoping he appeals to the coal regions in the North of the State. Like Romney, he wasn’t my first choice but he’s a good and decent man and has run a clean campaign. And Pat Toomey could use the help in the Senate.
PA always does the strip tease for the GOP and then breaks their heart. Too much of a Dem machine. Unless you can really motivate the Reagan Democrats to switch, you have no real hope. A pro-abortion, pro-gay Republican candidate is not going to win the hearts of the heavily Catholic state.
I think MD will be stunningly close this time.
Federal employees have been watching the Libya coverup with great interest—they now know this is an incumbent quite willing to throw them under the bus.
Mitt Romney's Campaign, RNC Have 60+ Staffers In Pennsyvania, Planning More
Stephen Hayes @stephenfhayes RT @samsteinhp: .@stephenfhayes had to clarify. the RNC/Romney folks are now up to 60 plus staffers, plotting more. not adding 60. Still int Collapse
4:24 PM - 20 Oct 12 · Details
Original source for Stephen F Hayes:
I was in the Scranton area just 2 weeks ago (was also in Wayne and Pike Counties). R/R signs outnumbered ‘Bama signs by 5:1.
That sounds like good news to me. (I’m on Long Island, and I haven’t seen a SINGLE presidential sign all season. Last time around you couldn’t swing a dead cat without hitting an Obama sign.)
Washington County Pa here, here in Pittsburgh there is something going on, probably indicative of the whole state and country. There is something tangible in the air, 1980 style, I think the Reagan Democrats found Sarah Palin too scary and John McCain to moribund in 2008, but Romney is just RINO enough for the. Combine that with a genuine loathing for the White Guilt incumbent and we have a winner. I think Obama loses Pa by 2 points. I can see the dam breaking the next two weeks and many states like Maryland, Mn, Ct. NJ, NM, Oregon, Washington going from Obama sure things to soft leans\tossups. Over by 11pm election night folks...OVER. Anyone who thinks Ohio is going Obama has their head up their rectum.
doesn't Philly vote over 90% of registered voters? I think the national average is in the mid thirties
talk about voting the dead ...
Sixty staff is not a big investment, if it panics the Dems into spending a lot more in PA, and draws away Dem resources from other states.
Losing PA, or even APPEARING to lose PA on election day would be demoralizing to the West Coast Dems.
Your correction is incorrect for my post. The HuffPo writer had already made the correction when I posted the headline and link to his article. Thank you.
THE BENCHMARK IS 2010 NOT 2008. Ask yourselves, (not just with regards to PA but nationally), has anything happened in the last 2 years that would stop the bleeding inflicted in 2010 for Obama and the democrat senate?
2010 is the most overlooked and under analyzed factor in the coming election. It should be the most significant factor.