Posted on 10/24/2012 5:18:24 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot
too close
a “tie” can be tipped by fraud
WTH is it with the people of Ohio?????
They want 4 more years of THIS?
ping
He also said Obana is up 13 with early voters. I think 4 years ago he was up 34.
Does any one know the party breakdown of this state poll? What are the crossovers and the Indy vote?
BS.
Folks hang up and they are NOT accounted for in poll.
Assumptions of crowds from 2008 crawling over broken glass are used. These are invalid.
Conservatives will be the ones crawling over broken glass on Nov 6. The models are just wrong.
R/R is up by 5 in my estimation in Ohio.
I am in Cincy and have NOT had one knock on my door, no Dem phone calls, and I’m likely the only conservative for blocks in my neighborhood. No, there are not as many signs as in 2008; there is no “buzz” in the air.
“He also said Obana is up 13 with early voters. I think 4 years ago he was up 34”
And Romney will be picking off more Dems than Mclame, so it’s hard to say what O’Dumbo is really up by in early voting.
WTH?
As I said to a woman in our church who has an Obama bumper sticker, "Where do you buy your gas and groceries?"
Yep. I got the blank stare I expected. Totally clueless 47%-er.
Have you been contacted by Romney/Ryan?
There isn’t really party registration in Ohio. You basically are included in whatever group whose primary you last voted in. So, if in 2008 you voted in the democrat primary to get hillary instead of obama, then you would be on the democrat side of the house.
So, there’s a bit of a reach involved, in my opinion, in assuming that a democrat early ballot is necessarily going to Obama. Probably it is, but I’d say there’s a group of those that will not be obama votes.
I live in Warren County and I see much less enthusiasm on both sides. We have some signs here, but it’s nowhere near the level it was in 2004 for Bush or 2008 for Palin. And this is 70% GOP area. Of course it’s Romney so we won’t get near the broken glass GOP effect. But I can easily see that Obama has the same issue.
So it’s probably going to come down to who has the enthusiasm edge. Kind of up in the air right now, but if I had to bet my own money, I’d put it on Romney. But I’d hedge.
This is better than Rasmussen’s last OH poll where zerO was leading.
Rasmussen Swing State Tracking: Romney 50%, Obama 45%
Ohio Romney 48% Obama 48%
Swing States: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
Where I've highlighted the states where Obama is believed to be either ahead or the race is tied.
So where in the heck it our 5% advantage? Is Romney up by 10% in the non-highlighted states? It doesn't add up.
The Marxist is pouring everything into Ohio.
Money, his time, his ginormous ego, fraud and the dreams of his Communist fathers, (no telling who the heck they are...lol).
I’m praying he loses Ohio and the election in a landslide.
Lord, hear our prayers.
I read that the D/R/I was 38/39/23, which is about where I think it will be on election day; I haven’t seen the cross-tabs, but assume that Romney didn’t do as well with indies here as he has in recent OH polls. This poll isn’t as good for Romney as were other recent polls, which showed the race tied or having Obama up by 1%-3% but with risible D/R/Is. I hope that Ras got a bad sample, because this is too close for comfort.
CRR, I’m in Cincy too. I’ve had Romney volunteers knock on my door and call me numerous times to invite me to Ryan and Romney appearances. Romney signs in my East side neighborhood easily out number Obama signs 20 to 1. The only “competitive” street sign competition I’ve evn seen is driving up Hosbrook Road in Madeira.
Let him pour into OH, the more they see the less they like. The trend is our friend.
Pray for America
I don’t think the Dems will do better than they did in 2008, and then Ohio was D+1. Assume an R+1 and that gives Romney another 2 percentage points.
I am not worried about Ohio. I think Romney has it. (Actually, I could see Romney get north of 320 EV if you assume a 4 point Republican swing in the RCP averages.)
It would have to be more than 10% since the other states include most of the large ones. Something literally doesn't add up.
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