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Dick Morris: Romney Will Win By a 4-8 Point Margin with over 300 Electoral Votes (Video)
Gateway Pundit ^ | October 23,2012 | Dick Morris

Posted on 10/24/2012 6:24:57 AM PDT by Hojczyk

Dick Morris predicted on The O’Reilly Factor tonight that Mitt Romney will win by 4-8 points and over 300 electoral votes. Morris also said Romney will likely take Pennsylvania, Ohio and Wisconsin.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2012swingstates; dickmorris; predictions
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1 posted on 10/24/2012 6:25:00 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

And he’s never wrong.

(OK, he’s always wrong. But I hope he’s right this time.)


2 posted on 10/24/2012 6:26:29 AM PDT by Maceman
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To: Hojczyk

I dont see any of the polls indicatiing Mitt will get the trifecta.


3 posted on 10/24/2012 6:26:57 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: Impy; nutmeg; Perdogg; Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; NFHale; DarthVader

I’m pretty sure someone else said this months ago...


4 posted on 10/24/2012 6:27:27 AM PDT by GOPsterinMA (The Glove don't fit, but it's better than a burqa.)
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To: Hojczyk

The polls better start reflecting this in the next week or else the 0zambies will have an excuse for “civil unrest”.


5 posted on 10/24/2012 6:27:27 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: Hojczyk

Double “Ping”


6 posted on 10/24/2012 6:27:35 AM PDT by drinktheobamakoolaid (How do you replace an empty suit? Vote on November 6, 2012)
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To: Hojczyk

7 posted on 10/24/2012 6:28:17 AM PDT by Doogle ((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
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To: Hojczyk

Scott Rasmussen came on right afterwards (with the guy from Suffolk) and said “no one will win by 8 points.”

He didn’t refute anything about 4 points, however.

Romney still up 50-46 in Rasmussen Daily today (with one day polling post debate).


8 posted on 10/24/2012 6:28:50 AM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
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To: Hojczyk

Didn’t he predict a McCain victory?


9 posted on 10/24/2012 6:28:59 AM PDT by AppyPappy (If you really want to annoy someone, point out something obvious that they are trying hard to ignore)
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To: Maceman

OK, I get it. I get it. Morris is wrong more often than the National Hurricane Forecast. But it appears he is pretty much on-target with this guess.


10 posted on 10/24/2012 6:29:20 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Hojczyk

Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.


11 posted on 10/24/2012 6:30:17 AM PDT by Eye of Unk (OPSEC)
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To: nhwingut

Romney may win the electoral vote but I doubt he stuffs the President on the popular vote. The big states are too lopsided.


12 posted on 10/24/2012 6:30:47 AM PDT by AppyPappy (If you really want to annoy someone, point out something obvious that they are trying hard to ignore)
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To: Hojczyk

I literally got sick to my stomach when I heard him last night. A Dick Morris prediction is tantamount to a team being on the Sports Illustrated cover the week before the Super Bowl.

But, hey, I guess even the Red Sox were eventually able to shake the Bambino so maybe this IS his year. Let’s hope and pray it is so.


13 posted on 10/24/2012 6:32:19 AM PDT by The Hound Passer
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To: nhwingut

Yeah, winning by 8 points seems a bit glib. I definitely see Romney winning with ~52% of the vote.


14 posted on 10/24/2012 6:32:37 AM PDT by Obadiah (The corrupt MSM is the enemy of the American people.)
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To: Hojczyk

I think each day this becomes more and more the likley outcome.

Obama cannot get over 50% in any poll. His approval rating is below 50%.

The last remaining undecideds over the last 3-4 days will break 80% for Romney. If they really wanted Obama they’d already be in his camp.


15 posted on 10/24/2012 6:32:37 AM PDT by ReaganÜberAlles
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To: Hojczyk

I agree with Dick Morris.

Its not based on anything scientific - just a feeling we’re looking at a landslide.

The polls are all converging now and state polls - always lagging indicators, appear to be following suit.

And folks on Intrade are dumping once sure fire Obama stocks as fast as they can.


16 posted on 10/24/2012 6:33:34 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Maceman
My feelings precisely.

But this time, I don't think it's wishful thinking. I think that there are figures going that way -- worse thing that happens is that its a bit closer, but not close enough to steal because that's after all the "theft" is factored in.

17 posted on 10/24/2012 6:37:36 AM PDT by Tanniker Smith (Rome didn't fall in a day, either.)
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To: AppyPappy

early on he did, but he changed his mind later.


18 posted on 10/24/2012 6:38:28 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: goldstategop

That the polls that had Obama out front consistently now have came to even is telling.


19 posted on 10/24/2012 6:39:05 AM PDT by John W (Viva Cristo Rey!)
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To: Obadiah

Morris offered a range of seats we’d pick up in 2010 and his low end guess was right on the money. He was slightly more optimistic than the top pollsters, and his prediction was true. Assuming no major game changers the next two weeks, I am guessing his low end will be just about accurate. A 52-48 or 51-48 is about what I expect.

I’d be quite happy if we got it by that margin.


20 posted on 10/24/2012 6:39:54 AM PDT by ilgipper (Obama supporters are comprised of the uninformed & the ill-informed)
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To: goldstategop

If you are thinking landslide, then pull out all the stops to make the landslide as big as possible.

I don’t want these guys to lose. I want them to be beaten. I want them to be crushed. I want them to get a drubbing so bad that it will be years before anybody admits being a Democrat in public.

Let the name of Obama be stricken from every book and tablet, stricken from all pylons and obelisks, stricken from every monument of the land. Let the name of Obama be unheard and unspoken, erased from the memory of men for all time. < /SETHI>


21 posted on 10/24/2012 6:42:15 AM PDT by Haiku Guy (If Hillary reminds every man of his ex-wife, Joe Biden reminds every woman of her ex-husband.)
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To: AppyPappy
Romney may win the electoral vote but I doubt he stuffs the President on the popular vote.

Seems like a fair trade to me.

22 posted on 10/24/2012 6:42:32 AM PDT by Michael.SF. (Obama Lied, Stevens died.)
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To: Haiku Guy

All for all of that.


23 posted on 10/24/2012 6:43:42 AM PDT by John W (Viva Cristo Rey!)
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To: AppyPappy

If there is a split between electoral and popular, it would probably by the other way, unfortunately. If Ohio goes Obama and we don’t put a strong of other states together to make up for it, the potential is there for an Obama electoral win and Romney popular votes win. The other way seems unlikely. The polls show Romney with a popular vote edge, with questions remaining about electoral votes. If he surges ahead to win the last critical swing states, I see little likelihood of a popular vote loss.


24 posted on 10/24/2012 6:43:51 AM PDT by ilgipper (Obama supporters are comprised of the uninformed & the ill-informed)
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To: AppyPappy

If there is a split between electoral and popular, it would probably by the other way, unfortunately. If Ohio goes Obama and we don’t put a strong of other states together to make up for it, the potential is there for an Obama electoral win and Romney popular votes win. The other way seems unlikely. The polls show Romney with a popular vote edge, with questions remaining about electoral votes. If he surges ahead to win the last critical swing states, I see little likelihood of a popular vote loss.


25 posted on 10/24/2012 6:44:05 AM PDT by ilgipper (Obama supporters are comprised of the uninformed & the ill-informed)
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To: Hojczyk

Dick Morris is a broken clock. This time, however, is one of those times where the broken clock just happens to be correct.

We were told of the battleground states in the south that Obama carried last time, VA, NC, FL. All have moved to solid Romney.

We were told Obama had CO. It is now solid Romney by most accounts.

IA was Obama country. It is now leaning Romney in recent polls.

NH and WI are supposed Democrat strongholds... now within the margin of error.

OH is tied.

Gallop had Romney up by 6 or 7. It was considered an outlier. Now Ras has moved towards the outlier. Less than two weeks to go so there is little Obama can do to stop the rising of this particular ocean.


26 posted on 10/24/2012 6:44:59 AM PDT by FerociousRabbit
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To: Hojczyk

I like these people that say Romney will get over 300 EV’s. Which states? I cannot realistically believe that Romney will get PA, WI or MI. Maybe but its an outside chance. Best case, I think he will get NV, OH and perhaps IA and NM (I already have him winning NH, CO, NC, FL and VA). This would still put him in the 290’s. Unless something changes, theres just not that many states to choose from. Seems like the Dems get 247 votes just for showing up and they have to fight for the rest wheareas we start with about 160. What are people in these states thinking? I swear when I argue with liberals, I say Obama could shoot someone in cold blood on national TV and you would still defend him. Why do they blindly follow this guy and ignore facts?

Hope I’m wrong but I’m just afraid of a 52-48 Romney win and yet we still lose the election by electoral votes. Any help?


27 posted on 10/24/2012 6:45:28 AM PDT by thepatriot1 (...brought to you courtesy of the Red, White and Blue)
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To: Hojczyk

For once, I tend to agree with Morris, as my tracking of the race is showing a similar set of trends to what he is likely seeing.


28 posted on 10/24/2012 6:46:17 AM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (It's time to make Obama a minor footnote in the pages of history)
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To: Hojczyk
..I agree with him this time. He was so excited during the debate the other night he was tweeting about 20 times a minute

After what happened in 2010 and the Wisconsin recall I am very confident.

I think his predictions are very realistic...

29 posted on 10/24/2012 6:46:29 AM PDT by WalterSkinner ( In Memory of My Father--WWII Vet and Patriot 1926-2007)
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To: AppyPappy

In California, Obama’s approval is only 50.1 percent, according to Gallup — so I don’t see how this state contributes so mightily to a victory in the popular vote.


30 posted on 10/24/2012 6:47:36 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: nhwingut

R-50
O-46
U-4

Undecideds always split for the challenger, and even more so when the incumbent is under 50%. That 4% undecided is likely to split 3 to 1 for Romney, making the final total:

R-53
O-47

6%—not quite 8, but a lot more than 4.


31 posted on 10/24/2012 6:50:31 AM PDT by Brookhaven (The Democratic Party has become the Beclowning Party)
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To: KC_Conspirator

Dick has access to polling data we are not allowed to see.

LLS


32 posted on 10/24/2012 6:50:36 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: Hojczyk

If anyone still wants to post their predictions on the electoral map contest thread (map or predict numbers) ... I suppose we should extend entries until a week before the election. (Previously was night of debate 3)

The important thing is obviously that Obama loses, but nothing wrong with a little competition.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2946924/posts


33 posted on 10/24/2012 6:52:26 AM PDT by HannibalHamlinJr
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To: WashingtonSource

I think the final margin of victory depends on the early states. If it looks like Romney is taking the early swing states, the undecideds will all go with the likely winner and the win margin will increase.


34 posted on 10/24/2012 6:52:30 AM PDT by Phillyred
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To: nhwingut

rasmussen also stated the day before the election... with Sean Hannity and zogby... that martha coakley would win by three... and Brown won by a wide margin.

LLS


35 posted on 10/24/2012 6:53:06 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: ilgipper

"Morris offered a range of seats we’d pick up in 2010 and his low end guess was right on the money. He was slightly more optimistic than the top pollsters, and his prediction was true. Assuming no major game changers the next two weeks, I am guessing his low end will be just about accurate. A 52-48 or 51-48 is about what I expect.

I’d be quite happy if we got it by that margin."

I'm not really happy with a margine like that.  51-48 still means that nearly half the nation is made up of utterly deluded morons.  And that's not good in a democratic nation where people are actually allowed to vote. 

 

_____________________________________


36 posted on 10/24/2012 6:54:44 AM PDT by CaptainKrunch (Freedom does not promise safety and security, freedom only promises freedom.)
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To: AppyPappy
“Didn’t he predict a McCain victory?”

How could anyone predict that McCrazy would suspend his campaign and walk around with his thumb in his a$$ for two weeks just before the election?

37 posted on 10/24/2012 6:59:03 AM PDT by Beagle8U (Free Republic -- One stop shopping ....... It's the Conservative Super WalMart for news .)
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To: WashingtonSource

With an approval rating that low, that spells more trouble for 0. I have suspected for some time that 0 internals do not look very exciting in CA, and approvals of barely 50% in a dark blue state spells big trouble. Lowered d enthusiasm means lower d turnout. The GOP base should be emboldened and enthusiastic. Although the tracking polls won’t show it, the CA vote could be much closer than people predict....and it is possible that the boatload of CA EVs could go to Romney.

Call me crazy - but I’m saying it’s possible. Despite the color on all of the EV maps, CA is not as solid for the Big 0 as everybody thinks.


38 posted on 10/24/2012 7:03:19 AM PDT by GilesB
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To: MrB

The polls are weighted with more democrats then republicans in order to show Obama with a lead or tied.


39 posted on 10/24/2012 7:03:45 AM PDT by stockpirate (Slaves to the collective! SCOTUS is just as corrupt as congress. IMPEACH ROBERTS!)
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To: Haiku Guy

I concur with you.


40 posted on 10/24/2012 7:05:06 AM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: Hojczyk

It’s in our basic nature (and ego) that we humans don’t like to be wrong, nor do we like to look bad. We despise being fooled or cheated and certainly dislike it far worse when it happens a second time. So, my theory is that millions upon millions of people who are currently defending their foolish choice in 2008, will soon hide behind those drapes, cast their vote, and not be wrong TWICE. They will do it for they’re own ego and not because they were finally persuaded by their “conservative brother in law at the family dinner a few nights before”. This is also why some far lefties are wishy washy about B-HO. Their deep seated need to be liked, based on what others in their group think, trumps their own ability to think for themselves. I think it’s going to be a trouncing.


41 posted on 10/24/2012 7:06:32 AM PDT by LittleBillyInfidel (This tagline has been formatted to fit the screen. Some content has been edited.)
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To: stockpirate

My point was that 0bama’s loss cannot be a surprise to his base. They cannot think, going into election day, that he’s going to hands down win it.


42 posted on 10/24/2012 7:07:12 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: LittleBillyInfidel

*”their own”... Geez, need coffee...


43 posted on 10/24/2012 7:09:19 AM PDT by LittleBillyInfidel (This tagline has been formatted to fit the screen. Some content has been edited.)
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To: The Hound Passer

Buck up. That’s no way to look at life.


44 posted on 10/24/2012 7:09:52 AM PDT by InvisibleChurch (the mature Christian is almost impossible to offend)
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To: AppyPappy

I think you mean that the larger parasite states are too lopsided: Illinois, California & New York/New Jersey. The little parasite states (Rhode Island, Vermont, etc.) are pretty lopsided as well.


45 posted on 10/24/2012 7:13:04 AM PDT by MSF BU (n)
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To: MrB

If they know he’s going to lose, they are going to stay home. No point in casting a wasted vote.

And this means Romney will easily take swing states that are usually very close.

Watch IN - if Romney wins it by better than 25 points - he’ll have a very good night. IN traditionally gets called first and I knew the election was over in 2008 when it came in very late and went for Obama by a squeaker.


46 posted on 10/24/2012 7:15:15 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Haiku Guy

I fear that if Obama loses, we,ll see his face on TV MORE than ever before. Hell go on an all-out jihad against Bush, Romney, and the USA in community organizer style, the likes of which we’ve never see before.

He’ll make has-been meddler jimmy carter look like a beginner.

He will not go easy into that goodnight, because he loves the limelight too much.


47 posted on 10/24/2012 7:17:16 AM PDT by FrankR (They will become our ultimate masters the day we surrender the 2nd Amendment.)
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To: GilesB

“Call me crazy - but I’m saying it’s possible. Despite the color on all of the EV maps, CA is not as solid for the Big 0 as everybody thinks.”

Dude, what are you smoking??? Seriously, I would like to believe that but don’t think that is possible. Only other state that would be harder would be NY! Last time we won CA was in ‘88 I think with Bush the Senior!


48 posted on 10/24/2012 7:19:39 AM PDT by gbscott1954 (Please come back Sarah!!!)
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To: Maceman
I've heard him explain his rational before, it has to do with which way the undecided vote breaks. If I remember correctly, he says that the undecideds historically break for the challenger. So if things appear all tied up, with 4-6% undecided, more than half of that undecided vote swings to the challenger. With Romney leading or tied in the swing states, Morris believes Romney will collect more undecided votes than Obama, giving him the election.

No doubt, there are a lot of prior Obama voters who wish Obama had made them proud, but they are not proud, and even still wish they could vote for an Obama second term. But the cold hard facts starring them in the face when stepping into the voting booth mitigates against an Obama second term; they take comfort in the fact they voted for the first black president of the United States, but they know it's time to fix what has been broken for the last 4 years. And its fairly easy, Romney doesn't scare them like the boogie-man Obama made him out to be. Undecideds mostly want to have made the right choice when all is said and done. Obama holds no promise of correcting this economy and I think they know that. Those who go ahead and vote Obama are doing it for another reason, not the economy. I believe Morris is more right than he is wrong... It will be a Romney win, not land slide proportions, but by a distinct margin... bet me!

49 posted on 10/24/2012 7:24:45 AM PDT by dps.inspect (rage against the Obama machine...)
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To: InvisibleChurch

No worries, it was a tongue in cheek remark.


50 posted on 10/24/2012 7:27:08 AM PDT by The Hound Passer
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