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Still days away before it makes landfall. Is the Atlantic waters warm enough for strong intensification?

Less than Hurricane strength under this projection when it gets to the northeast.


71 posted on 10/24/2012 5:52:58 PM PDT by deport
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To: deport
Nice to see both the GFS model and the NHC getting with the program. Not so nice to see that the NE could end up with a surprise monster storm. Here's a batch of Joe Bastardi tweets from early this morning:

@BigJoeBastardi
Hit from southeast reduces time over cool water.Baroclinic process leads to super hybrid. Even Brazilian models have 956 mb prs NYC
Weatherbell FORECAST REMAINS UNCHANGED.. Have had the "trapping" idea now since weekend.
If I am right, biggest question :What swear word will Chris Christie use to get people to evacuate.Storm could be worse ever in mid/n atl
Dont forget the heavy snow on the western side.
If you see anyone talking about the storm surge up delaware bay, and flooding coming down .. that was the subject I wrote about many yrs ago
Window of escape closing.. only true question may be where not, if. All areas NC to Mass likely to have hurricane conditions!
GFDL brings hurricane to Delmarva.. sub 940 mb

He also has an updated forecast map with changes mostly confined to the snowfall portion: he's thinking possible heavy snows along the entire western side of the Appalachian chain... mentioned 2-3 feet in WV. Snow forecast area includes the western 50% of PA, western 30% of NY, eastern 70% of WV, and mountain areas of E. Tenn.

Otherwise still has NYC as the landfall point on Tuesday with an 80-85mph hurricane.

78 posted on 10/25/2012 6:41:04 AM PDT by alancarp (Liberals are all for shared pain... until they're included in the pain group.)
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