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Rasmussen: Romney 261, Obama 253
Weekly Standard ^ | 10/24/2012 | JEFFREY H. ANDERSON

Posted on 10/24/2012 1:10:39 PM PDT by nhwingut

State-by-state polling by Rasmussen Reports now shows Mitt Romney narrowly leading President Obama in the projected tally of electoral votes — 261 to 253. Of the nine key swing states, Rasmussen’s polling (all conducted during the past week except for in Pennsylvania) shows Romney ahead in Florida (by 5 percentage points), Virginia (by 3 points), Colorado (by 4 points), and New Hampshire (by 2 points). It shows Obama ahead in Pennsylvania (by 5 points), Wisconsin (by 2 points), and Nevada (by 2 points). It shows Ohio and Iowa tied.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls; rasmussen
I give FL, CO, and VA to Romney. I give PA to Obama.

I have it at 257 Romney, 237 Obama.

Up for grabs: IA (6), OH (18), NV (6), NH (4), WI (10).

1 posted on 10/24/2012 1:10:40 PM PDT by nhwingut
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To: nhwingut

Agree...I think Romney wins NH as well...of the 4 polls on RCP right now, Romney is up in three of them, the only poll Obama has he is up on Romney +9....outlier poll...


2 posted on 10/24/2012 1:15:25 PM PDT by Tulane
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To: nhwingut

What about Maine’s 2nd District?


3 posted on 10/24/2012 1:17:00 PM PDT by RPTMS
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To: nhwingut

Where does Ras put NC?


4 posted on 10/24/2012 1:17:04 PM PDT by Justice
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To: Tulane

Agreed. Being on the ground here in NH, this state is lean Romney right now. If he can take Wisconsin (with their GOTV strong and proven with Walker Race), Romney has path without Ohio. Wisonsin and NH would be the EVs to put him over top. Or any combo of Wisconsin and NV/NH/IA.


5 posted on 10/24/2012 1:18:57 PM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
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To: nhwingut

Gee my thinking is going from, will he win, to - will he deliver when he wins.


6 posted on 10/24/2012 1:19:47 PM PDT by Rennes Templar (Gasoline @ $4.00 per gal. = not optimal)
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To: RPTMS

I read somewhere today that they are making a concerted effort for Maine’s 2nd.

Because if they can’t get WI or OH, they could still patch together NV (6), IA (6) and ME-2 (1) for 13 EVs, putting them at 270 exactly.


7 posted on 10/24/2012 1:27:36 PM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
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To: Justice

Romney is up 6 in NC and is now considered firmly in Romney’s column.


8 posted on 10/24/2012 1:29:49 PM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
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To: Justice
Where does Ras put NC?


9 posted on 10/24/2012 1:30:04 PM PDT by Hoodat ("As for God, His way is perfect" - Psalm 18:30)
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To: nhwingut

After the latest news, I give them all to Romney except maybe OHIO.

I still believe Michigan goes to Romney.

12 days to go...gonna be the longest 12 days since the 80 elections.


10 posted on 10/24/2012 1:30:32 PM PDT by crz
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To: Justice

NC goes for RR


11 posted on 10/24/2012 1:38:34 PM PDT by The Klingon
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To: Justice

NC goes for RR


12 posted on 10/24/2012 1:38:36 PM PDT by The Klingon
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To: All

Thanks all.


13 posted on 10/24/2012 1:41:20 PM PDT by Justice
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To: nhwingut

I think NV is a lost cause because of the service unions.


14 posted on 10/24/2012 1:51:27 PM PDT by Blackirish
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To: Blackirish

But Obama has been unable to hit 50%. We’ll see.


15 posted on 10/24/2012 2:11:18 PM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
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To: nhwingut

16 posted on 10/24/2012 2:20:47 PM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: nhwingut

I agree with your assumption of 257. Now, if that’s the case, Romney has at least three paths to cover the rest 13 EV:
1. OH (18)
2. NV(6)+IA(6)+ME(1)
3. WI(10)+ NH(4)
Note that each of the option is mutually exclusive from the others. Each shows RR needs to work very hard.


17 posted on 10/24/2012 2:37:56 PM PDT by paudio (3Bs: Big-bird, Binders and Bayonets <= New 0bama's campaign slogan)
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To: Blackirish
I think NV is a lost cause because of the service unions.

I'm afraid you are right.
18 posted on 10/24/2012 2:39:22 PM PDT by VegasCowboy ("...he wore his gun outside his pants, for all the honest world to feel.")
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To: nhwingut

As a Wisconsin resident, I am getting more and more confident that Zero will lose here.

I can hardly wait to hear the wailing from the Obots.


19 posted on 10/24/2012 2:41:46 PM PDT by TheConservativeParty (Trust in the Lord. Psalm 37:3)
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To: paudio

That could really be WI and any other full state.

Also note if he gets option 2 without ME’s vote, it’s a 269-269 tie. Which means Romney will be voted in as prez by the House easily but Biden could be voted in as V.P. by the Senate. Good thing Romney said he liked bipartisanship.


20 posted on 10/24/2012 2:48:47 PM PDT by JediJones (ROMNEY/RYAN: TURNAROUND ARTISTS ***** OBAMA/BIDEN: BULL $HIT ARTISTS)
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To: paudio

That “tie” scenario is also identical to the 2004 results except giving the Dems NM and OH.


21 posted on 10/24/2012 2:49:35 PM PDT by JediJones (ROMNEY/RYAN: TURNAROUND ARTISTS ***** OBAMA/BIDEN: BULL $HIT ARTISTS)
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To: VegasCowboy

NV has 7% Mormons, one of the top 5 Mormon states in the nation. Isn’t it possible their turnout could be being underestimated and they could give Romney the edge? Keeping in mind NV also went Republican in both Bush Jr. elections.


22 posted on 10/24/2012 2:51:25 PM PDT by JediJones (ROMNEY/RYAN: TURNAROUND ARTISTS ***** OBAMA/BIDEN: BULL $HIT ARTISTS)
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To: nhwingut

The local news here in Maine an hour ago mentioned that Team Romney will start ad buys here in Maine. The Romney people are trying to take the entire state.....in lieu of that, they hope to win at least the 2nd congressional district.

An added bonus of TV ads in Maine....some of those ads will be seen in parts of New Hampshire.

So far, I haven’t seen any Obama ads since the Olympics last August and only one Romney ad (on October 1st). I also saw Romney ads during the Olympics.


23 posted on 10/24/2012 3:16:56 PM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (.Remember in November!)
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To: paudio

If NV is a lost cause as some have suggested, then IA(6), NH(4), and ME(1) leaves Romney one EV short of a tie (270-268). Romney really needs one of OH or WI to make it work without NV.


24 posted on 10/24/2012 3:20:14 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: nhwingut

If it truly is this close now, we will lose the 2016 election and this country will be toast until collapse.


25 posted on 10/24/2012 3:37:02 PM PDT by SgtHooper (The last thing I want to do is hurt you. But it's still on the list.)
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To: nhwingut

PA didn’t like that ‘bitter clinger’ comment - but we’ll see...


26 posted on 10/24/2012 4:13:34 PM PDT by GOPJ (Obama on Benghazi - - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nE-aorbApBw&feature=plcp)
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To: nhwingut

Considering the beating that Las Vegas has taken under Obama, I can’t imagine why any Nevada voter would opt for four more years of this. Are they just assuming that no matter how the vote goes, the Teamsters will pull enough stuffed ballot boxes out of the trunks of Lincoln Continentals to win it for Obama?


27 posted on 10/24/2012 4:16:55 PM PDT by HHFi
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To: CatOwner

Either that or PA. From what I understand the only thing that might have changed in NV is a higher Hispanic population since Bush won it both times.

NV has also voted with the winner of the presidential election every time since 1980. I’m not sure why it would be written off now.


28 posted on 10/24/2012 4:34:01 PM PDT by JediJones (ROMNEY/RYAN: TURNAROUND ARTISTS ***** OBAMA/BIDEN: BULL $HIT ARTISTS)
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