Posted on 10/24/2012 1:10:39 PM PDT by nhwingut
State-by-state polling by Rasmussen Reports now shows Mitt Romney narrowly leading President Obama in the projected tally of electoral votes — 261 to 253. Of the nine key swing states, Rasmussen’s polling (all conducted during the past week except for in Pennsylvania) shows Romney ahead in Florida (by 5 percentage points), Virginia (by 3 points), Colorado (by 4 points), and New Hampshire (by 2 points). It shows Obama ahead in Pennsylvania (by 5 points), Wisconsin (by 2 points), and Nevada (by 2 points). It shows Ohio and Iowa tied.
I have it at 257 Romney, 237 Obama.
Up for grabs: IA (6), OH (18), NV (6), NH (4), WI (10).
Agree...I think Romney wins NH as well...of the 4 polls on RCP right now, Romney is up in three of them, the only poll Obama has he is up on Romney +9....outlier poll...
What about Maine’s 2nd District?
Where does Ras put NC?
Agreed. Being on the ground here in NH, this state is lean Romney right now. If he can take Wisconsin (with their GOTV strong and proven with Walker Race), Romney has path without Ohio. Wisonsin and NH would be the EVs to put him over top. Or any combo of Wisconsin and NV/NH/IA.
Gee my thinking is going from, will he win, to - will he deliver when he wins.
I read somewhere today that they are making a concerted effort for Maine’s 2nd.
Because if they can’t get WI or OH, they could still patch together NV (6), IA (6) and ME-2 (1) for 13 EVs, putting them at 270 exactly.
Romney is up 6 in NC and is now considered firmly in Romney’s column.
After the latest news, I give them all to Romney except maybe OHIO.
I still believe Michigan goes to Romney.
12 days to go...gonna be the longest 12 days since the 80 elections.
NC goes for RR
NC goes for RR
Thanks all.
I think NV is a lost cause because of the service unions.
But Obama has been unable to hit 50%. We’ll see.
I agree with your assumption of 257. Now, if that’s the case, Romney has at least three paths to cover the rest 13 EV:
1. OH (18)
2. NV(6)+IA(6)+ME(1)
3. WI(10)+ NH(4)
Note that each of the option is mutually exclusive from the others. Each shows RR needs to work very hard.
As a Wisconsin resident, I am getting more and more confident that Zero will lose here.
I can hardly wait to hear the wailing from the Obots.
That could really be WI and any other full state.
Also note if he gets option 2 without ME’s vote, it’s a 269-269 tie. Which means Romney will be voted in as prez by the House easily but Biden could be voted in as V.P. by the Senate. Good thing Romney said he liked bipartisanship.
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