Posted on 10/24/2012 6:23:47 PM PDT by cdchik123
One of the states Democrats view as part of an electoral college firewall is still leaning slightly to the president, per Public Policy Polling:
PPP's newest Nevada poll finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 51/47, numbers exactly identical to what they were when we last polled the state two weeks ago.
Obama is already well on his way to winning Nevada based on early votes that have been cast in the week. Among those who say they've already voted he has a 61/39 advantage. Romney is up 51/46 with those planning to vote between now and election day. ...
Obama's leading based on advantages of 69/28 with Hispanics, 82/12 with African Americans, 54/44 with women, and 58/39 with young voters. Romney's ahead with men (50/48), whites (57/42), and seniors (53/45). He also has a 53/44 advantage with independents but he'd probably need to take them by a wider margin than that to overcome the Democratic registration edge in the state.
Republicans have freely acknowledged that this is one of the tougher remaining swing states for Romney. If Obama continues to hold Nevada and Ohio, then Mitt Romney needs to crack Wisconsin in order to get to 270 electoral votes.
Screw that!
Romney/Ryan just drew a crowd of 10,000 in Henderson (outside Las Vegas). PPP is not a conservative organization -- anything but -- now is the time to fight harder. Get EVERY vote.
This BS about pulling out of states prematurely is the worst advise anyone could give. I'm proven right by PA, NH, and CO just to name a few.
Fight on, fight hard, make calls, go door-to-door. With a D+6 poll, we have every bit as much likelihood of taking the state as the Demonrats!!!
Dick Morris is right (he made the call in 2010) -- when you have the momentum, go bigger -- go for more!
Made sense in 2010, and it makes sense in 2012!!
Steve Wynn came out STRONGLY against Obama about one month ago. He spoke with Sean Hannity for an extended segment and was EXTREMELY critical of Obama.
In particular, he indicated that he resented that the President was fostering ill-will between him (owner) and his employees, by constantly harping on the rich. Steve Wynn indicted that he has given his employees three raises in the past 18 months, at a time when business has been off (remember Obama was telling people not to visit Las Vegas).
I'm sure Steve Wynn has put his money where his mouth is. He may prefer to do it behind the scenes. No matter, he is an outspoken critic of Obama who has not pulled any punches!
I think Nevada may surprise people this year and go Romney. There are a lot of folks here who really dislike Obama - we have no jobs, no tourists and homes being lost every second. There are the liberal idiots but I believe they are a minority.
I don’t have 2010.
Too bad about Nevada... it seems to be turning into CA’s easternmost county.
Apparently the streets are lined with government checks, EBT cards and Obamaphones out there.
Obama loves it when a plan comes together.
“Even though this is PPP, it is consistent with the Rasmussen poll.”
Ras has Inds: R 59% / O 37%!
Could be wrong but don’t feel Wisconsin will be there in the end. Iowa and another string to get there...
That’s just my gut. I’d take WI though!
I have the same numbers. A one state flip, or a IA and NV combo wins it.
So they have 42% D’s voting, even though that has never happened in NV even in a good year? Sheesh!
IA + NV would very much be the inside straight.
Another possible path would include Michigan or Pennsylvania. I don’t buy that Michigan’s tied though. If it were the candidates would be all over that state.
PA is like a hot bartender at a club. She’ll tease and flirt, but you’re not taking her home at the end of the night.
It explains why OH is the election right now. NH+WI works, but the numbers aren’t there in WI. NH+IA+NV is a perfect storm. NV is more likely if come 9 p.m. the pundits give Romney a big state in the Midwest to all but assure the election. Not very bullish on NV though right now.
IA + NV would very much be the inside straight.
Another possible path would include Michigan or Pennsylvania. I don’t buy that Michigan’s tied though. If it were the candidates would be all over that state.
PA is like a hot bartender at a club. She’ll tease and flirt, but you’re not taking her home at the end of the night.
It explains why OH is the election right now. NH+WI works, but the numbers aren’t there in WI. NH+IA+NV is a perfect storm. NV is more likely if come 9 p.m. the pundits give Romney a big state in the Midwest to all but assure the election. Not very bullish on NV though right now.
Would be sweet for America if Nevada reversed and puked on Harry Reid for not delivering Nevada.
It’s a sad state of affairs as bad as Nevada is that people will still vote for Obama there. This with him discouraging visitors. Unreal.
Is there any reason to believe the state could go Romney?
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