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Vanity.... LIke Magic, all the polls are tightening up??

Posted on 10/30/2012 8:39:18 AM PDT by Heff

Why are the polls tightening up like this in one day?? Someone on FR called it... that the polls would move in Romney's favor, and then quickly level off the week before, and like magic, show Obama ahead by election eve.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; vanity
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To: zt1053

Hmmm


21 posted on 10/30/2012 8:56:41 AM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: zt1053

Hmmm


22 posted on 10/30/2012 8:56:41 AM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: zt1053

Yo, Noob. You know nothing about me. Back to DU for you.


23 posted on 10/30/2012 8:58:44 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: toddausauras

Another idiot.... troll?? I’ve been here since 2000.... no troll, dye in the wool conservative. just asking the question about some polls tightening up.


24 posted on 10/30/2012 8:58:47 AM PDT by Heff (Half this country is that stupid.)
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To: Heff

Last week, Romney led the RCP avg of polls by anywhere from 0.6-1.0.

Today he’s at 0.9% lead. With a higher D+ sample. Last week the average D+ sample was 3.5%. Today it is averaging 4.5%.

So Romney stayed in his consistent 1 point lead despite polls becoming more friendly to Obama.

Romney wins 52-47. Take it to the bank.


25 posted on 10/30/2012 8:59:18 AM PDT by nhwingut (If you are concerned, you are not paying attention (or you are a troll). It will be a landslide.)
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To: Heff

So is Chris Mathews sphincter.


26 posted on 10/30/2012 9:00:53 AM PDT by badpacifist (I'm criticized but all your bullets ricochet You knock me down, but I get up I'm bulletproof)
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To: HamiltonJay
Go to cbs ny site and read the posts there... they are already screaming for the government to “do something”.

LLS

27 posted on 10/30/2012 9:03:04 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: smokingfrog; Grampa Dave; tubebender; ElkGroveDan; ScottinSacto; calif_reaganite; ...
"None of the pollsters want to be wrong, so they want it to look like things could go either way."

Not only that, if the polls get lopsided at any time, then the ad sales will just dry up completely, right???

The MSM hounds simply MUST be fed their millions!!!

28 posted on 10/30/2012 9:03:27 AM PDT by SierraWasp ("The New Normal," is FAR from any normality!!!)
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To: nhwingut

Ok...from your lips to God’s ears.... just seemed that we were seeing Romney at 50% to 51% with Obama at 46%, 47%, 48% depending on the poll... so to see the focus today with these 1pt polls, with Romney under 50% seems like someone is cooking the sauce.


29 posted on 10/30/2012 9:04:11 AM PDT by Heff (Half this country is that stupid.)
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To: Heff

Yeah, interesting, isn’t it? And I gave my impression of what people in this country naturally tend to do — LIKE IT OR NOT — when a crisis occurs. Result: “troll” accusations. The one from zt1053, the little NooBlet who has yet to log 30 days as an FR member, was especially entertaining.


30 posted on 10/30/2012 9:06:49 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: Heff

Rush says this every year. You hear, over and over, how it is a walk for the Democrat, and then, suddenly, as you get close to election day, everything tightens.

http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/daily/2012/10/02/as_predicted_the_corrupt_polls_tighten


31 posted on 10/30/2012 9:07:06 AM PDT by I still care (I miss my friends, bagels, and the NYC skyline - but not the taxes. I love the South.)
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To: Heff

The other day I just realized the enormity of the the dueling polls and news cycles. Epic campaign, nobody is giving an inch. For every Obama is up by one, a Romney up by 3 pops up. Every time they say Obama is going to win Ohio, somebody say’s Romney is surging in Wisconsin or Minnesota and making huge leaps in Penn. It’s hard to imagine Ohio — a rust belt state not tending towards Romney if he is indeed polling up or surging in the surrounding rest belt states.

The fight now is all about the turn out, or so Obama thinks. Sure a really depressed turnout on either side will hurt them, but I think Obama’s team is purposefully misjudging their candidates polling strengths because if not,then all else is lost.

Romney is in the coat tail phase of his campaign, my prediction, my feeling today is Romney going to show very strong on Election day. I predict Obama will lose all but one of the swing states, and may possibly even lose a surprise blue state considered solidly for Obama.


32 posted on 10/30/2012 9:07:38 AM PDT by Usagi_yo
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To: Heff

Rats poll better on weekends. I don’t see the polls tightening up in any material way.


33 posted on 10/30/2012 9:07:59 AM PDT by LowTaxesEqualsProsperity
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To: Heff

I don’t see that. A lot of polls showing Obama in the lead a week ago now have it even or a 1 point Romney lead. They are falling in line in the final week to keep their credibility.

Rasmussen is a point closer, which could be statistical noise, weekend data, or storm impact. We’ll see how it goes Wed and Thurs as the weekend falls off and the impact of the storm are baked in.


34 posted on 10/30/2012 9:08:44 AM PDT by ilgipper (Obama supporters are comprised of the uninformed & the ill-informed)
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To: ScottinVA
I don't agree that this helps Obama. Allot of Marxist foot soldiers live and work in the areas hit hardest like NYC, Long Island & CT. Their servers will be down. They won't have time to agitate, blog, Tweet and make phone calls. They will be less likely to write political checks. When the early returns start coming in next week, The national popular vote will show RR up early because the Eastern Inner city turnout will be lessened. Obviously RR will not win NY, but the impression given might discourage some western Obama supporters. I just don't see this helping him.
35 posted on 10/30/2012 9:10:49 AM PDT by outofstyle (Down All the Days)
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To: Heff

Scenario- The Polls all show a last minute, perhaps massive, swing toward the kenyan, the exit polls all show the kenyan winning handily. Romney wins. The Democrats scream FRAUD! and launch a million lawyers and start demanding recounts in all the states the kenyan lost. None of it would surprise me even a little. Would Justice Roberts do the Constitutional right thing or would he stay with his new found homies and get loved and lauded by MSM and all the social lions of DC and NY?


36 posted on 10/30/2012 9:12:54 AM PDT by arthurus (Read Hazlitt's Economics In One Lesson ONLINE www.fee.org/library/books/economics-in-one-lesson)
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To: arthurus

“Would Justice Roberts do the Constitutional right thing or would he stay with his new found homies and get loved and lauded by MSM and all the social lions of DC and NY?”

I’m afraid he would just give it to the kenyan to make it look like he could “even up” the hanging chad thing.


37 posted on 10/30/2012 9:20:25 AM PDT by freeangel ( (free speech is only good until someone else doesn't like it)
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To: IC Ken
Affecting. Benghazi is not causing (effecting) this election.
38 posted on 10/30/2012 9:22:48 AM PDT by arthurus (Read Hazlitt's Economics In One Lesson ONLINE www.fee.org/library/books/economics-in-one-lesson)
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To: Usagi_yo
The fight now is all about the turn out

and about illegal votes and the vote count. The President has one real skill, that of community organizer, a profession that includes things like getting a maximum number of fraudulent voters to the polls. In the Demomachine cities that augments the heavy handed miscounting of votes and "finding" of votes in closets and the disallowing of whole classes of votes, etc., that is done by the Machine.

39 posted on 10/30/2012 9:30:05 AM PDT by arthurus (Read Hazlitt's Economics In One Lesson ONLINE www.fee.org/library/books/economics-in-one-lesson)
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To: HokieMom

Tightening?

Gallup ticked up to 5 yesterday. RAS is still around 2 with a D+ sample. NPR shows Romeny gaining 9 points to take the lead. Romeny had first Ohio lead in RAS Monday.

But how the hurricane impacts the election.... Who knows


40 posted on 10/30/2012 9:31:04 AM PDT by gswilder
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