Skip to comments.Election 2012: Ohio President: Obama 49%, Romney 49%
Posted on 11/02/2012 11:47:47 AM PDT by ScottinVA
With four days to go, President Obama and Mitt Romney are tied in the critical battleground state of Ohio.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds Obama and Romney each with 49% support. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Ohio remains one of eight Toss-Up states in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama won the Buckeye State in 2008 by a 52% to 47% margin.
At the beginning of the week, Romney held a slight 50% to 48% advantage. It was the first time Romney has taken even a modest lead in the race of Ohio's 18 Electoral College votes since late May, but the two candidates have been within two percentage points of one another since then.
Forty percent (40%) of Ohio voters say they have already cast their ballots, and among these voters, the president has a comfortable 56% to 41% lead.
Both candidates earn better than 90% support from voters in their respective parties. The president is ahead 50% to 41% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Wow, news to me - have a source?
And these morons will be all over this site all fricking weekend.
Many of them are DU trolls as evidence by their date of joining FR (usually within a month or so of a past national election).
The rest are the resident losers that are spending their time looking at polls and have spent zero minutes volunteering with GOTV efforts.
It’s not a good poll if it says 40% have already voted according to Ken Garner
Help me on this one as I can’t follow the math...tied at 49% but Obama ahead 56%-41% of the 40% who have already cast ballots, and Obama up 50% to 41% with independents and more than 90% support the candidate of their party. Either this is a +R poll or this statement is backwards-—”The president is ahead 50% to 41% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.”
You’re referring to Ras’ national poll.
While the early voting numbers are not encouraging the Independent numbers are awful. Romney can’t win any crap in any swing state that has him down 9 with independents. And in order for Rasmussen to show a tie in Ohio with Independents +9 for Obama he is giving the R’s all the benefit of turnout. This one ruined my day.
Geeze, and people call me a pessimist....
I think we're seeing a little bit of a Sandy bounce for Obama. Mitt had momentum and it appears to have been stopped for the moment. Unfortunately, we had an act of God, hurricane Sandy, at the last moment of this election cycle and it was one that seems to have helped Hussein.
It's very possible this little bounce will fade and Romney's poll position will improve the last couple days.
Turnout was 5.7 in 2008 in Ohio too, and 5.6 million in 2004; it will be remarkable if it *doesn’t* get to 5.7 million in 2012, not if it *does*.
Still leaves a bit of work to do on election day.
I was trying to figure that out myself, unless Rasmussen fat-fingered that 40% figure for the early voters.
Why are you on every thread projecting doom and gloom?
You get real. The polls are never wrong in the end. The person they have winning always wins. Maybe not by the margin they have it but you get the drift. RCP average is usually pretty solig within a point or two. Get your head out of the sand.
Christie probably just cost us the election with his super over the top praise and photo op making Obama seem more with it and presidential than he has this entire election cycle.
And what? FEMA still took four days to hit the ground and NJ/NY is still an effing mess. But yea they got the photo op and Christie got his fat claws on tons of Federal money.
Its all good. So what Romney loses and the country is screwed.
Could that be a misprint? Because I don't see how that depressing internal leads to Romney running even with Obama.
49 + 49 + 2 + 1 = 101
Are these figures rounded, or is a 1% fraud adjustment factored into this poll?
Enough to erase a 14-point deficit? I doubt it.
I checked InTrade earlier and they’ve got Obama’s chances of winning at 66%. That, along with poll movement toward Obama, has me feeling shaky about Romney’s prospects.
He needs a clear margin of victory to win, and I just don’t see it. The left is still reeling from Gore/Bush in 2000, and they’ll manufacture enough votes to ensure that they don’t lose the presidency again in such a case.
It’s been posted on some other threads here; something like McCain was down by 250,000 or so in early voting in 2008 and this year.... Romney isn’t down quite so much.
Keep in mind that nobody knows how early *voting* is going, they only know early *ballot requests*. Not who the requestors actually voted for, and not even whether the ballot was returned.
I remember reading a rather factual study about ten years ago. It was an employers guide regarding specifics types of people to avoid hiring. The percentage of accuracy for the top three types was off the charts. I will not mention two of the three, BUT number one was, younger obese people, who do not have medical conditions as the cause. The logic was, lazy, emotional problems, self-gratifying, dishonest and angry.
this is a Rass. poll not RCP but point taken.