Skip to comments.Barone: Going out on a limb: Romney beats Obama, handily (315-223, wow!)
Posted on 11/02/2012 2:34:59 PM PDT by TonyInOhio
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How about Governors? We will lose none and gain NC.
Could also gain MT, NH, WA. In that order of likelyhood IMO.
Weak chance in MO if we have a very good night.
Don’t know about state leg chambers that could shift, I hope we hold control in Maine.
Boy, do I hope I’m wrong, but I don’t think Mack will make it, big win for Romney or not.
On the other hand, I think McMahon has a decent shot, as does Brown of holding on. I wouldn’t be completely shocked if Akin somehow pulled it out, assuming the GOP is winning as many races as you think. He isn’t doing much worse than Mack in the polls, and unlike Nelson in FL, McCaskill seems to still be hated in MO.
I think we get the MT, NH and even the WA governorships; in fact, my upset special is the WV governorship. No chance on the MO governorship, I’m afraid (it was uphil lto begin with, and Akin sealed the deal for Nixon).
BTW, did you guys see what Rasmussen’s party ID findings were for October? R+5.8! Check them out by month for the past decade:
Rasmussen had never found a higher GOP advantage in party ID in any month over the past decade.
Rasmussen had it at D+7.1% in Oct. 2008 (when the exit polls ended up finding it D+7), and D+1.5 in Oct. 2004 (when the exit polls found D+0), so its record on this particular measure is outstanding.
Ras is being extra careful not to be accused of being a “Republican pollster” (not that Silver et al don’t do it anyways), so they weigh their national polls to D+3.5 (roughly halfway between the 2004 and 2008 electorate). The final Ras national poll was Romney 49, Obama 48; had Ras used the party identification it found throughout October, it would have been Romney 53, Obama 44.
I don’t want to sound giddy, but this is the best news regarding the election since at least the Gallup polls after the first debate (maybe ever).
Rasmussen is a whore.
Remember the names of the traitors of 2008 that foisted the animal and his cabal upon us and the world.
Never, never let them forget - like the Holocaust.