I agree with Michael Barone.
He knows American politics far better than any one alive and I respect his judgment.
I think its a good call. Romney won’t win more than 322 electoral votes max. He can afford to lose a few states and still win the presidency.
What kind of prediction record does Barone have? Just curious.
If I wanted to hear from anyone predicting a Romney victory it would be him.
Keep praying and VOTE!
That is what I was thinking. He is a walking talking voting by precinct all over the USA genius. I’m buying be a bottle of wine for election night. To celebrate. & hopefully starting early. All these threads and polls today have me a little uptight so I’ll need that wine by Tuesday.
This is big time good news! Barone is the most respected in the business when it comes to analyzing this thing all the way down to the CD. Someone said one time that you can ask him about virtually any CD and he can talk for hours about its makeup, its history, touchpoint issues, demographics, etc. He knows US elections like the back of his hand.
Barone has to be pretty confident, normally holds his cards closer to his vest than this, good sign.
Confirming your feel for a Mitt win. You know your stuff and I trust your read more than the pollsters who ask for money and then call it too close to call in the end.
I now feel about 99% better. Barone’s one of the very few pundits who aren’t named Rush Limbaugh I respect.
Barone is brilliant, but what was his prediction in 2008?
Karl Rove was almost on the money in ‘08 and predicted Romney, albeit by a smaller margin than Barone is saying.
The most important fact that I take away from Barone is that less and less voters answer their phones to participate in polls. With caller ID most screen their incoming calls. Personally, I have been not answered numerous calls from IPSOS, Survey USA and various front groups. Michael feels that pollsters are very worried about future techniques they can use to keep their profession viable and cost effective.
Michigan a stretch for sure, but with a declining Detroit population and low turnout....
The surprise could be Nevada based on Mormon turnout. I just don't know if the population in the rural areas is enough to overcome the Union thugs in Clark County.
Final spiking of the football would be one electoral vote in Maine.....
Whatever Michael Barone says WRT elections, I take to the bank.
Will Barone be working for Fox News on election night? I’ve always looked forward to his analysis as the election unfolds. I didn’t watch much in 2008, so I’m hoping he’s still working as an analyst for them.
Four days until we find out if Mr. Barone’s limb held or if he is doing his Rocky the Flying Squirrel impression.
How I wish I could be as confident as he seemed to be that the accursed obomination is going to be exorcised from the White House.
I’ll settle for 269-269...270-268 would be better....330-208 would better still.
Please make it be so
We want more than a landslide—we want criminal prosecutions followed by death sentences where warranted.