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Michael Barone knows more about elections than any human alive, I'd guess, right down to the precinct level. This is a bold prediction, but I don't think he'd make it unless he was confident in the outcome.
1 posted on 11/02/2012 2:35:00 PM PDT by TonyInOhio
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To: TonyInOhio

Just heard Barone on Hannity. Says there is still a concern that O could win this thing given all the flaws in polling - could be masking patterns.....

But, he sounded pretty confident on RR win.


2 posted on 11/02/2012 2:40:13 PM PDT by wolf24
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To: TonyInOhio

I agree with Michael Barone.

He knows American politics far better than any one alive and I respect his judgment.

I think its a good call. Romney won’t win more than 322 electoral votes max. He can afford to lose a few states and still win the presidency.


3 posted on 11/02/2012 2:40:57 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: TonyInOhio

What kind of prediction record does Barone have? Just curious.


4 posted on 11/02/2012 2:42:50 PM PDT by erod (I'm a Chicagoan till Chicago ends...)
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To: TonyInOhio

True.

If I wanted to hear from anyone predicting a Romney victory it would be him.


5 posted on 11/02/2012 2:43:38 PM PDT by traderrob6
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To: TonyInOhio; Nachum; Ernest_at_the_Beach; maggief; penelopesire; SE Mom; RedMDer; DJ MacWoW; ...

Keep praying and VOTE!


6 posted on 11/02/2012 2:43:54 PM PDT by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: TonyInOhio

That is what I was thinking. He is a walking talking voting by precinct all over the USA genius. I’m buying be a bottle of wine for election night. To celebrate. & hopefully starting early. All these threads and polls today have me a little uptight so I’ll need that wine by Tuesday.


7 posted on 11/02/2012 2:44:32 PM PDT by Qwackertoo (Romney/Ryan 2012 The Future of Our Children and Their Children are at stake.)
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To: TonyInOhio

This is big time good news! Barone is the most respected in the business when it comes to analyzing this thing all the way down to the CD. Someone said one time that you can ask him about virtually any CD and he can talk for hours about its makeup, its history, touchpoint issues, demographics, etc. He knows US elections like the back of his hand.


8 posted on 11/02/2012 2:46:49 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: TonyInOhio

Barone has to be pretty confident, normally holds his cards closer to his vest than this, good sign.


9 posted on 11/02/2012 2:46:49 PM PDT by The Cajun (Sarah Palin, Mark Levin......Nuff said.)
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To: TonyInOhio

Thanks Michael.

Confirming your feel for a Mitt win. You know your stuff and I trust your read more than the pollsters who ask for money and then call it too close to call in the end.


11 posted on 11/02/2012 2:50:05 PM PDT by patriotspride
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To: TonyInOhio

I now feel about 99% better. Barone’s one of the very few pundits who aren’t named Rush Limbaugh I respect.


14 posted on 11/02/2012 2:53:19 PM PDT by Snake65
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To: TonyInOhio

Barone is brilliant, but what was his prediction in 2008?

Karl Rove was almost on the money in ‘08 and predicted Romney, albeit by a smaller margin than Barone is saying.


18 posted on 11/02/2012 3:04:42 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: TonyInOhio

The most important fact that I take away from Barone is that less and less voters answer their phones to participate in polls. With caller ID most screen their incoming calls. Personally, I have been not answered numerous calls from IPSOS, Survey USA and various front groups. Michael feels that pollsters are very worried about future techniques they can use to keep their profession viable and cost effective.


19 posted on 11/02/2012 3:05:08 PM PDT by Kahuna
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To: TonyInOhio
I agree with Baron- but wouldn't adding these long shots be sweet:

Michigan a stretch for sure, but with a declining Detroit population and low turnout....

The surprise could be Nevada based on Mormon turnout. I just don't know if the population in the rural areas is enough to overcome the Union thugs in Clark County.

Final spiking of the football would be one electoral vote in Maine.....

20 posted on 11/02/2012 3:12:26 PM PDT by 11th Commandment (http://www.thirty-thousand.org/)
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To: TonyInOhio

Whatever Michael Barone says WRT elections, I take to the bank.

President Romney.


21 posted on 11/02/2012 3:14:53 PM PDT by savedbygrace (But God.)
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To: TonyInOhio

Will Barone be working for Fox News on election night? I’ve always looked forward to his analysis as the election unfolds. I didn’t watch much in 2008, so I’m hoping he’s still working as an analyst for them.


23 posted on 11/02/2012 3:18:25 PM PDT by Mase (Save me from the people who would save me from myself!)
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To: TonyInOhio
Barone is a walking encyclopedia when it comes to voters, districts and issues. He is also not given to flamboyance and braggadocio. Caution is his MO and I highly value his opinions on this election.
26 posted on 11/02/2012 3:22:12 PM PDT by JPG (Make it happen)
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To: TonyInOhio

Four days until we find out if Mr. Barone’s limb held or if he is doing his Rocky the Flying Squirrel impression.

How I wish I could be as confident as he seemed to be that the accursed obomination is going to be exorcised from the White House.


27 posted on 11/02/2012 3:22:23 PM PDT by Dr.Zoidberg (With (R)epublicans like these, who needs (D)emocrats?)
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To: TonyInOhio

I’ll settle for 269-269...270-268 would be better....330-208 would better still.


30 posted on 11/02/2012 3:24:37 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive)
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To: Clintonfatigued; Impy; AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj; no dems; Kaslin; perfect_rovian_storm; ...

ping


33 posted on 11/02/2012 3:30:42 PM PDT by randita
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To: TonyInOhio

Please make it be so


34 posted on 11/02/2012 3:38:50 PM PDT by nuconvert ( Khomeini promised change too // Hail, Chairman O)
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