This shows he thought Obama was likely to win.
He was pretty much on target with the 2008 predictions too, though unfortunately he was wrong about Norm Coleman getting reelected.
Michael is indeed a walking encyclopedia of politics and elections. Every time I met him he recognized my last name as being the same as a former mayor of my town (and distant relative) who served in the 1950s! So he seems to know about every precinct in the country.
With that in mind I am encouraged by his prediction. He and Dick Morris are about the only ones saying Romney wins by a large margin. I respect Barone’s opinion but I still am skeptical. If it turns out he is right though, he will be one of the most sought after pundits in every future election.
Barone pretty much predicted Obama at 353 electoral votes (see final paragraph). He just didn’t come right out and say it was his prediction, probably so as to not deflate everyone.