Skip to comments.Dick Morris: In The Last Few Hours, Sudden Danger Signs In Polling (Christie Hurts Romney)
Posted on 11/02/2012 4:40:55 PM PDT by montag813
As Election Day approaches, we must be very sensitive to last minute changes in the polls. Remember that President George W. Bush fell from a 4 point lead into a tie over the last weekend in 2000 and Clinton rose from a tie to a 5 point win in the last weekend of 1992.
With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a two point gain for Obama. Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney two ahead, he now has the race tied at 48-48.
That is troublesome.
And, in Pennsylvania, Romney led on Wednesday night by two points but on Thursday nights polling, he was tied. We have also seem slippage for Romney in Michigan. More troubling, Rasmussen shows a two point gain for Obama in job approval rising from 48% to 50% in the current poll.
All of these changes are, no doubt, related to hurricane Sandy.
Nobody really knows what the impact of hurricane Sandy will be on the election. Until its waves crashed into the New Jersey shore, the election was well in hand for the Romney campaign.
Coming off strong debate performances in which he debunked Obamas negative attacks on him, the former Massachusetts governor was doing very well. Obama was reeling, unable to regain his footing, in search of a message, and bedeviled by questions about his increasingly obvious coverup of the Libyan attacks. But after the storm? Who knows? We have never had a storm so close to a national election, much less one as close as this is.
Many a governor or mayor has recovered from political oblivion by actively running around his state seeming to coordinate storm relief. And just as many have fallen apart because of a failure to clean up promptly.
It may be that Obamas visit to New Jersey and the high profile (figurative) kisses bestowed on him by nominal Republican Mayor Bloomberg of New York and real Republican Chris Christie of New Jersey might have helped him.
Perhaps he is erasing the image of a nit-picking, petulant president deep into negative charges against his opponent and replacing it with the image of an executive handling a tough situation for our country.
This race is not over yet! And with a media determined to re-elect Obama, we may see the presidents recovery continue unless we step up our own efforts to thwart it. We are still likely to win. The undecided vote always goes against the incumbent and all the polling suggests we will be more successful than they will be at turning out our vote. But, early warning signs must be headed.
Bottom line: WORK LIKE HELL!!!
Watch as the Amazing Morris transforms from a landslide predictor to concern troll overnight.
Christie and Bloomburg are a part of the rino element within the Republican party. They are trying hard to to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
What’s funny about some of those pix is the badge Obama is wearing on his Air Force One leather jacket. It says:
Commander in Chief
Is it to remind others of his title, or himself?
All the headlines now about Sandy are bad for Obama. His own are turning on him.
Totally agree. I love Dick but he’s a little weasel. Mitt is doing just fine and on track to a landslide victory. This storm is not doing Barry any good.
Christie / Crist 2016. The Judas ticket.
When Monday arrives all these politicians will be feeling the wrath of the victims of this storm. The high fives Chris, Bloomberg and Obama were handing out will be a sad reminder of their shallowness. Sandy is a negative.
The fact is that Obama remains at 47 or 48 four days before the election. Not good for an incumbent.
I have never been a Christie fan and couldn’t understand why Ann Coulter was so gung-ho about him. I found him to be bullish and a show off. In my opinion, he lacked the temperament and self control to be President or Vice-President.
I agree 100% with the second paragraph of your post! I wanted to slug him when he was walking arm in arm with Obama. There was no need for all the praising he was doing... a polite recognition was all that was needed.
” run in 2016 as a Dem. What the hell, the Dem’s have no bench... Think about it, it makes perfect sense... “
Good point. He is from a Dem state. He would claim that “the Republican party left him” and would appear bi-partisan.
Hah, didn’t even catch that one! Doesn’t help the keys are right next to each other.
More likely a normal tightening of the polls before election day.
had to go look at pic again, LOL
I think that is a fair way to state it with the caveat that we really don't know what Obama has been doing behind the scenes. I mean it is his job after all and he is standing for election in less than week. So it is reasonable to assume that Obama would want to look good and do everything he can for NJ at this critical juncture. If so then Christie may have been truthful in praising him.
However it is a matter of style. Christie was a bit over the top in the way he praised someone for perhaps doing their damn job. I say perhaps because I still have no idea what Obama actually did or is doing.
Arrogance and glibness has been selling like hotcakes. Romney & Ryan make such a nice contrast. Romney doesn’t act like he’s a celebrity, just a guy who thinks he can help.
Christy is starting to wear faster than he is aware.
I was a fan of Christie’s until his bizarre prima donna speech at the convention.