Skip to comments.Dick Morris: In The Last Few Hours, Sudden Danger Signs In Polling (Christie Hurts Romney)
Posted on 11/02/2012 4:40:55 PM PDT by montag813
As Election Day approaches, we must be very sensitive to last minute changes in the polls. Remember that President George W. Bush fell from a 4 point lead into a tie over the last weekend in 2000 and Clinton rose from a tie to a 5 point win in the last weekend of 1992.
With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a two point gain for Obama. Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney two ahead, he now has the race tied at 48-48.
That is troublesome.
And, in Pennsylvania, Romney led on Wednesday night by two points but on Thursday nights polling, he was tied. We have also seem slippage for Romney in Michigan. More troubling, Rasmussen shows a two point gain for Obama in job approval rising from 48% to 50% in the current poll.
All of these changes are, no doubt, related to hurricane Sandy.
Nobody really knows what the impact of hurricane Sandy will be on the election. Until its waves crashed into the New Jersey shore, the election was well in hand for the Romney campaign.
Coming off strong debate performances in which he debunked Obamas negative attacks on him, the former Massachusetts governor was doing very well. Obama was reeling, unable to regain his footing, in search of a message, and bedeviled by questions about his increasingly obvious coverup of the Libyan attacks. But after the storm? Who knows? We have never had a storm so close to a national election, much less one as close as this is.
Many a governor or mayor has recovered from political oblivion by actively running around his state seeming to coordinate storm relief. And just as many have fallen apart because of a failure to clean up promptly.
It may be that Obamas visit to New Jersey and the high profile (figurative) kisses bestowed on him by nominal Republican Mayor Bloomberg of New York and real Republican Chris Christie of New Jersey might have helped him.
Perhaps he is erasing the image of a nit-picking, petulant president deep into negative charges against his opponent and replacing it with the image of an executive handling a tough situation for our country.
This race is not over yet! And with a media determined to re-elect Obama, we may see the presidents recovery continue unless we step up our own efforts to thwart it. We are still likely to win. The undecided vote always goes against the incumbent and all the polling suggests we will be more successful than they will be at turning out our vote. But, early warning signs must be headed.
Bottom line: WORK LIKE HELL!!!
very unfortunate mike placement.
Gee even christie’s mike is fatter.
Dead to me: John Roberts. Chris Christie.
Who’s next for the GOP circular file?
How could this horrible disaster response give Obama a boost?
That said, Morris is selling drama here.
Agree. He cant be gloating blowout and then scurry back when a controversy arises
Seriously, who didn’t see this article coming right before the last weekend leading up to the election?
Follow the money trail. I think fat gasbag Cristie Creme was bribed with recovery effort and funds and Cristie Creme fell for it. He’s done as a Republican....stick a fork in em.
Don’t think R&R ever had a chance in either NJ or NY. I agree that the fundamentals are still, at least moderately, in Romneys favor. Just a Morris “look at me” moment.
You are correct, but one minor adjustment. NJ was never going for Romney. That is the downside. People from outside NY and NJ are looking at NY and NJ and they are being driven to Romney. Now if Romney had some time to come down hard on Sandy and how ineffective the federal government is in responding to these things, he could win NJ and NY. That time doesn't exist before the Tuesday. Only personal responsibility, neighborhoods, and local government can respond to these events. Even when a state government gets involved things get screwed up.
The new Laurel & Hardy
Oh well, at least we still have Gov. LePage
Christie = Christ + 250 lbs. - suntan. So it looks like the bowel movement will go to the Dems.
But, the way things are going in NY and NJ, Sandy might be Katrina with zero leaving millions ‘behind’.
If Chris Christie runs in 2016, he'll be running as the 2016 version of Rick Santorum -- the guy who thinks he could be president even after losing his last election in his own state.
I don't agree with either Christie or you. I don't agree with Christie's praise of Obama because I don't see evidence that Obama did anything to deserve it. However I wasn't there and I am not privy to what Christie saw.
I disagree with everything you wrote even more. In disasters Governors should give credit where it is due and if Christie believes Obama was responsive and helpful then he should say so and should NOT play politics with political disasters. Let the chips fall where they may. It was an act of God.
Furthermore if a single photo-op results in Obama winning an election I don't blame Christie. I blame the idiots that were persuaded on such a shallow basis. In any event if Obama gets reelected given this economy then the U.S. gets what it deserves. This country deserves Obama if it reelects him. In a rational world this would be a blow-out in Romney's favor.
This election isn’t about either Obama or Romney. It is a test of the American people. If we elect Obama we deserve the destruction that will be inevitable. The American people are on trial. I hope we pass the test. If we don’t, God please make our end come quickly.
Really hard for me to believe anyone outside NJ or NY care about what Christie does. If anything, common sense would say that the mess that is the NY/NJ area at this point would hurt Obama alot more than help him. But then again: who knows? It seems like common sense and a majority of the American people parted ways a while ago.
To hell with Morris, Im going with Barone...