Lots of confusion here. 2008, dems were 47% and reps 35% in washoe. Obama won staewide by 11. So washoe is a bellwether. In 2012, reps barely ahead in WASHOE. thats important.
Now clark. They creamed us in 2008 by 51 to 30 in ev dems to reps. Now 2012, dems 47% and reps 33%. This is an improvement over 2008 by a lot b
ut the question to me is it enough?
Outstate is obviously big romney.
WILL WASHOE BE THE BELLWETHET AGAIN.
Dems and Reps don't tell the whole story here. About 20% of the EV in both '08 and '12 are Independents. In '08 they went massively for Obama. In '12 Romney should do well with them.