Skip to comments.PPP: Obama leads in Ohio(+5) and Virginia(+4) (Also Obama up +2 in Iowa, N.H.)
Posted on 11/04/2012 7:09:03 PM PST by tcrlaf
PPP's final polls in Ohio and Virginia find Barack Obama ahead in both states, 52/47 in Ohio and 51/47 in Virginia. PPP has conducted four polls in each of these states over the last three weeks and has found an average lead of 3.75 points for Obama in Ohio and an average advantage of 3.5 points for him in Virginia.
In Ohio Obama's already built up a large lead during the early voting period. He's up 60/39 with those who already cast their ballots. Romney's ahead 51/48 with people who plan to vote on election day but he's going to need a much wider margin than that to take the state.
Obama's winning thanks to leads of 54/44 with women, 86/11 with African Americans, and 61/33 with voters under 30. And although he trails Romney with independents (49/47) and white voters (51/47), he's holding Romney to margins well below what he would need to win those groups.
It's a similar story in Virginia. Obama's up 56/43 with women and 92/8 with African Americans and he's holding Romney to a 58/40 advantage with whites, which is below what we've generally been finding for him nationally recently. When you combine Obama's relative strength among white voters with Virginia being one of the more racially diverse states in the country it's the formula for a lead.
Democrats are also well positioned to win the US Senate races in each of these states. Tim Kaine leads George Allen 52/46 in Virginia's open seat race and Sherrod Brown's up 54/44 for reelection against Josh Mandel. It's a similar story in both states. Voters like the Democratic candidates- Brown has a 48/43 approval rating and Kaine has a 50/40 favorability rating. They don't much care for the Republican contenders- Mandel's favorability is 36/50, Allen's is 42/48.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
I’ll say. What’s with the onslaught of polls that have Obama up. We get it...MSM, you want us to believe that Obama is going to win. How original of you.
The MSM is so pathetic. I believe Karl Rove and Barone before I believe all of these polls that are skewed to benefit Democrats.
The truth shall be revealed on Tuesday. Frankly, I can’t wait because I’m tired of the games. Please vote and take friends and neighbors with you. Call your neighbors and ask them if they want a ride! We’ve got the enthusiasm, the Dems don’t. We just need to transfer that enthusiasm into votes for Romney!
Please think about what you are saying.
You look really stupid with this post.
PPP-—Preposterous Push Polling.
Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: The Sunday evening (semi-final) edition
by Steve Singise
As if anyone needed more evidence that the 2012 election cycle was headed into the final few meters of the marathon, check this stat out: with more polls to come on Monday, we have logged a grand total of 132 polls to the 2012 database. And that is in roughly 48 hours, since the power issues back in NYC delayed the Wrap on Friday until approximately this time in the evening.
With such a mountain of data, it is easier than normal to draw conclusions. And, by and large, it is hard for Democrats not to be encouraged by the avalanche of numbers cascading down this weekend.
For the first time in a long time, there is a semi-consensus in the national polls, and it is good news for the incumbent. Despite some wildly variable individual polling in the state surveys, the critical mass of data points to a considerably easier path to 270 electoral votes for President Obama than it does for Mitt Romney.
My sister was just polled by Rasmussen. She said dhe felt like she had just won the Lotto.
PPP had Scott Walker leading his recall race about two weeks befroe the recall election. Then just before the recall, they came out with a tightened race, saying it was now even. Scott Walker won his recall easily by seven (7) points, virtual landslide!!! PPP speaks with forked tongue!!!
this makes me sick
What do you expect from the Daily Kos?
It is quite maddening. Not only do we eat different chicken, we pay attention to different polls and live in alternate universes.
I don’t know about anyone else, but I’m sick of it. I can ignore the Dems on average days. However, we have a Presidential election in 48 hours. I’d like answers. I’d like truth. I don’t want these warped polls. You’re right—the leftists are convinced that Obama will win in a landslide. Have you checked out those crazy sites lately? They’re all ready popping the champagne corks.
Idiots. I really will be glad when this election is over. I’m going to canvass all day tomorrow for Romney and keep my mind off of the lunacy. That way, when we win on Tues, I’ll be much more relaxed.
Sez who? I don’t buy it.
And this on the heels of Cincinnatti-based Kroger company (KR), about to reduce or layoff thousands of hourly workers to reduce the costs of Obamacare. See Doug Ross Journal.
I sure hope its a landslide because I think they are trying to steal Ohio and probably a couple other states
They’re making stuff up, you can bank on it. Let’s go vote Tuesday and put this away.
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In the end they will be able to say they were right and just pick one of the many conflicting polls that best matches Tuesday night’s results.
It’s time to start archiving all the polls to remember who is pumping up the liberal side fictitiously.
In 1980, the media reported the race as too close to call and acted surprised that the Gipper won. How do you miss a 44 state blowout of an incumbent president? Easy. They wanted to.
In 1984, the media suddenly forgot to report polls. The day before the election, USA Today reported, “Reagan seeks 50 state sweep.” That was the only time the media told the truth that year. Afterwards they acted like they knew Mondale would lose all along.
In 1988 the media colluded with Dukakis campaign manager John Sasso to produce stories that a lame little slogan, “I'm on your side,” had produced massive fervor for Dukakis. Lou Harris called the race a “dead heat” on election day. Bush won 40 states. Barry Goldwater correctly predicted it would be the last such win for the GOP.
In 1992, Newsweek featured artistic drawings of Bill Clinton taking the oath of office eight months before the election. Nina Totenberg predicted a landslide victory for Clinton the Monday before the election. Nobody talked about Perot as a vote for Clinton, not even our side. The polls showed a Clinton blowout. He won by five.
Dole was routinely portrayed as fifteen to twenty points down in 1996. He lost by nine and basically forfeited. It was the first of GOP decisions to nominate doughnut holes as GOP candidates.
In 2000, the race was close, but a Democrat dirty trick nearly defeated Bush. The same media that decried Nixon's “dirty tricks,” and Bush's “Willie Horton” ads, gleefully reported the drunk driving story with fervent repetition.
In 2004, Dan Rather tried to fix the race and Freepers fought back in this website’s finest hour. The race was indeed close, but the press reported that Lurch was ahead of Bush.
In 2008, the media turned their flamethrowers on Sarah Palin with the same results they brought against Dan Quayle twenty years earlier. If Quayle and Palin had been Democrats, they would have been leftist saints, absolutely canonized.
So now they uniformly tell us the race is tied, just like in 1980, and refusing to make Benghazi an issue as they hid Iran from the campaign for Jimmy Carter after the primaries. They tell us the same crap as back then. They never change.
Just a little history as we head to the home stretch, from an old dude who remembers. I cast my first vote for Carter against Ford. I've never voted for a Democrat since.
If Romney takes Florida, Virginia and Missouri (which I think he probably will) then taking *either* Ohio or Pennsylvania brings him to the cusp of victory. He would need just one swing state from among Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire or Wisconsin to put him over the top.
If he takes Michigan or Minnesota, it’s all sewn up.
Don’t worry about NY or NJ. They can be ceded to Obama despite all the post-Sandy shenanigans that will likely ensue.
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