Skip to comments.Rasmussen Party Id: Republicans +5.8 (All Time Record)
Posted on 11/05/2012 9:22:53 AM PST by nhwingut
Oct 2012: Republican: 39.1% Democrat: 33.3% Other: 27.5% (R+5.8%)
Sep 2012: Republican: 36.8% Democrat: 34.2% Other: 29.0% (R+2.6%)
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Oct 2010: R 33.4% D 36.3% O 30.3% (R-2.9%)
Holy cow. If this is accurate, the polling is WAAAAAY off and we very well be looking at a landslide.
If thats correct...Obama is more than screwed tomorrow, it will be a landslide. I’m not joking about that, the Obama electorate this year in 2012 has been one big illusion pulled on the american people.
Holy cow...8.7% swing from 2010?
If this is true, how can Rasmussen have the election at R+1? That makes no sense.
OK, very good. So the next obvious question is why aren’t we seeing this in his daily polling results?
So is that the expected turnout?
L A N S L I D E.
L A N D S L I D E
Party registration can’t have changed that much. Perhaps Republicans are finally answering pollster’s phone calls more?
Then unless there has been a sudden surge of Republicans for Obama, polls showing this to be a tight race are full of it.
The republicans are + 5.8% and Mitt has the independents in double digits......and this is a close election??
Is this landslide like a 900 pound gorilla in the room and every pollster is ignoring?? Something is not adding up folks.
I can think of two reasons:
Ras follows the herd like the rest of them and he thinks Republican voters won’t turn out like that.
But if he is wrong, its very good news for America!
He’s hedging his bets. He was getting pounded by other pollsters when he was sowing D+3 to D+5 when they were going higher than the 2008 turnout so he’s played it safe.
CRITICAL Datapoint ping.
See NHWinGut’s post above
I just don’t understand how there can be such disparity between these numbers, the crowds, and the polls.
I’m ready for tomorrow just so I can see which side was actually right.
But God, I sure hope it’s Romney and the Republicans...
It certainly is not plus Dim+11 LoL.
I'll be conservative here and say R+2 turnout, and with over 20% Indies breaking for Romney equals L A N D S L I D E.
This is Rasmussen’s party ID rolling research that has 15000 or so respondents. It’s basically good news for Romney, because it is a snapshot of the nation as it is, and with most independents supporting Romney, this should mean a Romney victory. In any case, it’s good news for Romney.