I think Toomey is right. While it is true that some of the SE PA counties are getting bluer, like Chester and Berks counties, the central and particularly the western parts of the State are getting redder. Much redder. In 2004, Kerry beat Bush 57-42 in Allegheny county (Pittsburgh). In 2008, when Obama swamped McCain everywhere, he beat him in Allegheny county 57-42. In fact, in some SW PA counties, McCain actually outperformed Bush. The only thing I can think of is not that they like John McCain, but that those counties are trending more heavily GOP. Or, it could be that PA basically hates Obama. Hillary easily beat him in the 2008 primaries, and he underperformed in the 2008 general election compared to other places in the country.
This time around, Romney should be able to pile up huge vote margins in central and western PA to offset Philadelphia. SW PA is similar to West Virginia, and they hate Obama in West Virginia. I am upping my chances for a Romney victory in PA to 60%. Hope I’m not wrong.
You bet! It was them there "clingers"...
Yep, WV def. hates Obama. I love it. I love that they gave Hillary her biggest margin over Obama even though Obama had already wrapped up the nomination, and I love that a felon almost beat Obama there in 2012.
And WV borders both PA and Ohio. If people think the invisible line separating the two states changes the people’s thinking, they’re wrong. People close to the WV and KY border in Ohio and the WV border in PA are going to be voting against Obama in HUGE numbers.