Skip to comments.Per DRUDGE: Romney internals--+1 in OH, tied in WI and PA!
Posted on 11/05/2012 1:15:27 PM PST by LS
Mitt Romney is ahead by a single percentage point in Ohio, according to internal polling data provided to MailOnline by a Republican party source.
Internal campaign polling completed last night by campaign pollster Neil Newhouse has Romney three points up in New Hampshire, two points up in Iowa and dead level in Wisconsin and - most startlingly - Pennsylvania.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...
Not doubting he's ahead, but leaking that he's up by 3 or 4 or 5 would be a dangerous move, especially given that we have more votes still waiting in OH, and the Dems have more in the can. On the other side, he certainly wouldn't leak that he's down; unless it's out of reach, so if the source really is trustworthy, that says Nevada is gone. That's OK. We don't need it.
It won’t this close, I see Ohio going 52-48.
It will be a tidal wave.
I agree. Real internal polls are almost never leaked for any reason.
I wouldn’t count NV out just yet.
Another thing going for us in Pennsylvania this year is that up to a week to ten days ago, the DemoCARP fraud machine believed Romney had written the state off. They haven’t had the time to organize their usual fraud in Philly.
In 2008 there were 200,000 provisional ballots cast; and it is estimated that military and overseas ballots number about 20,000 this year.
believe that landslide stuff at your own peril. Everyone is saying close even Romney’s internals if you are to believe the source. YES we have more enthusiasm and hopefully that translates into huge turnout for us or at least greater turnout vs dems.
I'm not criticizing, just observing.
It's this attitude times millions that answers why the economy stagnates under a President like zero.
Why the economy stagnates when five trillion is spent above what the economy can produce.
It explains why the stimulus multiplier that economists like to tout, is so low.
zero is an appropriate name for this man and his effect.
They wouldn't leak it to The Guardian if they didn't want it published. (If they leaked it to the NY Times or WaPo it would just be faxed to Chicago.) I think it's probably to encourage the GOTV effort to bring reluctant Romney voters in. I think it would be dangerous to claim a lead of, say 3-4 points, even if that's what they see.
It’s psyops, plain and simple, and the fact that the author is a Romney “insider” makes me even more sure that the real number is somewhere north of this. They’ve decided on a number that 1) is credible 2) is on the positive side, and 3) will maximize turnout by energizing committed voters to show up. In OH, that number is +1. In PA and WI, they probably don’t actually know which way it will go because the recent past history is so different between 2008 and 2010, so they’re questioning their own models — which might look quite good. But in states with some volatility between 2008 and 2010 Party self-ID is going to be a huge variable — and may even be changing as we type...
NOW I wonder if Freepers will whine about extending voting hours?
It's certainly a fun game, but Rove, the Rs I know around here . . . no one is acting like they lost and every one is acting like they won.
And even with a +3D model Ras has Romney ahead 1 point and winning indies by 10. Obama can’t get to 50.
This is misinformation leaked by RR to get NV voters to get their butts out of their chairs tomorrow and to keep the anxiety levels up in other states so that people actually turn out.
Last thing Romney wants is for Republican voters to fully believe the poll skew reality ... until after the election. This gives everyone a reason to actually engage in the minor inconvenience of voting tomorrow even if they believe it’s in the bag, for fear of guilt that if they don’t, results in a close election could have depended on them.
RR internally knows it’s over.
Rasmussen and Brone(sp?) on Hannity radio...OH state NONE can say who will win it! Both agree FL and VA going to Romney....STILL STUBBORN OH or else he would WIN PRES!! PA maybe both say...wow! NV Obama, CO Romney, WI maybe STRONG...WOW! BOTH don’t predict TSUYOMNEY...sorry..they both say a VERY TIE RACE...it’s ok, looks like ROMNEY HAS THE MO to capture the states that need to be in his column, except OH! None of them wanted to predict winner. DEAR GOD please bring OH to Romney’s column!