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Per DRUDGE: Romney internals--+1 in OH, tied in WI and PA!
Drudge per Daily Mail ^ | 11/5/2012 | LS

Posted on 11/05/2012 1:15:27 PM PST by LS

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To: Defiant

Here are the scenarios:
Romney takes all the McCain 2008 states, plus NC VA FL IN CO. This yields 257 EVs. Then only one of the following must be won for a Romney victory:
1. OH(18) -or-
2. PA(20) -or-
3. MI(16) -or-
4. MN(10) + [NH(4) or IA(6) or NV(6)] -or-
5. WI(10) + [NH(4) or IA(6) or NV(6)] -or-
6. NV(6) + IA(6) (the tie scenario).


101 posted on 11/05/2012 2:36:42 PM PST by Atlas Sneezed (Hold My Beer and Watch This!)
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To: RoseofTexas

Again you’re not making any sense that Barone refuses to pick a winner when he’s written that he predicts Romney just yesterday or Saturday.


102 posted on 11/05/2012 2:36:51 PM PST by snarkytart
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To: American Constitutionalist

ON NOV. 7TH MORNING RETURNS TO AMERICA: IN THE END, RIGHT TRIUMPHS

VICE PRESIDENT RYAN

103 posted on 11/05/2012 2:39:29 PM PST by jimsin (w)
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To: snarkytart

Barone stuck to his guns. He is still predicting large Romney victory.


104 posted on 11/05/2012 2:41:17 PM PST by wolf24
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To: snarkytart

Barone stuck to his guns. He is still predicting large Romney victory.


105 posted on 11/05/2012 2:41:24 PM PST by wolf24
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To: Defiant

I have felt for a long time that there is something up with
all the emphasis on early voting. When i drove by BOE in
akron friday,lines out the door,all obamma voters. I have a
feeling they are able to vote multiple times there. If they
can get across town, why not to local-closer-precint?

Perhaps winning ‘handily’ (Barone’s term) will overcome the
fraud here in ohio. I’m hopeful and anticipating a Romney
win and i WILL enjoy it, but i’m pissed about being”disen-
franchised” by cheating.


106 posted on 11/05/2012 2:41:49 PM PST by americas.best.days...
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I thought FR-Peers are not allowed to pay any attention to any polls, only the ballot box results.


107 posted on 11/05/2012 2:43:23 PM PST by yield 2 the right (2012, the election year that stinks!)
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To: LongWayHome

As I recall, campaign (Rove) leaked those 2004 numbers on election day to calm those who believed the media fake exit polls.

The moral here is not to believe any “exit poll” numbers you hear from the media this time either.


108 posted on 11/05/2012 2:46:19 PM PST by Gulf War One
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To: Gulf War One

Good point. I remember the Kerry people thinking this thing was over at 4 in the afternoon cause of those false exit polls.


109 posted on 11/05/2012 2:53:07 PM PST by LongWayHome
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To: TonyInOhio

You’re welcome.


110 posted on 11/05/2012 2:59:39 PM PST by xkaydet65
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To: wolf24

This is the ultimate “read between the lines” statement. He released electorate composition for October, which predicted dead on the Obama 2008 margin of victory, showing Republican +5.8 right now. Rasmussen will be able to say he hit the number in Voter ID while the tracking poll misses. I’m going to file this under the “subtle ways to help Romney without looking like it” file. Just like the Supreme Court decision on Obamacare, Rasmussen knows that his poll is followed heavily by R’s and Conservative and reviled by liberals. Close polls mean we ALL show up.


111 posted on 11/05/2012 3:05:44 PM PST by johncocktoasten (Practicing asymetrical thread warfare against anti-Palin Trolls)
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To: LS
That's what my model of Rasmussen polls shows. If I add a variable bias adjustment between 0% and 2.5%, it's worth 30 Electoral Votes for Romney.

-PJ

112 posted on 11/05/2012 3:11:25 PM PST by Political Junkie Too (If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)
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To: RoseofTexas
No one can answer that question but the GOP for once have many poll watchers where the dims need to cheat and phone aps are on millions of cell phones waiting to catch cheating. Will the dims cheat... yes they always have... can they do it enough to affect the outcome? If they do... then our elections and our government are nothing but a sham.

LLS

113 posted on 11/05/2012 3:21:55 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: jimsin

Has anyone seen the latest Drudge Report that there was a Russian Nuclear Attack sub detected 200 miles of the east coast of the USA ?


114 posted on 11/05/2012 3:26:16 PM PST by American Constitutionalist
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To: snarkytart
Barone is saying that the polling shows it is tight... if you listen to his entire critique... he will explain why he is still confident in his projections of a Romney win.

LLS

115 posted on 11/05/2012 3:26:45 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: nhwingut

If God answers prayers, then, well.. I don’t think the other side is big into prayer.


116 posted on 11/05/2012 3:40:36 PM PST by ez (When you're a hammer, everything looks like a nail.)
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To: LS

BS

Why, why, why would Romney release internal polls? What advantage would be gained. Instead, it is meant to get 0bummer voters out.

Romney camp is too savvy and is keeping cards close to vest.

Just because it is in print does not make it true.


117 posted on 11/05/2012 3:45:04 PM PST by CincyRichieRich (Keep your head up and keep moving forward!)
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To: LS

Yep, a Romney aide is going to call the UK commies at the Daily Mail and release internal polling numbers. Sure.........

This is crap from some old English fart who’s on his 10th pint of ale.


118 posted on 11/05/2012 3:48:56 PM PST by sergeantdave (The FBI has declared war on the Marine Corps)
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To: CincyRichieRich

First, if they are legit, then Romney’s internal polls show what Obama’s show, and Obama would know that he’s in deep trouble. The way I read this is a classic intelligence sting operation. You feed the enemy answers you know he knows to prep him for the phoney one you want to feed him, in this case, I think it’s NV and I think they are hoping O will back off the effort there letting Romney squeak that state out as well.


119 posted on 11/05/2012 3:49:04 PM PST by LS
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To: LongWayHome

I believe this. Romney has been asking for EVERY VOTE at his stump speeches today. He knows he needs big turnout. I just think he’ll get it.


120 posted on 11/05/2012 3:50:05 PM PST by ez (When you're a hammer, everything looks like a nail.)
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To: FredZarguna

Obama looked close to tears today on the stump and has his old buddies along on AF1 for nostalgia...he knows.


121 posted on 11/05/2012 3:57:48 PM PST by ez (When you're a hammer, everything looks like a nail.)
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To: LS

122 posted on 11/05/2012 4:07:37 PM PST by Capt. Canuck
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To: ez

Reminds me of Albert Speer’s recollection of the waning days of 1944 at Obersalzberg. Let’s hope it’s true.


123 posted on 11/05/2012 4:08:20 PM PST by FredZarguna ("Post Hoc, ergo propter hoc," is no way to reason through life, son.)
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To: LS
Fwiw, here's my thoughts:

1. This release of internal polling is to discredit the dishonest polling that is done by the Obama loving press. It's meant to show voters that the media are pushing a meme
2. These are not the true current internals by the Romney camp. These internals may be a week old. The new internals might even be better for Romney, but there is no friggin way that his campaign is going to release that they wouldn't want voters to park themselves at home and not show up.
3. This is Psy Ops agaisnt the Obama camp, get them scared and let reality set in.
4. If things looked better for team Obama I would really think that they would release some positive numbers of their own.

LS I would love to know what you think about the state of these internals. I for one do not believe that these internals are the true Romney internals for the campaign. I believe this is more of a GOTV push poll for our base.

124 posted on 11/05/2012 4:17:09 PM PST by erod (I'm a Chicagoan till Chicago ends...)
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To: erod

What you say makes sense. However, I know the Romney pollster is pretty conservative. I’ve been in touch with one member of the Romney team, and this is pretty close to what they tell me. Do I think they are overly cautious? Yes. But better safe than sorry.


125 posted on 11/05/2012 5:13:42 PM PST by LS
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To: LS

Thanks LS bye do you teach at the University of Iowa? I graduated there in 2008.


126 posted on 11/05/2012 5:20:42 PM PST by erod (I'm a Chicagoan till Chicago ends...)
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To: erod

Bye= by the way


127 posted on 11/05/2012 5:22:33 PM PST by erod (I'm a Chicagoan till Chicago ends...)
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To: RoseofTexas

Factors to increase Obama fraud:

Desperation of Obama supporters
Perception there will be no consequences (Florida 2000, Franken Senate, Oregon Senate (?))

On the other hand, put yourself in the shoes of a potential fraudster. You might have a bad feeling about the way the campaign is going, so fraud may not help. You might have a bad feeling about your candidate. Are you going to stick your neck out and commit a felony under these circumstances?

You’ve seen defections - D’s turning into R’s, Hollywood supporting Romney more than last time, newspapers changing sides. Maybe you just sit this one out and wait for 2016.


128 posted on 11/05/2012 10:13:43 PM PST by Tymesup
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