I wish Hannity would ask Rasmussen whey he is expecting a D+3 turnout tomorrow based on the +5R ID.
But, Rasmussen is very much giving himself some room here by saying that if turnout is different even by a point than the D+3 he has been using, this will not be close.
You remember Calville wrote a book on how the Democrats were going to rule for the next 40 years.
The 2008 election was an aberation, not a change and the polls refuse to acknowledge the fact that the Democrats are not going to outperform the Republicans on getting out the vote.
Hence, they have oversampled Democrats in all of their polls.
This election is going to destroy that Democrat myth once and for all.
He’s playing the pollster game at zero hour.
Call it every which way and be right no matter what.
This is the ultimate “read between the lines” statement. He released electorate composition for October, which predicted dead on the Obama 2008 margin of victory, showing Republican +5.8 right now. Rasmussen will be able to say he hit the number in Voter ID while the tracking poll misses. I’m going to file this under the “subtle ways to help Romney without looking like it” file. Just like the Supreme Court decision on Obamacare, Rasmussen knows that his poll is followed heavily by R’s and Conservative and reviled by liberals. Close polls mean we ALL show up.