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Final IBD/TIPP Presidential Daily Tracking Poll Obama 50.3% | Romney 48.7%
IBD/TIPP ^ | Nov. 5, 2012 | IBD/TIPP

Posted on 11/05/2012 11:46:19 PM PST by BushMeister

Well, it's close, but they have Romney down 1.6%.

For the first time since we started the poll, Obama garners 40% of the white vote. That's a critical threshold he had to hit in order to make a win possible.

Romney continues to hold a significant 6-point advantage with independents and a 14-point edge with investors.. Romney performs better with Conservatives than McCain did in 2008.

IBD/TIPP

(Excerpt) Read more at news.investors.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: presidential; romney
Hope Romney can pull a few extra points from turnout.
1 posted on 11/05/2012 11:46:28 PM PST by BushMeister
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To: BushMeister

Romney is going to win 60% of the white vote.

IBD/TIPP are delusional in thinking O can win with 40% and a third of the independents.

Here is another heavily D+ oversampled poll.


2 posted on 11/05/2012 11:52:45 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop
My thoughts exactly!

60% of the White vote is a Reagan levels.

3 posted on 11/05/2012 11:56:25 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration

D+ advantage in this poll is D+7.

No one really believes this is 2008. Obama could win if he got that kind of excitement and enthusiasm but it simply wasn’t in evidence in the closing days of this campaign.

It is not 2008 and these pollsters have lost all credibility!


4 posted on 11/06/2012 12:02:00 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: All
I've felt for a while that D +2 was the worst we'd see this year. Maybe Rasmussen got higher values for the party ID figures earlier in October, and has them narrowing recently, and that's why he is going with D +3 or whatever he's using, despite that amazing R +5.8.

As for IBD/TIPP, this is disheartening because they were apparently the closest pollsters for the national vote in 2004 and 2008. Still, D+7 is a big spread for 2012, and Romney is only down 1.6%.

5 posted on 11/06/2012 12:08:06 AM PST by BushMeister ("We are a nation that has a government - not the other way around." --Ronald Reagan)
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To: BushMeister

They’re applying 2008 as a baseline model.

As we already saw in Dixville Notch, 11 Obama voters did not vote.

I don’t see that kind of Mojo for O. All of the people in the tank for him believe in unicorns and the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow.

Happy Days Are Here Again! I think it may R+1. D+2 is probably the worst we can expect today.


6 posted on 11/06/2012 12:14:49 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: BushMeister

Romney’s team sees D+2 or D+3 at most.


7 posted on 11/06/2012 12:26:46 AM PST by LongWayHome
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To: BushMeister
For the first time since we started the poll, Obama garners 40% of the white vote.

The Christie Effect continues. The Obama goons are lapping it up, amazed with how much of a turncoat Crispy Creme Christie is willing to be...even staging Obama "passing the phone to Springsteen" during his call with the NJ Gov. today. What a pathetic RINO tool.

8 posted on 11/06/2012 12:37:34 AM PST by montag813
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To: BushMeister

obuumer has this one sewed up they say. ha ha

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map


9 posted on 11/06/2012 12:42:03 AM PST by bewildered
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To: BushMeister
Intrade is showing it 70-30 for 0bama.
10 posted on 11/06/2012 3:05:54 AM PST by Yo-Yo (Is the /sarc tag really necessary?)
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To: Yo-Yo

Intrade of course has been ridiculous since late October when its low was 54. But its bounced back to a record high Obamaphile suppport level.


11 posted on 11/06/2012 3:14:49 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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