Mitt Romney will win big tonight. His popular vote margin will be between 3 5%. He will win the Electoral College I believe by a vote of 321 to 217, and with luck, even more. He will win all of the states McCain carried in 2008 which will give him 180 electoral votes. He will also carry the three states that normally go Republican that in 2008 went for Obama Indiana, North Carolina and Virginia. That brings him to 219. He will also take Florida, which will bring him to 248 votes. Although the Obama campaign will deny it, it effectively wrote off Virginia and Florida several days ago.
Despite intense efforts, Obama will lose both Ohio and Pennsylvania. In Ohio the voter turnout for Republicans will be more like 2004 instead of 2008. Southeastern Ohio has a number of evangelical voters and the area also has a coal industry. Romney should win the state by up to 200,000 votes. He will also win Pennsylvania where he has not been damaged by a long-lasting barrage of negative ads.
Romney should also win narrowly in New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Iowa and Colorado. He even has a chance to take Nevada. That gives him 321 electoral votes.
I haven't seen a spectacularly wrong prediction like this since the days of "Criswell Predicts".
posted on 11/07/2012 1:51:17 PM PST
by Alex Murphy
("If you are not firm in faith, you will not be firm at all" - Isaiah 7:9)
To: Alex Murphy
lol. No kidding. What a damn joke. This whole election was a disaster. I love everyone trying to say it was a great campaign. No Romney was an idiot like I predicted.
posted on 11/07/2012 5:17:00 PM PST
(GOP Candidate 2020 - "Bloomberg 2020 - We vote for whatever crap the GOP puts in front of us.")
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