He was going with the data we had at the time. Remember Ras and Gallup had a + 5/6 R electorate...well, that was a complete fantasy. If Romney wouldve got the 59 million votes McCain got, he would be the next president. All the talk about the Republican excitement, and yet their turnout sucked.
In fact, what thell happened inOhio...I thought the EV was close enough that if Romney got the election day turnout that McCain got, he would win. Well, I guess he didnt get the McCain turnout, another reason why I think the ground game was crap tonight.