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To: Longbow1969
People need to stop disputing polls. No more whining about D+ samples, for the most part the pollsters know what they are doing.

BS, BS, BS! Conservatives sat out this election. That's the only reason Obama won. The reverse happened from what actually was predicted by a majority.

Morris was right. If conservatives would have voted as we thought then it would have been a slam dunk for Mitt. What was missing is those conservatives who told the republican party if you give us a rino we are not voting for them! This is exactly what happened!

14 posted on 11/08/2012 5:25:41 AM PST by sirchtruth (Freedom is not free.)
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To: sirchtruth
Morris was right. If conservatives would have voted as we thought then it would have been a slam dunk for Mitt.

You are embarrassing yourself.

Morris doesn't even claim that. He says his mistake was second guessing pollsters models for minority turnout. Basically, he says he underestimated how many blacks, Hispanics, single women, etc, would show up at the polls.

Also, the "majority" never predicted Obama to win. The majority on some conservative sites and Fox News maybe, but in the greater media universe the vast majority correctly picked Obama to win a narrow election. This includes seasoned election analysts like Cook, Sabato, Rothernberg, etc, - all thought Obama would win. Only the conservative echo chamber that was foolishly claiming all the polls were skewed thought otherwise.

23 posted on 11/08/2012 5:37:13 AM PST by Longbow1969
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To: sirchtruth

“Conservatives sat out this election. That’s the only reason Obama won. The reverse happened from what actually was predicted by a majority.”

Totally agree. Key conservative blocs sat out on principle and helped hand the Socialists a victory. Without a doubt, many couldn’t bring themselves to vote for a Mormon. We even saw many Freepers of this ilk proclaiming their inability to support Romney; sometimes referred to as “cutting off the nose to spite the face.”


27 posted on 11/08/2012 5:44:04 AM PST by BlueStateRightist
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To: sirchtruth
Morris was right. If conservatives would have voted as we thought then it would have been a slam dunk for Mitt.

No, Morris was wrong. Everyone who sat in front of their computer imagining what people would do on election day was wrong. It wasn't just conservatives. If you Google around, you'll find blogs from liberals predicting that Obama would take Arizona. Yeah, they actually said that.

The people who were right were the people who actually called a representative sample of voters and asked them what they were going to do on election day. I know this whole "asking people what they think" thing might seem like some kind of wacky, far-fetched approach out of Star Trek, but it turns out that it works better than the Dick Morris' approach of "guessing."

45 posted on 11/08/2012 6:15:01 AM PST by Mr. Know It All
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