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The Demographic Cliff
The American Thinker ^ | Tuesday, December 4, 2012 | Jerome Koch

Posted on 12/08/2012 10:49:44 AM PST by MinorityRepublican

Lost within the tsunami of campaign reporting was a study released by the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) on October 3, 2012. The report, titled "Births: Preliminary Data for 2011," passed through the 24-hour news cycle with hardly a mention. The only reason I heard about it was due to a short blurb carried by a local outlet, which reported a significant drop in teenage births. This news item was, of course, reported as positive. But the full report and its tables of statistics reveals nothing positive whatsoever. According to the CDC numbers, 2011 was a banner year. It recorded the lowest birthrate in our national history.

In March of 2011 I penned a short essay for American Thinker, "Where Have All the Children Gone?" which considered the worldwide trend of falling birthrates. This essay will cover the recent declining birthrates inside the United States, as well as economic repercussion that fall entails. According to the report, the General Fertility Rate (GFR) for the U.S. in 2011 was 63 births per 1000 females (ages 15-44). This was a 1 percent drop from 2010. The decline among Hispanic American females was 6%; the decline among non-Hispanic blacks was 1%, and there was no change among non-Hispanic whites.

Nineteen states saw drops in live births, including both Blue states (California, Illinois, and New York) and Red states (Texas, North Carolina, Utah, and North Carolina). Among the different age cohorts, the number of births dropped 10% for females 15-19, 5% for females 20-24 (the lowest number of births ever recorded for that cohort). For females 25-29 the birthrate declined just a tad under 1 percent. The birthrate for females 30-34 remained unchanged, while the age group 35-39 saw a 3% increase in their birthrate. The birthrate for females 40-44 remained essentially unchanged.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 12/08/2012 10:49:46 AM PST by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

The future belongs to whomever shows up. The Left is undoubtedly going to continue to bugger and abort itself to demographic oblivion, and with the clamor for free contraception for the Sandra Flukes of the world apparently now trumping every previous limitation on government, this trend will only accelerate.

The day is probably coming when the country will be 1/4 “quiver-full” evangelical, 1/4 Hispanic, 1/4 Mormon, and 1/4 orthodox Jew.


2 posted on 12/08/2012 11:11:38 AM PST by ccmay (Too much Law; not enough Order.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Until so called right wingers recognize the evil of contraception, taking steps to exclude it from their lives both personally and structurally, they can’t expect to be any part of that future.


3 posted on 12/08/2012 11:18:36 AM PST by Romulus
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To: MinorityRepublican

European socialism correlates with a lowered birthrate, with the exception of the Muslim population.


4 posted on 12/08/2012 11:21:10 AM PST by lurk
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To: MinorityRepublican
which reported a significant drop in teenage births

Oh no! There are fewer teenagers being born? How will we cope?

5 posted on 12/08/2012 11:28:00 AM PST by arthurus (Read Hazlitt's Economics In One Lesson ONLINE www.fee.org/library/books/economics-in-one-lesson)
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To: MinorityRepublican

The RINOs like Bush, McCain, Graham, Rubio, Rove - wanted unchecked illegal immigration, so you reap what you sow.

When the Republicans cave on amnesty, the 30 million illegals here now (forget that 11 million crap that’s been unchanged since 2002) will be allowed to also bring in 50 million siblings, parents, and children. All of them uneducated impoverished welfare candidates.

They will vote democrat for the next 30 years until they become 51% of the vote, then they will tell the democrats to buzz off while they vote in their new Partidad de la Raza people. Go look at Los Angeles for your future.

The last Republican will be gone by 2030.


6 posted on 12/08/2012 11:32:23 AM PST by oldbill
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To: oldbill

Patent nonsense. There isn’t even 10 million that would willingly come, let alone 50.


7 posted on 12/08/2012 11:40:28 AM PST by JCBreckenridge (Texas is a state of mind. - John Steinbeck :))
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To: MinorityRepublican

My daughter has three kids. Her friends who are married all have at least three kids - as many as five. These are middle class two parent families with college educations and strong moral values. I think that is encouraging.


8 posted on 12/08/2012 11:59:10 AM PST by marsh2
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To: JCBreckenridge

“Patent nonsense. There isn’t even 10 million that would willingly come, let alone 50.”

Gross ignorance. Come out of your gated community.


9 posted on 12/08/2012 12:59:06 PM PST by oldbill
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To: Romulus

Until guys have a fair legal shake they’re not going to marry/reproduce; the laws intended to destroy the family have succeeded. Make your peace with our Hispanic and Muslim newcomers; they’re breeding your children’s playmates.


10 posted on 12/08/2012 3:07:18 PM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: marsh2

We both live in states (CA & NJ) where that isn’t a drop in the bucket (congratulations, by the way). For everyone I know that is having children there are several that wouldn’t even consider it (all guys). They see too much legal and economic risk; I disagree with them (especially when the same people complain about the foreigners inported to replace the children they won’t have), but they have the right to do as they choose.


11 posted on 12/08/2012 3:11:48 PM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: MinorityRepublican

FREEPERS....GO YE FORTH AND MULTIPLY


12 posted on 12/08/2012 3:28:37 PM PST by Candor7 (Obama fascism article:(http://www.americanthinker.com/2009/05/barack_obama_the_quintessentia_1.html))
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To: oldbill

Average Mexican family is now just 2.27 kiddos. There’s just not going to be Mexicans available.


13 posted on 12/08/2012 3:55:16 PM PST by JCBreckenridge (Texas is a state of mind. - John Steinbeck :))
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To: kearnyirish2

I trust you don’t equate Hispanics and Muslims.


14 posted on 12/08/2012 6:15:21 PM PST by Romulus
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To: ccmay
The day is probably coming when the country will be 1/4 “quiver-full” evangelical, 1/4 Hispanic, 1/4 Mormon, and 1/4 orthodox Jew.

Where do us old-school Catholics come in? There's more than a few of us here on FR with 5+ children....
15 posted on 12/08/2012 6:24:39 PM PST by Antoninus (Sorry, gone rogue.)
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To: Romulus

“I trust you don’t equate Hispanics and Muslims.”

I’m not sure what you mean by “equate”; I know they are different, and I know they are inheriting the state of NJ.


16 posted on 12/09/2012 2:14:51 PM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: kearnyirish2

What I mean is that you see them as equally objectionable. As if you didn’t know. You see baptized Christians, heirs of the western cultural legacy, as undesirable as pagan desert fanatics. That’s really stupid.


17 posted on 12/10/2012 6:07:55 AM PST by Romulus
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To: Romulus

“What I mean is that you see them as equally objectionable. As if you didn’t know. You see baptized Christians, heirs of the western cultural legacy, as undesirable as pagan desert fanatics. That’s really stupid.”

I’ll have to point that out to my objectionable Hispanic wife of 15+ years; if anything I prefer both Muslims and Hispanics to baby-killing, pervert-”marrying” “Westerners”. If you read my thread, I advocated making your peace with both groups.


18 posted on 12/11/2012 2:47:28 AM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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