Skip to comments.The Red and the Black - Seeking black votes could be the GOPís secret weapon.
Posted on 03/25/2013 8:46:49 PM PDT by neverdem
South Carolina senator Tim Scott speaks at CPAC, March 14, 2013.
‘What have the Democrats done for you lately?”
Republicans should start asking black Americans that question — early and often. Doing so could become the GOP’s secret weapon.
As Republicans regroup after presidential and Senate campaigns that they should have won easily last November, they should seek votes among the 41 million black Americans whom Democrats take for granted, and Republicans lately have written off. Here’s why engaging black voters could revitalize the GOP.
Republicans need not win the black vote, or even a third of it. Securing 15 percent of the black electorate severely erodes the stalwart-Democrat base. If 20 to 25 percent of blacks vote GOP, it’s curtains for Democrats.
If Republicans seek black votes, they will win some. As the Republican National Committee’s recent autopsy of the 2012 election noted: “We are never going to win over voters who are not asked for their support.” The study lamented that black voters routinely back Democrats “without hearing anyone in their community making a case to the contrary.”
Campaigning among black voters would help Republicans stop resembling “stuffy, old white men,” as an RNC focus group described them. Listening to and speaking with black Americans refutes the notion that Republicans are just country-club Caucasians.
If Republicans largely campaign among white voters, Democrats will caricature them as racists who dislike or even hate blacks. That lie collapses when white GOP candidates shake black hands and kiss black babies. Doing so reassures nervous white voters that Republicans are not bigots, and it’s OK to support them.
Like Al Capone with a knife but no machine gun, Democrats would be badly disarmed without the race card. Denied the GOP = KKK meme, Democrats would have to double down on their phony “War on Women” and stoke class hatred even harder.
Bored by cautious, vanilla GOP nominees, Republicans and right-leaning independents likely would become electrified, knock on doors, populate phone banks, and cast ballots for Republicans who deploy this strategy. Mitt Romney contracted terminal shrunken-base syndrome. Had Romney visited black neighborhoods in Miami, Richmond, Cleveland, and Denver, unenthused conservatives would have become inspired and, at least, voted. That might have been Mitt’s margin of victory.
Such overtures to black voters surely would parallel appeals to other minorities. But even in a vacuum, such black-outreach efforts likely would increase support for Republicans among voters of Asian and Hispanic descent.
The Republican message should combine opportunity-related themes with historical facts about Democrats’ largely shameful record towards blacks (from stymieing Reconstruction to launching the Ku Klux Klan and filibustering federal anti-lynching legislation and the 1964 Civil Rights Act). Democrats’ treatment of blacks remains pitiful — e.g., celebrating the leadership of the late Senator Robert Byrd (D., W.Va.), a former Exalted Cyclops of the KKK, until his 2010 death in office. There also is Obama’s defunding of the Washington, D.C., school-voucher program.
Republicans should cite these additional steps backward — by comparing these material conditions on January 20, 2009, the date of Obama’s first inauguration, with those on his second, last January 21: The rise of black unemployment (from 12.1 percent to 14.0 percent), an increase in poverty among blacks aged 18 to 64 (from 34.9 percent to 38.6 percent), and a fall in black median income (from $22,901 to $21,206).
Besides addressing the NAACP, Mitt Romney did little to win black votes. Nonetheless, against Obama, he won 6 percent of black voters, 50 percent more than Arizona Republican senator John McCain’s 4 percent in 2008.
What if Romney had fought for black votes? He barely lost several swing states. With mildly stronger black support and a modestly tighter embrace among decreasingly “nervous” whites and energized GOP-base voters, Romney could have delivered an Electoral College squeaker.
• Obama won Florida’s 29 electoral votes by 74,309 votes. To win the Sunshine State, Romney needed to swing just over half of that total, or 37,155 votes. Boosting Romney’s black support from 4 percent to 5 percent would have won him 11,106 votes. Lifting his white support from 61 percent to 61.5 percent would have won Romney 28,308 votes. These additional votes would have totaled 39,404 — enough to win Florida.
• Obama won Virginia’s 13 electoral votes by 149,298 votes. To take the Old Dominion, Romney needed to shift just over half of that amount, or 74,650 votes. Raising Romney’s black support from 6 percent to 9 percent would have yielded him 23,124 votes. Hiking his white support from 61 percent to 63 percent would have given Romney 53,962 votes. These additional votes would have totaled 77,086 — enough to win Virginia.
• Obama won Ohio’s 18 electoral votes by 166,277 votes. To grab the Buckeye State, Romney needed to switch just over half of that margin, or 83,139 votes. Boosting Romney’s black support from 3 percent to 5 percent would have added 16,742 votes. Expanding his white showing from 57 percent to 58.6 percent would have given Romney 70,540 votes. These new votes would have totaled 87,282 — enough to win Ohio.
• Obama won Colorado’s nine electoral votes by 137,858 votes. To score the Centennial State, Romney needed to convert just over half of that sum, or 68,930 votes. Increasing Romney’s black support from 6 percent to 9 percent would have delivered 2,313 votes. Augmenting his white showing from 54 percent to 57.5 percent would have won Romney 70,147 votes. These added votes would have totaled 72,460 — enough to win Colorado.
These 69 additional electoral votes would have totaled 275 and spelled President Romney.
This scenario assumes that a Romney outreach to black voters would have allowed him to edge past Obama. Of course, such an effort also could have transformed Romney’s persona so much that he could have beaten Obama handily and sent him back to Chicago with his tail between his legs.
Rather than duck and cover when Democrats lie about Republicans’ so-called racism, the GOP should stand and fight. Top Republicans terminated slavery, wrote the Brown v. Board of Education decision, broke the Democrats’ filibuster against the 1964 Civil Rights Act, signed the Martin Luther King Jr. national holiday into law, extended the 1965 Voting Rights Act to 2031, and appointed both of America’s two black secretaries of state.
What a racist party!
Black voters deserve to hear the Republican vision of growth, opportunity, prosperity, and personal responsibility rather than the Democrat formula of profligacy, indebtedness, and redistribution (unforgivably, also advanced by GOP socialist G. W. Bush).
A muscular, year-round appeal to black voters would benefit the GOP and black Americans alike.
— Deroy Murdock is a Manhattan-based Fox News contributor, a nationally syndicated columnist with the Scripps Howard News Service, and a media fellow with the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution and Peace at Stanford University.
Probably would not be as helpful as seeking the votes of their base, which they have obviously abandoned and have wanted to abandon for quite some time.
What are is National Review smoking?
It's a possibility. I have no idea if GOP candidates even personally campaign in black areas. If they don't, I'll have to say I'm surprised. And I don't consider showing up before the race hustlers at the NAACP campaigning.
Yeah, that’ll work.
Drop the principles, or at least make them changeable based on who you are talking to.
That’s going to prove how trustworthy you are.
The GOP is dead!
I do not like the concept of “courting the XXX vote”. Using that terminology implies that we are going to do something different and special for this group of people. The conservative message isn’t meant to promise this group X, and that group Y. It should stand on its own, and apply equally to all. The republican party did not me to court my vote for special white stuff. I chose them by evaluating what they “supposedly” stand for, and rejected the democrats for what they obviously stand for
Where we are lacking is in articulating the message, and countering the democrats brilliant machine that demonizes every thing a conservative sais. Get good people who can show the way, rather than promise special rights, and explain why promising special rights to each group reduces the rights of all groups.
If the republican party tries real hard, they might garner 05% of the black vote instead of 04%.
Worth trying, but (way) better would be a GOP effort to find and retain good conservative women as well.
The GOP is far, far out of touch with quite a lot of moderate women.
My feeling is a lot of those women would be amenable, if approached correctly.
Do not lose sight of them.
Not if they (Republicans) start supporting “gay marriage”; they won’t!
I think we should exploit the gay marriage issue as much as we can with minorities. I have friends who live in Latino and black communities, and the amount of animosity toward the homosexual agenda is palpable. Just listen to some rap lyrics and you’ll see where I’m coming from.
While ‘gays’ might be niche for Hollywood bimbos, art students, and girls who watch Glee, most average males still don’t like them, and I include young males in that. They might try to sound tolerant in public, but when they’re screwing around with their buds, they’re attitude changes, especially in minority communities.
It doesn’t even have to be obvious. We just need to quietly slip into these places and sow some seeds of discontent. Let African Americans know that to Democrats, they’re yesterdays news. It’s all about homosexuals now. They’ll leave you to rot in your crumbling communities.
While I hate pandering to interest groups, we can put special emphasis on some of our core values when it benefits us. They’re good values.
The GOP gets the majority of married women. The rats get the majority of single women.
The GOP is far, far out of touch with quite a lot of moderate women.
The country has been pulled too far to the left already. How do you think we amassed all of this debt?
Post of the day.
We don’t need to court anyone. Even orange people.
We need someone who can EFFECTIVELY articulate the conservative message of freedom and liberty. That is all that it will take.
I am infuriated over the idea that the right has to try to woo such-and-such group because of the results of the November election.
We don’t need to embrace immorality or lawlessness in order to bring others to our side,
We just need one simple person who can effectively alliterate conservative values and the rest will fall into place. Because the values and ideals of conservatism win every time. I am praying for someone who can fulfill that position “for such a time as this”.
Yeah right... lets just do what the raciest Democrats suggest that we do.. After all it worked for them.
Yes I do give up on Republicans and am going Libertarian or any other party that has a clue..
Now we’re talking ping.
No they don't. They need someone to get in their face and ask "WTF have your Democrats done for you lately ... bring in illegals to eat your lunch and take your welfare check, too."
Probably too much to think of African-Americans all-of-a-sudden returning to the party that freed the slaves. It's enough if we can get a few to put on their think caps and if not vote for us, at least stay the hell home on e-day, just the way confused white Republicans do.
The Democrats are dumping the elderly! They're cutting MediCare because they want those old conservatives to die! Why???
Because they've got a new constituency. They've got Latinos. Now, sukkah, after forty years of voting 90% Democrat, after wrecking black families with welfare and aborting tens of millions of black babies... How long do you really think it will be before they don't need you?
My Black friends all blame Republicans for whatever is wrong and only give Democrats credit for whatever is right. How can Rinos be so stupid to think they will ever get any of their votes. Yet about 30% of Americans are registered Independent (and can’t vote Republican in primaries); I think most want to vote for a conservative but the Rinos General election candidates are always socialist. The GOP is incorrigibly stuck on NYC stupid; I can’t even hold my nose and vote for them anymore. I’ve lost all hope and sympathy for the GOP.
There is a way, but RINOs will never try it. See post 19.
There it is. They might try running an actual Conservative and they wouldn’t have to worry about anything else.
Well done. Have you noticed that many took the essay as a call to pander to blacks? I’m shaking my head.
The stupidity and ethnic and cultural suicide simply never ends
Stupid white folks may actually deserve their extinction
Starting next month, Americans in 25 states will have Republican governors and Republicans in control of both houses of the state legislatures. They aren't all small states, either. They include about 53 percent of the nation's population.
At the same time, Americans in 15 states will have Democratic governors and Democrats in control of both houses of the state legislatures. They include about 37 percent of the nation's population.
And the GOP needs to move left? I don't think so.
The independents didn't want illegal aliens getting driver licences. It was about three quarters of them and two thirds of rats on that question the last time I looked.
The lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender(LGBT) cohort may be about a few percent of the electorate.
I’ve concluded it’s time to stop getting angry at NR type media outlets and Republicans(Conservatism Inc.) and realize they will keep pushing idiocy because it allows them to keep the power they now have - they don’t care if it’s temporary power because they know the alternative is none. I’m middle aged now and over all these years not once have I seen the pubs or NR types state the GOP should run on a clear anti-racial preference platform, i.e. something that might actually work but would exclude them from the D.C. ‘Smart Set’ brie and chablis parties. It’s time to stop being Republican and looking to NR for ideas.
Seeking the racist socialist vote...
NO not all blacks are socialist or racist...
JUST MOST OF THEM ARE.. pitiful but true..
The GOP can “seek” Black votes until the cows come home; they still won’t get any.
At least, not until they’ve learned to hand out cash benefits taken from Whites.
Better to have a new tea party reach those moderate women. The GOP is both damaged and corrupt.
‘If Republicans seek black votes’
How is that different from seeking the white vote? I mean we are all the same, right?
The two things are not mutually exclusive, unless the GOP attempts to attract the black vote by pandering to the likes of the NAACP.
The GOP seeking black votes is like the US Secretary of State seeking Middle East peace. They keep chasing a fantasy that anyone with an IQ above room temprature could tell them will never happen.
IMO, The propensity is primarily lack of familiarity with black culture. I had the "advantage" of living on the waterfront in downtown Oakland, CA for nine years and went to a local junior college there. It was quite the education sitting in the locker room listening to the conversations unseen in the next aisle. They think we're stupid chumps.
Actually many of the black people I know here in the “Cradle of the Confederacy” would seem to naturally belong to the base of the GOP, talk to them in private about specific issues and many seem to be far more conservative than Rush Limbaugh but they vote the other way. I am personally acquainted with one black former Marine who sat on my couch some years ago and told me that he cannot understand why black people vote Democrat, the same man has spoken at two different Tea Party rallies I have attended. He was very well received and applauded. There are others like him.
Of course it is dangerous to even make the assumption that who we vote for even matters any more. I suspect that we are already at the point that the only thing that matters is who COUNTS the votes.
That said, I think the GOP should be able to make inroads with Asian voters, who fall at the opposite end of the maker --- taker spectrum.
"Having a clue" excludes the pro-open-borders anti-age-of-consent Libertarian Party. You might consider the Constitution Party: http://www.constitutionparty.com/.
If the GOP loses 90-100% of its base, and attracts 6-10% of 15% of a population within this country, which amount to 1.5% or less...
Their crushing and total defeat is going to be mutually exclusive the likes of which they have never seen and likely are incapable of understanding.
I know those people are out their, but they are too rare to matter.
Furthermore, even if they did matter, whether or not the GOP holds and office over a democrat does not matter.
We have serious, serious problems in this country.
I don’t see Republicans winning the Black vote any time soon, but 1) overtures to the African-American community may help Republicans with swing voters, and 2) the Black turnout for the Democrats is bound to go down next time, particularly if (as expected) their nominee is White.
Yeah. Right. Go after the votes of a group that votes 85%+ for Democrats (95%+ in last two Federal Elections). It made more sense to go after Hispanic votes.
This clown is brilliant.
Um, how about we start with the truth; that homosexual behavior is harmful to both the person who engages in it, but also to those children growing up without a parent that is needed.
How about we not forget the truth that homosexuals are lost human beings ~NOT~ more, and not less guilty than the rest of us. How about the fact that Christ can free from sin, rather than demonizing people.
How about the fact that despite this truth it is reasonable to support gays having equality before the law in CONTRACT Law, but a RADICAL proposition to support the redefinition of Marriage!
“....vision of growth, opportunity, prosperity, and personal responsibility...”
This has to be a joke.
“We have serious, serious problems in this country.”
That’s for certain! Talking about how the GOP can attract minorities now is probably as important as asking who grew the hemp as the noose is placed on your neck.
Yeah, that's exactly how the GOP needs to approach a Hard Left ethnic group.
Because emphasizing Conservative principles like self-reliance and stoicism in the face of adversity might make them dislike us.
That is so delusional.
As to the original question about what Democrats have done lately.....
Well, for starters, 21% of government employees are Black, but only 13% of the population is Black.
Mark 8:36 For what shall it profit a man, if he shall gain the whole world, and lose his own soul?
The secret would be to put Dr Carson on a ticket with Cruz or Paul.
Carson is an inspiration for black people, well, white folks too.
We need young voters and we need to inspire black people to see their lives can be a success.
Running a woman up against the Hillary would be a mistake.
I think you’ll be very disappointed with Asian voters, too.
Pew Research did a study on Asian voting patterns last year.
Only Filipinos vote close to 50-50 for the GOP.
Vietnamese are 60-40 Democrat.
Chinese, Japanese, and Asian Muslims are even worse.
Indians, who are the best educated ethnic group in America, vote more than 80% for Democrats!
I was aware of those statistics. I wonder whether Asian voting patterns can be changed (screw the Muslims), or whether instead they will reflexively vote DemocRAT against their material interest like so many Jews do.
I’ve come to the conclusion that Conservatives should aggressively court white Democrats.
Over the last 20 years, the Conservative share of white voters has grown from 55% to 62%.
Since we are the largest voting bloc, that is a significant number.
In spite of all the Conventional Wisdom about Republicans “losing” the Youth Vote, Romney got a majority of 18-29 year old white voters, including a 1% majority among young white women.
I say...go where the most likely converts are!
I think hatred if the GOP is so ingrained within the Black community that it’ll take at least two generations to get to 20% of the vote. I have two friends who are Black Conservatives ... They dare not speak their ideological or partisan leanings to family and Black friends lest the be labled Oreo and Uncle Tom.
Outreach to Blacks (and moreso Hispanics) as a means of defusing the racism charge with white, Asian and Hispanic voters has definite potential.