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Eye on 2016 (Hillary Clinton, Rand Paul Leads as Rubio Falls)
FrontPage Mag ^ | 07/18/2013 | Ryan Mauro

Posted on 07/18/2013 9:28:50 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

The early stages of the 2016 presidential campaign are already underway. Hillary Clinton has held a steady, arguably insurmountable lead for the Democratic nomination, while the Republican nomination is much more fluid. Senator Rand Paul is the frontrunner, thanks to a drop in support for Senator Marco Rubio in Iowa over immigration reform.

At this point, Clinton can essentially walk in and take the Democratic nomination. In Iowa, wins an incredible 71% of the vote. Of course, pundits will argue that Clinton seemed inevitable in 2008, but that was only because it was assumed that then-Senator Obama would not run. Today, there is no one with the super-stardom of Obama on the Democratic Party stage at all.

If Clinton decides not to run, the race (and the general election) becomes more interesting.

Biden is the clear favorite, taking 51% of the vote in Iowa, compared to 13% for Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, 9% for New York Governor Andrew Cuomo and 6% for Newark Mayor Cory Booker. The latter three have not received attention that Biden has, so their numbers are more likely to reflect a floor, while his tend to reflect a ceiling.

The most important polls to look at are in Iowa and New Hampshire, as their results dramatically shift national polls. By this measure, Paul is the frontrunner as he leads in both states. His position poll-wise is the one most comparable to Romney’s during his successful 2012 bid for nomination.

In February, PPP had Rubio tied with Huckabee for the lead in Iowa (each at 16%). Paul was right on their heels (15%), closely followed by Jeb Bush (14%), Chris Christie (12%) and Paul Ryan (10%). The bottom tier was New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez (4%), Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal (3%) and Texas Governor Rick Perry (3%).

(Excerpt) Read more at frontpagemag.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016; 2016demprimary; clinton; hillary; hillary2016; randpaul
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To: bigbob

If he embraces his father then he will fail.


21 posted on 07/18/2013 10:05:10 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (FROM MY COLD, DEAD HANDS!)
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To: C210N

The Fake Indian is a darkhorse. Keep an eye on her. Beating-up bankers is a real crowd pleaser.


22 posted on 07/18/2013 10:06:20 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: SeekAndFind
I'm exactly at the junction of where libertarian, moderate and conservative meet.

Accordingly, I'll take Rand Paul in a heartbeat over any of competition mentioned.

23 posted on 07/18/2013 10:23:54 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: C210N

RE: Is America ready for a native-American as president?

So, Fauxcahontas is now considered a real native-American huh?

What about George Zimmerman? Is he Hispanic or not?


24 posted on 07/18/2013 10:38:12 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: Mr. K
Or Palin/Bachman <~~ guaranteed winner

Explain to me how someone that's viewed unfavorably by most of the people in her own heavily Republican home state, and someone that barely won re-election to Congress, is a "guaranteed winner."

25 posted on 07/18/2013 11:05:19 AM PDT by Strategerist
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To: pallis

Paul Ryan wants to follow in Rubio’s footsteps.
**********************************************************************
I want a “hard core” candidate in 2016—a rock we can rely upon to hold firm. The two hard core possibilities that come to mind are Ted Cruz and Sarah Palin.

Ryan and Rubio — they are the antithesis of hard core. They softly & quickly rot away at the first kind word from Senator Schumer, the New York Times or the Washington Post.


26 posted on 07/18/2013 11:20:59 AM PDT by House Atreides ( D)
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To: Vigilanteman

“...Accordingly, I’ll take Rand Paul in a heartbeat over any of competition mentioned.”
*************************************************************************
Will you take amnesty for tens of millions of illegal aliens in a heartbeat?


27 posted on 07/18/2013 11:23:34 AM PDT by House Atreides ( D)
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To: SeekAndFind

I can see the bumper sticker now:

Monica’s boyfriend’s wife for PRESIDENT!


28 posted on 07/18/2013 11:46:09 AM PDT by MarineDad (Wherever mosques and JDAM's meet, civilization benefits greatly!)
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To: House Atreides

Cruz/West or West/Cruz 2016


29 posted on 07/18/2013 12:31:47 PM PDT by Finatic (I ran out of change and have given up on hope. FUBO, I am so sick of your sorry a$$ you effin punk)
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