“Id bet Transdniestria would join quickly!”
Is it adjacent? I think it is. At the urging of Moldova, Ukraine froze its exports. If there is a common border, I’m sure it will join.
I think Transdniestria is about evenly divided between Romanian-speakers, Ukrainian-speakers, and Russian-speakers. It will probably remain under Russian control regardless of whether Putin annexes the rest of Ukraine...just like the Kaliningrad area belongs to Russia despite not being adjacent to the rest of Russia.
It’s on the opposite end of Ukraine from Russia, Donetsk & Luhansk, but directly adjacent to Odessa; Odessa + Novorussia + Donetsk & Luhanski would connect Transdniestra to Russia.