Posted on 07/29/2014 11:22:19 AM PDT by cotton1706
A new CBS/NYT poll has been released which is thus far the most exhaustive simultaneous battleground poll that has been taken this election season. It shows Republicans holding all their “close” seats, with McConnell leading Grimes 50-46 and Perdue leading Nunn 50-44. Obviously, these races are still very competitive and could flip although I think that as time goes along Perdue will pull away from Nunn while McConnell looks to be in a dogfight to the very end.
As predicted, John Walsh is all but officially toast in Montana, trailing Danes 56-40. The plagiarism scandal seems to have mortally wounded Walsh in what was a long shot race for them to begin with, and we may not have yet seen the fallout from that one. As expected, Mike Rounds is winning the open seat in SD in a laugher, which puts the GOP at a solid +2. Shelly Moore Capito is shown with a high single digit (51-43) lead in WV, which is consistent with other polling. Absent a stunning development in one of these races the GOP begins the election season looking at a +3 advantage, confirming everything we thought we knew thus far about the race for the Senate.
That is where things get ugly for the Dems. This poll shows the Dems also losing Arkansas (Cotton +4), North Carolina (Tillis +1), Louisiana (Cassidy +1), Iowa (Ernst +1), and Michigan (Land +1) – which, if true, would give the GOP 53 seats in 2015. Obviously, a number of these races are very close and, in the case of Michigan in particular, bucking a state’s partisan trend. But where many of these races are “too close to call,” the Dems are also up by “too close to call” in AK (Begich +2), and CO (Udall +4).
(Excerpt) Read more at redstate.com ...
Incumbent Dem under 50%... Lot of ‘em. The only incumbent GOP under 50% I know of is McConnell in KY
What did they say about Carr in Tennessee?
I suppose anything is possible, but I wouldn't bet the farm on your scenario.
(Not that I have a farm, anyway.)
Before anyone gets too excited, any Pubbie up by 1 or 2 points is going to lose due to Dem vote fraud.
Too close to call is also going to the Democrat.
So unless we are talking 3-5% leads........
Savvy move, even though I think it stinks.
Slight Mod:
Win the Senate (WITH McConnell losing) and then strong-arm some Dems, then Impeach.
I GOP takeover WITH McConnell losing, I think, HELPS the strong-arming effort.
Yeah, right. With our current corrupt voting system, I’ll wait to see what President Romney has to say ...
Good. Then we can afford to knock of Cochran by not showing up.
I hate to be a wet blanket, but I’ll believe it when I see it, my gut still tells me the GOPe will find a way to screw this up or that the mass wave of illegals will guarantee permanent Democratic control.
I see AK as a must-win for the GOP, given the way the Dems won the seat last time.
I want Begich destroyed. As an example to others.
No way I’m believing polls of today. Most of the dolts in this country aren’t even paying attention to politics. So, come November, people will vote for the name they remember of who their friend said who to vote for.
Nunn never had a chance. Georgians are not going to elect any more leftests until the Mexican stampede wipes us off the map.
RCP just moved a “Leans Dem” in MI to a “toss up”.
As of now:
R - 46
D - 45
Tossup - 9
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/mi/michigan_senate_land_vs_peters-3820.html
I don’t think 3% to 5% lead is enough, Sharron Engle had a 6% lead over Harry Reid right up to election day. The democrats are just too good at fraud.
Tsunami coming
SURF’S UP........
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