Maybe another Carville Moment ???
Posted on 09/08/2014 2:41:35 PM PDT by SMGFan
While the current Rothenberg Political Report ratings don’t show it, I am now expecting a substantial Republican Senate wave in November, with a net gain of at least seven seats.
But I wouldn’t be shocked by a larger gain.
Rothenberg Political Report ratings reflect both where a race stands and, more importantly, where it is likely headed on Election Day. Since early polls rarely reflect the eventual November environment, either in terms of the candidates’ name recognition and resources or of the election’s dynamic, there is often a gap between how I categorize each race (my ratings) and what I privately assume will happen in November.
That gap closes as Election Day approaches, of course, since polling should reflect changes in name identification, candidate and party spending, and voter attitudes as November approaches.
Right now, for example, the Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call Senate ratings suggest Republican gains in the mid-single digits. My newsletter has the most likely outcome of the midterms at Republican gains of 5 to 8 seats, with the GOP slightly more likely than not to net the six seats it needs to win Senate control.
(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.rollcall.com ...
Dont get complacent. Remember 2012 when we thought for sure that we’d oust this Pres’ent?
If they do win these seats, it will be in SPITE of their efforts/non-efforts.
Let’s not count un-hatched chickens (appropriate name for many republicans)
RUH ROH ...
If they win these seats, they will probably be RINOs anyway.
how about the senate races in the states of Guam,Saskatchuam,Austria,Mexico,East Virginia,West Dakota,and Pluto. (those are states 51-57, right?)
Maybe another Carville Moment ???
Gotta always bear in mind were dealing with ‘Rats. The more they are behind, the more they are inclined to reach deep into their bag-’Ø-tricks, and find some way to change the equation - blow up an existing story - Ferguson, for example... or create an entirely new one. They’ll need something akin to the Madrid train wrecks prior to Spain’s election in 2004.
If the GOP gets 7 seats, we’ll have amnesty by March 1st.
Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory
Ain’t gonna happen. The GOP is going to get smoked in November.
There is really no excuse for them not picking up a minimum of 13 seats . . . except that these are Republicans we are talking about here.
You can be damn sure McCain and Graham will consistently cross-over even more than Mitch to make Biden the tie-breaker.
If not both, then at least one plus another RINO such as the weak sister from Maine.
Bottom line is that we need more than a mere +7 gain.
Sad but prolly true.
Depends. If Obamacare keeps failing and Obama makes more big foreign policy mistakes the Dems might be crossing in the other direction.
I think Mitch ought to be re-elected, but he ought to be challenged as leader.
I would really really really like a veto proof majority in both the House and Senate.
Cut spending.
Repeal Obamacare.
Require border enforcement.
Defund the EPA.
That is just for starters.
? Define “smoked”.
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