Posted on 10/15/2014 7:57:17 PM PDT by Mariner
IBCS
(In before common sense)
I am not an alarmist when it comes to Ebola - I look at the numbers, the resulting odds, and the penalties when the odds don’t break in your favor.
The most significant recent event with Ebola was the transfer of the second infected nurse to Emory University’s level IV isolation ward. That transfer was tactic admission that your run-of-the-mill hospital is unable to safely handle Ebola patients.
That reduces the total population of hospitals can could handle Ebola from hundreds to four.
How many beds capable of safely handling Ebola patients? A total of 23. Your 24th Ebola patient in 27 days will have no safe place to be sent. 27 days? Thomas Eric Duncan died 24 days after he was physically exposed to an Ebola victim in Monrovia, Liberia. I have no idea what it would take, time wise, to sterilize a hospital room that had an Ebola victim in it - regardless of his survival or death. It could be less and it could be considerably more.
What does this mean? Let’s use New Year’s 2015 as an end point of this exploration of logistic reality. That is 76 days from now. Perfect scheduling of Ebola victims (a new victim shows up only when there is an available class IV hospital bed available) that is roughly 3 victim cycles (27, 54, 81). That means as we are setup, tonight, we could only care for 68 more Ebola victims (we filled a bed already today) between now and New Years. 68 maximum Ebola victims in a nation of 318 million?
I don’t care how low the odds are reported we still run out of beds. And if (when?) we run out of class IV beds what will that do to the survival rate? Africa’s total experience indicates that the survival rate will drop to something in the order of 30% - 7 out of every 10 Ebola patients die.
If the numbers scare you, and IMHO they should, welcome to logistic realities inplace of politically correct pabulum being spread by the MSM.
It is because it is traveling via the friendly skies. That can migrate to the all parts of the country in a day. I travel a bit.
I do NOT trust this administration on ANYTHING.
I feel a certain,perhaps morbid, curiousity about how these people are going to be dancing around this subject as the third and fourth and fifth cases appear. I may even have to start watching television again.
The numbers don’t lie.
Yes, there’s media advertising-driven ‘panic’ meme AND incompetency from the authorities: one would be surprised if people weren’t very concerned. It is not such that Jon is ridiculing, however. He ridicules an informed request for an embargo until reliable protocols for the disease are in place.
Very well said.
I am in absolute disbelief that Ebola is now in the United States. Are we out of our f’ing minds? Ebola?! And the president gives us a friggin press briefing!?
It won't take much to overwhelm the system. How many more carriers are already in the US and how long before one shows up in Mexico or Central America? What is Obama's plan to control it going to be then?
The current outbreak started just 6 months ago in Africa and the rate of growth isn't slowing. We might be able to contain it here but only if we can prevent new cases from being imported. That won't be possible with the current policies in place.
Insane isn’t it? We just keep reaching new firsts and new lows and the American people just keep bending over for more. It is stunning to see.
Hey...Mr. Leibowitz...I got yer “sanity” hangin’ right heah, Skippy. Heh, heh...heh, heh...
Jon, your fans think you’re a serious news guy pretending to be a comedian. Your detractors think you’re a comedian pretending to be a serious news guy. The fact is, you’re neither. You’re just an Obama flack with a clown nose. I mean, more so than the guys and girls who actually get paid for it.
It is very easy for the Lefties like Jon Stewart to be flippant about Ebola because it is a disease that affects “little people” and not smug, pseudo intellectual grandees like him. However, if someone in his inner circle of friends got a positive on an Ebola test, Jon Stewart would be calling every “expert” he could to save him. For Stewart, it’s one thing to ignore some faceless peon but he cannot ignore one of his inner circle that may have infected HIM. If Jon Stewart were to be positive for Ebola and he died from this horrible disease, what would the world do without him? That is precisely how sick and twisted the Lefties are. They are total hypocrites that want to play in a crap game with other people’s lives.
I remember when Jon Stewart was doing the late late talk show. He walked out with a glass of clear liquid and explained that a shot of Vodka helped him do the show without the anxiety.
I’d bet he would not be able to follow a protocol for a simple infectious disease, much less a bad one. After the 20 or so level 4 beds are full, and health care workers start finding out their protocols are 100% effective...80% of the time and the disease is not a flu, but Ebola...
DK
Yahoo and Jon Stewart think I care about what Jon Stewart thinks.
Wrong.
Just mix some Ebola in with the tar. After all the warmth of the tar will kill off all the virus.
Not correct. Cholera bacteria grows in sewage. Ebola doesn't grow anywhere except in the human body and a couple of other mammals.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.