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11 Uncalled (Congressional) Races Remain as Democrats Pick Up California Seat
Roll Call Politics ^ | November 7, 2014 | Emily Cahn

Posted on 11/07/2014 1:12:15 PM PST by Clintonfatigued

In Arizona’s 2nd District, the Republican, retired Air Force Col. Martha McSally, saw her lead over Democratic Rep. Ron Barber diminish after officials counted more ballots Thursday. She leads Barber by a 363-vote margin, with about 17,000 ballots outstanding. That lead shrunk from the 1,293-vote margin McSally had after Election Day.

In California, six races remain uncalled. Each county has their own process to count ballots, and it could be at least a week before winnere are declared.

Republicans lead in two of those contests: •In the Sacramento-based 7th District, former Rep. Doug Ose leads Democratic Rep. Ami Bera by 2,183 votes, with many ballots still outstanding. That lead diminished Thursday, when he had a 3,011-vote lead. Around 40,000 votes remain to be counted.

•Little-known Republican Johnny Tacherra leads Democratic Rep. Jim Costa by 736 votes in the 16th District — a race not on the radar of any party operatives. It’s unclear whether there are enough outstanding votes for Costa to overcome that margin.

Democrats lead in the other four contests: •In the San Diego-based 52nd District, Democratic Rep. Scott Peters retook the lead from Republican Carl DeMaio after mail-in ballots came in Thursday. Peters now leads by 861 votes. That is a big swing from after Election Day, when DeMaio led Peters by a 752-vote margin. More votes are expected to come in Monday.

•In the 9th District, Democratic Rep. Jerry McNerney leads Republican Tony Amador by a 2,360-vote margin in another unexpectedly close race.

•Democratic Rep. Michael M. Honda leads Democratic attorney Ro Khanna in the Silicon Valley-based 17th District by more than 4,000 votes — a widening lead giving Khanna a slim path to victory. Honda is slated to make an announcement about the race at 1 p.m. EST.

(Excerpt) Read more at atr.rollcall.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: California
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To: fieldmarshaldj

You should write for someone.


81 posted on 11/10/2014 10:07:13 AM PST by wardaddy (todays republicans are worse than reconstruction era.....and that takes effort)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

Some new devlopments:

CA-52 San Diego Councilman (R) conceded to incumbent Scott Peters (D) yesterday. It’s over.

CA-7 Ex-Congressman Doug Ose (R) and freshman Congressman Ami Bera (D) are contesting about 3,000 votes in the Sacramento County areas. It’ll take a while, but Ose continues to have the edge. I don’t see how Bera can win this.

CA-16 The counting continues. Incumbent Jim Costa, a Democrat politico who has held elected office since 1978, needs urban Fresno to win. About 20,000 votes remain to be counted in Fresno County, but it’s unknown how many of them are in this district and Costa would have to win over 60% of them. About 2,300 are uncounted in Madera and Merced Counties, which voted for dairy farmer Johnny Tacherra (R). A local respected consultant who’s worked for various campaigns predicts that Tacherra will win by about 200 votes when the counting is over.


82 posted on 11/10/2014 12:08:43 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Impy

Yup. When she first declared for the lower office, I presumed it was for a Democrat seat she could easily segue into. I didn’t know it wasn’t. I saw an endorsement for Hagman, essentially saying he was the dynamic choice (as opposed to her being the old, SEIU union flunkie, of which has wrought enormous damage on the state).


83 posted on 11/10/2014 3:54:06 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: Stevenc131

Isn’t that the truth.

Costa from CA always wins by additional uncounted ballots.

I think they are holding up calling it until he can find more ballots.


84 posted on 11/10/2014 3:58:07 PM PST by JustAmy (Take a Cruz from Texas to DC!)
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To: Impy; AuH2ORepublican
“As of now, unfortunately, the GOP still holds but ONE seat in the House from Davidson County “

"Lame, out of how many seats?"

Davidson County has 10 House seats.

"I’m very surprised to hear the GOP didn’t contest so many winnable State house districts and yet still have 73."

As it is, the GOP ran candidates in 83 out of 99 districts, with only 10 losing. The Dems, conversely, ran a paltry 53 candidates in which a majority of them, 27, lost. You need 50 for a majority. That the party has so completely collapsed to that point in just 3 election cycles (remember the Dems had de facto control via a puppet speaker going into the 2010 election) is pretty amazing.

In my estimation, as the GOP has effectively maxed out with 28 out of 33 seats in the Senate (barring a shift of Black voters to the GOP), I count only about 8 more seats that the GOP could potentially win (81), with the remainder largely falling under the boundaries of the 5 Senate seats (15 in Memphis & Nashville and the remaining 3 being Black districts in Knoxville, Chattanooga & a rural West TN seat).

As an interesting trivia point, the Black Knoxville seat back in the 1980s had a Democrat occupant named Pete Drew. Drew actually switched to the GOP while in office and remarkably managed to win reelection as a Republican. He lost reelection to another Black, Dem Joe Armstrong. Armstrong has held the seat ever since, but Drew has become a bit of a perennial candidate (he also ran in the Black Chattanooga district in 2002). He actually ran against Armstrong as an Independent last week, but got a paltry 24% of the vote in an incredibly low turnout in that district.

85 posted on 11/10/2014 4:20:04 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

The number of state House seats where a major party doesn’t field a candidate always surprises me. You would think they would at least want a name on the ballot, even if it only draws 10-20%.


86 posted on 11/10/2014 4:22:07 PM PST by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: AuH2ORepublican; Impy; fieldmarshaldj

Don’t know how true it is, but a credible-sounding guy called a talk show, and said he was at a bar, and was told some in Westchester County are pro-Astorino, but voted against him because they did not want to lose him, and become the sixth borough.

Guess anything is possible. :)


87 posted on 11/10/2014 10:15:09 PM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: Sun

It’s possible. A situation in Nebraska unfolded similar to that in 1996. When Democrat then-Gov. Ben Nelson decided to run for the Senate with two years left on his term. At the time, his approval ratings were sky-high (he easily survived the ‘94 elections) at it was expected he’d easily hold the seat of retiring Dem. Sen. Jim Exon. Chuck Hagel, who had never run or held office before, was considered to be the desultory opponent for Nelson.

In a shocking upset, Hagel ended up defeating Nelson, with many of those in the state answering that they wanted Nelson to stay in Lincoln and not have the leftist Lt Governor Kim Robak succeed him in office. Flash forward 18 years later and Nelson & Hagel are both some of the most reviled political figures around (with both retiring from the Senate ahead of being defeated).


88 posted on 11/10/2014 10:29:55 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: Sun; AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj

I would presume the number of people that voted against Astornio for Governor because they wanted him to remain in his current office, is negligible. Not zero certainly because voters have all kinds of dumb reasons, but I can’t imagine it was any great number of people.


89 posted on 11/10/2014 10:31:55 PM PST by Impy (Choke on it dems, your tears are delicious)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

“It’s possible. A situation in Nebraska unfolded similar to that in 1996. ..”

Very interesting.


90 posted on 11/10/2014 10:36:13 PM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: Impy

“..negligible. “

Probably, but you never know.

Astorino said some people in Westchester Co. wanted Cuomo for gov., but still like him as Co. Executive.


91 posted on 11/10/2014 10:39:12 PM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: Sun; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Clintonfatigued

I hope so, cause he got under 42% in Westchester.

I’m seeing articles about the NY Senate GOP allegedly undermining Astorino, so as not to have ticked off Cumomo into campaigning hard for a rat Senate.


92 posted on 11/10/2014 10:59:07 PM PST by Impy (Choke on it dems, your tears are delicious)
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To: Impy

I hear most of the NY Senate never helped Astorino in the first place. It certainly would have helped if the so-called leader, Sen. Skelos showed leadership and supported Astorino. But Skelos seems to be in bed with Cuomo, just like Gov. Christie is.

I did see Senator Farley next to Astorino on tv, supporting him, and I hope there were others that I didn’t see.


93 posted on 11/10/2014 11:09:59 PM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

Here are the latest on the undecided House races:

AZ-2 Martha McSally leading by 179 votes.

CA-7 Doug Ose leading by 1,530 votes.

CA-16 Johnny Tacherra still leading by 741 votes.

CA-26 Julia Brownley leading by 1,130 votes.

NY-25 Louise Slaughter leading by 582 votes.


94 posted on 11/11/2014 2:02:49 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Ben Sparks @BenjaminSparks · 1h 1 hour ago
RT @AustinBaird: Sullivan now has a 8,784 vote lead over Begich. #aksen


95 posted on 11/11/2014 6:30:40 PM PST by Jet Jaguar (Resist in place.)
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To: Clintonfatigued
David Freddoso ‏@freddoso 4m4 minutes ago First batch of #AKSEN #AKGOV absentees counted, Parnell gained about 150 on Walker, Sullivan gained 600 over Begich. http://www.adn.com/article/20141111/sullivan-parnell-gain-ground-latest-round-alaska-vote-counting …
96 posted on 11/11/2014 6:32:24 PM PST by Jet Jaguar (Resist in place.)
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To: Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

With fewer than 200 votes left to count, McSally leads Barber by 133 votes in AZ-02. There will be an automatic recount (the margin will be fewer than 200 votes), and Barber may try to get them to count ballots that were rejected (although most were rejected because the voter wasn’t registered or voted in the wrong district, so I doubt that there will be many valid votes there). We’ll see what happens in the recount. http://m.tucson.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/elections/mcsally-apparent-cd-winner-recount-all-but-certain/article_891d19a7-f76d-5361-9d45-9d9a3f14c098.html?mobile_touch=true


97 posted on 11/12/2014 3:37:10 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll defend your rights?)
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To: AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

The following undecided races stand at this:

AZ-2 Martha McSally appears to have defeated Ron Barber. She’s up by 133 votes with nearly every vote counted. There will be an automatic recount.

CA-7 Call me blindsided. Ami Bera has pulled ahead of Doug Ose by 711 votes. A recount is certain.

CA-16 Jim Costa has taken an 86 vote lead over Johnny Tacherra/.

NMY-25 Gates Mayor has conceded to Louise Slaughter, who leads by 869 votes with fewer than 3,000 left to count.

Those California results seem fishy to me.

CA-26 The Associated Press has declared Julia Brownley the winner. She leads Assemblyman Jeff Gorell by about 2,000 votes.


98 posted on 11/12/2014 5:00:06 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

McSally appeared to be certain to have a small lead heading into the automatic recount, but, zoot alors!, they found some more uncounted ballots in Pima County: http://tucson.com/news/election/election-new-ballots-discovered-in-cd-race/article_2ffc62d2-6aa3-11e4-b50f-ab710b47356c.html

Hopefully it won’t change things much.


99 posted on 11/12/2014 5:27:12 PM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll defend your rights?)
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To: Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

OK, this article states that the found ballots are from a heavily GOP area and potentially could push McSally’s lead above 200 votes, which would force Barber to have to pay for a recount if he wanted one: http://ktar.com/22/1782520/Pima-County-officials-find-208-ballots-BarberMcSally-race-continues

So good news for once?


100 posted on 11/12/2014 5:30:48 PM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll defend your rights?)
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