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"January Effect" an omen for 2015? --Investment & Finance Thread - Jan. 4
Weekly investment & finance thread ^ | Jan. 4, 2015 | Freeper Investors

Posted on 01/04/2015 9:26:15 AM PST by expat_panama

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1 posted on 01/04/2015 9:26:15 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: 1010RD; A Cyrenian; abb; Abigail Adams; abigail2; AK_47_7.62x39; Aliska; aposiopetic; Aquamarine; ..

Wisdom from experts on high ping.

2 posted on 01/04/2015 9:28:45 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

I thought a good year for stocks comes when the NFC wins the Super Bowl.


3 posted on 01/04/2015 9:53:34 AM PST by sparklite2
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To: sparklite2

Of course!! Now why is it that all these institutional investors spend all that money on so much research...


4 posted on 01/04/2015 10:10:19 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

... because someone else is willing to pay them for it.

There are good reasons to invest in a S&P 500 index fund.

1. Fees are very low because no research is needed or being paid for.

2. Successful investments are measured against the S&P 500, which usually include a lot of research being paid for. Just skip the middle man.

3. Is large scale research worth it? Remember the anecdote that ends with, “Where are the customers’ yachts?”


5 posted on 01/04/2015 11:59:48 AM PST by sparklite2
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To: expat_panama

We’re doomed, doomed I say! 2015 is the year of the Smitah; see Rabbi Johnathan Caan.


6 posted on 01/04/2015 12:08:40 PM PST by Rich21IE
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To: sparklite2

Years ago, I heard someone say that since the S&P index represents the 500 largest companies in the U. S., an investment in the index was sound. You don’t get to be that big without knowing what you’re doing, he said.


7 posted on 01/04/2015 12:13:50 PM PST by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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To: expat_panama

After so many years of fed manipulation and outright statistical government lies, is anything to do with the stock market is real?


8 posted on 01/04/2015 12:45:28 PM PST by nomad
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To: nomad

The only thing real is “real” estate. And they aren’t making any more. As the old billboard said, “Get a lot while you’re young.”


9 posted on 01/04/2015 1:02:41 PM PST by sparklite2
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To: expat_panama
"January Effect"

Gets me every time!

10 posted on 01/04/2015 2:26:44 PM PST by jaz.357 (never mind.)
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To: 1010RD; A Cyrenian; abb; Abigail Adams; abigail2; AK_47_7.62x39; Aliska; aposiopetic; Aquamarine; ..

It's a beautiful new weird day with broader futures markets up +0.39 --and it's metals leading (+0.65%) with stock indexes lagging (-0.09%).  Our econ report coworkers will be back this afternoon w/ Auto and Truck Sales.  Good to be up early to have time to read all this:


11 posted on 01/05/2015 2:42:10 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: nomad

It’s as real as can be. My dividend checks from PP&L, KMI, IBM, BA, etc. spend just the same as any paycheck I ever earned.


12 posted on 01/05/2015 3:01:37 AM PST by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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To: expat_panama

ISI Economic Summary from Sunday night:

Happy New Year!
1. It’s pretty certain the US economic expansion is now self-sustaining, eg, bank loans have accelerated y/y to +7.7%.
2. Foreign economies are soft and DXY surged +1.2% w/w. This combination is keeping downward pressure on commodity prices, eg, Brent -$3 and corn -19 cents.
3. The CPI in the US is likely to slow to just +0.3% y/y in Jan and the Eurozone CPI to -0.1% y/y, ie, deflation.
4. PBoC, ECB, and BoJ will all ease further in Jan. Draghi’s comments last week helped push German bond yields down -9bp to 0.50%!
5. In the past, plunges in oil have helped bolster growth, and the S&P has rallied +10% on average after the low in oil.
6. Judging by Evercore ISI hedge fund survey, investors are still neutral. And the continued decline in bond yields also suggests investors are not bullish on equities.


13 posted on 01/05/2015 4:36:29 AM PST by Wyatt's Torch
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To: Wyatt's Torch
pretty certain the US economic expansion is now self-sustaining

Agreed.  OK, so we got lots of complaints but that's a sign of an expansion getting under way.  Many people don't realize that an economic boom that's peaked and leveling off is what's called the beginning of a recession.

14 posted on 01/05/2015 6:20:07 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama
Many people don't realize that an economic boom that's peaked and leveling off is what's called the beginning of a recession.

And it's going to be really funny when the dolts on FR start yelling "See! I told you we've been in recession for 7 years!"

SMDH

15 posted on 01/05/2015 6:31:43 AM PST by Wyatt's Torch
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To: expat_panama

On the positive side my company got upgraded this morning :-)


16 posted on 01/05/2015 6:32:38 AM PST by Wyatt's Torch
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To: expat_panama
UST yield curve changes today:

#Flattening


17 posted on 01/05/2015 7:01:28 AM PST by Wyatt's Torch
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To: Wyatt's Torch
my company got upgraded

Neat!  If it's listed send me the ticker --I do well w/ companies w/ happy employees...

18 posted on 01/05/2015 7:31:53 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

I didn’t say I was a happy employee..... :-)


19 posted on 01/05/2015 7:39:04 AM PST by Wyatt's Torch
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To: Wyatt's Torch
lol!!

ah haa...

20 posted on 01/05/2015 7:51:27 AM PST by expat_panama
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