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Iowa caucus odds: 1 of these 4 will win
The Washington Times ^ | June 29, 2015 | Steve Deace

Posted on 06/29/2015 8:07:29 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Turns out there is a silver lining to five justices on the U.S. Supreme Court committing what amounts to cultural self-immolation last week — it winnowed the crowded field of 2016 GOP presidential candidates considerably.

After analyzing the historical demographics of the first-in-the-nation Iowa caucuses, along with the overall environment on the ground, I’m confident we already know who can win here next February and who cannot.

Championship Tier

Given the demographic dominance of evangelicals in the Iowa Caucuses, where they’re about 60 percent of the vote, as well as Iowa Republicans’ documented disdain for activist judges (see Iowa’s historic 2010 judicial retention election), a candidate who responded timidly to last week’s unleashing of the Rainbow Jihad isn’t going to win the Iowa caucuses.

Unfortunately, most of the field wasn’t exactly a profile in courage....

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Extended News; Government; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2ndamendment; abortion; banglist; blackkk; bush; deathpanels; election2016; gaymarriage; homosexualagenda; huckabee; libertarians; medicalmarijuana; obamacare; obamanation; redistribution; reparations; rubio; santorum; scottwalker; secondamendment; tedcruz; texas; whiteprivilege; zerocare
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Comments?
1 posted on 06/29/2015 8:07:29 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
It's Cruz or Lose... used to be the sound bite... BUT...

It's becoming more evident this is the truth....

It's Cruz or Lose...... .....BADLY.....

2 posted on 06/29/2015 8:14:22 PM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited (specifically) to include some fully orbed hyperbole..)
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To: hosepipe

Tagline.


3 posted on 06/29/2015 8:15:30 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

exactly..


4 posted on 06/29/2015 8:20:28 PM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited (specifically) to include some fully orbed hyperbole..)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The “What in the Sam Hill are they thinking” Tier Only Allah knows why these people are running.

Lindsey Graham — Iowans have already gotten their Caitlyn Jenner fix.

5 posted on 06/29/2015 8:30:09 PM PDT by spodefly (This is my tag line. There are many like it, but this one is mine.)
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To: SoConPubbie; Cincinatus' Wife; Cringing Negativism Network; Reaganite Republican; SunkenCiv; ...

Ping!


6 posted on 06/29/2015 8:31:36 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; Kale; Jarhead9297; COUNTrecount; notaliberal; DoughtyOne; MountainDad; ...
    Ted Cruz Ping!

    If you want on/off this ping list, please let me know.
    Please beware, this is a high-volume ping list!

    CRUZ or LOSE!

7 posted on 06/29/2015 8:32:50 PM PDT by SoConPubbie (Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Huckabee and Santorum???? Seriesly?

Yawn. Throw those has-beens overboard!


8 posted on 06/29/2015 8:37:53 PM PDT by luvie (All my heroes wear camos! Thank you David, Michael, Chris, Txradioguy, JJ, CMS, & ALL Vets, too!w)
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To: LUV W

He probably included them because they’ve won Iowa before, but it ain’t 2008 or 2012 any more.


9 posted on 06/29/2015 8:43:05 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Thank God it isn’t! I’m hoping it’s not a nightmare this time!


10 posted on 06/29/2015 8:46:43 PM PDT by luvie (All my heroes wear camos! Thank you David, Michael, Chris, Txradioguy, JJ, CMS, & ALL Vets, too!w)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Huckabee and Santorum are still in the top tier???

I wish that Freeper polls were still in operation. I bet Cruz would get over 60%.

11 posted on 06/29/2015 8:58:22 PM PDT by TChad
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To: TChad

Free Republic STRAW POLL.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-gop/3301519/posts


12 posted on 06/29/2015 9:01:38 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Thanks 2ndDivisionVet, but this one is useless. If he were serious about ranking them, he should have ranked them.

13 posted on 06/29/2015 9:12:53 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (What do we want? REGIME CHANGE! When do we want it? NOW)
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To: hosepipe

BUMP


14 posted on 06/29/2015 9:19:18 PM PDT by GeronL
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Free Republic STRAW POLL

That's not quite what I had in mind, but it's much better than nothing. Looks like about 95% Cruz.

15 posted on 06/29/2015 9:46:57 PM PDT by TChad
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Chris Christie is human garbage. Anyone but him. Cruz would give me hope.


16 posted on 06/29/2015 9:53:04 PM PDT by MissionaryRidge
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

No comments because I can’t get into the article, and you didn’t list the four.


17 posted on 06/29/2015 10:21:28 PM PDT by BigEdLB (They need to target the 'Ministry of Virtue' which has nothing to do with virtue.)
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To: BigEdLB

If you have trouble with a paywall, Google the title and click on the link.

http://lmgtfy.com/?q=Iowa+caucus+odds%3A+1+of+these+4+will+win

Deace’s top four are Cruz, Huckabee, Santorum, and Walker.


18 posted on 06/29/2015 10:30:08 PM PDT by iowamark (I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy)
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To: iowamark

thank you


19 posted on 06/29/2015 10:32:08 PM PDT by BigEdLB (They need to target the 'Ministry of Virtue' which has nothing to do with virtue.)
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To: iowamark

The huckster and Santorum don’t have a chance. Walker may be OK but he ain’t Cruz. Watch the libtards have purplelectric fits when Cruz starts winning primaries.


20 posted on 06/29/2015 11:01:44 PM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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