Posted on 10/16/2015 7:29:38 AM PDT by ghost of stonewall jackson
As a spokesman for the no compromise, anti-establishment wing of his party, Cruz would be the ideal presidential nominee for conservatives tired of Republican leaders. He could ask a like-minded governor, possibly Louisianas Bobby Jindal, to join his ticket, giving voters the clear choice that conservatives claim they never have.
But could Cruz win? I dont think so. He might well carry all or most of the 22 states that McCain carried in 2008, and if the Democratic nominee is damaged badly enough and Barack Obamas standing in national polls low enough, I suppose it might be possible that he could win.
But it is far more likely that Cruz would underperform among swing voters and suffer additional Republican defections. His nomination would enable Democrats to make the election a referendum on him and the tea party, and it isnt difficult to imagine 2016 becoming a modern day version of 1964, when Republicans suffered a humiliating defeat.
A Cruz nomination would virtually guarantee Democratic control of the Senate after Novembers elections. GOP senators in states such as Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and, of course, Illinois would have little chance of being re-elected, and the partys prospects in a handful of other Senate races, (e.g., Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and even Arizona) would suddenly become more worrisome.
Given the relatively low number of truly competitive House districts, the GOP might well be able to retain control of the House, but even that is not certain.
So why should the GOP nominate Cruz if it entails so much risk? Because a clear and convincing defeat is the only thing in the foreseeable future that has any chance of convincing Freedom Caucus types in the Republican Party that their strategy is flawed. (Alas, even a crushing defeat wouldnt convince everyone.)
(Excerpt) Read more at rothenberggonzales.com ...
Because the constitution still matters.
But could Cruz win? I dont think so. He might well carry all or most of the 22 states that McCain carried in 2008, and if the Democratic nominee is damaged badly enough and Barack Obamas standing in national polls low enough, I suppose it might be possible that he could win.
We have to fight the fights that need fighting. I do not want a nominee that can win, I want the best nominee we can get and that is Cruz today.
and if he loses badly?
The leadership we have right now is crap.
I can say with pretty good certainty that he wouldn’t carry OH.
We MUST win the election this time. Think of the next supreme court justice (s) the Hildabeast would appoint.
Cruz is a good man and a real conservative.
But I don’t think he can win enough of the swing states.
It’s got to be Trump.
>> I do not want a nominee that can win <<
Quote of the month?
I can say with pretty good certainty that he wouldnt carry OH.
I live in Ohio and Kasich is not popular here.
I can say with pretty good certainty that he wouldnt carry OH.
So we can get more H1-B visa holders to displace American workers.
This guy is a SENATOR!
No thanks.
Their big thing would be that everyone in Congress hates Cruz and he could never work with them. They’d hammer that til election day and it’s partially true.
I know, for good reasons, just saying.
Exactly. And Kasich is more liberal than Cruz. I think Cruz is viewed as way too far right for OH. And that shows in all the polls. Trump is basically tied with Hillary here.
I won’t vote for a liberal scumbag like Trump.
which obama 2012 states does cruz turn red?
Then, we go down fighting.
At this point, the battle worth fighting for is the Constitutional Conservative cause. I have little interest in nominees that barely, if at all, mention Constitutional matters.
Fine, then say hello to President Clinton Part II.
Fine, then say hello to President Clinton Part II.
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