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Why Republicans Need to Nominate Ted Cruz
Rothenberg Gonzalez Political Report ^ | 10/16/15 | Stuart Rothenberg

Posted on 10/16/2015 7:29:38 AM PDT by ghost of stonewall jackson

As a spokesman for the no compromise, anti-establishment wing of his party, Cruz would be the ideal presidential nominee for conservatives tired of Republican leaders. He could ask a like-minded governor, possibly Louisiana’s Bobby Jindal, to join his ticket, giving voters the clear choice that conservatives claim they never have.

But could Cruz win? I don’t think so. He might well carry all or most of the 22 states that McCain carried in 2008, and if the Democratic nominee is damaged badly enough and Barack Obama’s standing in national polls low enough, I suppose it might be possible that he could win.

But it is far more likely that Cruz would underperform among swing voters and suffer additional Republican defections. His nomination would enable Democrats to make the election a referendum on him and the tea party, and it isn’t difficult to imagine 2016 becoming a modern day version of 1964, when Republicans suffered a humiliating defeat.

A Cruz nomination would virtually guarantee Democratic control of the Senate after November’s elections. GOP senators in states such as Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and, of course, Illinois would have little chance of being re-elected, and the party’s prospects in a handful of other Senate races, (e.g., Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and even Arizona) would suddenly become more worrisome.

Given the relatively low number of truly competitive House districts, the GOP might well be able to retain control of the House, but even that is not certain.

So why should the GOP nominate Cruz if it entails so much risk? Because a clear and convincing defeat is the only thing in the foreseeable future that has any chance of convincing Freedom Caucus types in the Republican Party that their strategy is flawed. (Alas, even a crushing defeat wouldn’t convince everyone.)

(Excerpt) Read more at rothenberggonzales.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: tedcruz
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1 posted on 10/16/2015 7:29:38 AM PDT by ghost of stonewall jackson
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To: ghost of stonewall jackson

Because the constitution still matters.


2 posted on 10/16/2015 7:31:01 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Pride goes before destruction, and a haughty spirit before a fall.)
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To: ghost of stonewall jackson

But could Cruz win? I don’t think so. He might well carry all or most of the 22 states that McCain carried in 2008, and if the Democratic nominee is damaged badly enough and Barack Obama’s standing in national polls low enough, I suppose it might be possible that he could win.


What a knucklehead.
Yes, he can win; however, there will be the biggest amount of fraud this nation has ever seen and 100% of it of course will be Democrat voting(or cheating). Pubbies aren’t man enough to call them on it, either; illegals voting, dead people, etc.


3 posted on 10/16/2015 7:33:01 AM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Some Animals are more equal than others.)
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To: CincyRichieRich

4 posted on 10/16/2015 7:34:06 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Pride goes before destruction, and a haughty spirit before a fall.)
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To: CincyRichieRich

We have to fight the fights that need fighting. I do not want a nominee that can win, I want the best nominee we can get and that is Cruz today.


5 posted on 10/16/2015 7:34:54 AM PDT by Resolute Conservative
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To: Resolute Conservative

and if he loses badly?


6 posted on 10/16/2015 7:35:57 AM PDT by ghost of stonewall jackson (If they question why we died, tell them, because our fathers lied.)
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To: ghost of stonewall jackson
The true conservatives in the party are tired of being treated like mushrooms with $#!+ shoveled on their heads on a continual basis.

The leadership we have right now is crap.

7 posted on 10/16/2015 7:36:30 AM PDT by Slyfox (Will no one rid us of this meddlesome president?)
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To: CincyRichieRich

I can say with pretty good certainty that he wouldn’t carry OH.


8 posted on 10/16/2015 7:37:42 AM PDT by LS (YSess"Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: ghost of stonewall jackson

We MUST win the election this time. Think of the next supreme court justice (s) the Hildabeast would appoint.

Cruz is a good man and a real conservative.

But I don’t think he can win enough of the swing states.

It’s got to be Trump.


9 posted on 10/16/2015 7:39:41 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: Resolute Conservative

>> I do not want a nominee that can win <<

Quote of the month?


10 posted on 10/16/2015 7:40:01 AM PDT by Hawthorn
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To: LS

I can say with pretty good certainty that he wouldn’t carry OH.


Rationale?

I live in Ohio and Kasich is not popular here.


11 posted on 10/16/2015 7:40:06 AM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Some Animals are more equal than others.)
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To: LS

I can say with pretty good certainty that he wouldn’t carry OH.


Remember also I’d suspect the more conservative voters hang up on pollsters; I do this. I imagine his internal polls put him much higher.


12 posted on 10/16/2015 7:41:09 AM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Some Animals are more equal than others.)
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To: ghost of stonewall jackson

So we can get more H1-B visa holders to displace American workers.

This guy is a SENATOR!

No thanks.


13 posted on 10/16/2015 7:41:46 AM PDT by onedoug
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To: ghost of stonewall jackson

Their big thing would be that everyone in Congress hates Cruz and he could never work with them. They’d hammer that til election day and it’s partially true.

I know, for good reasons, just saying.


14 posted on 10/16/2015 7:41:46 AM PDT by Kenny
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To: CincyRichieRich

Exactly. And Kasich is more liberal than Cruz. I think Cruz is viewed as way too far right for OH. And that shows in all the polls. Trump is basically tied with Hillary here.


15 posted on 10/16/2015 7:41:49 AM PDT by LS (YSess"Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Signalman

I won’t vote for a liberal scumbag like Trump.


16 posted on 10/16/2015 7:42:01 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Pride goes before destruction, and a haughty spirit before a fall.)
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To: CincyRichieRich

which obama 2012 states does cruz turn red?


17 posted on 10/16/2015 7:43:40 AM PDT by ghost of stonewall jackson (If they question why we died, tell them, because our fathers lied.)
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To: ghost of stonewall jackson

Then, we go down fighting.

At this point, the battle worth fighting for is the Constitutional Conservative cause. I have little interest in nominees that barely, if at all, mention Constitutional matters.


18 posted on 10/16/2015 7:43:58 AM PDT by C210N (When people fear government there is tyranny; when government fears people there is libertye)
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To: cripplecreek

Fine, then say hello to President Clinton Part II.


19 posted on 10/16/2015 7:44:12 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: cripplecreek

Fine, then say hello to President Clinton Part II.


20 posted on 10/16/2015 7:44:13 AM PDT by Signalman
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