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Reuters: Cruz surges in one-on-one battle; would top Trump
http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TM764AY15/filters/LIKELY_PRIMARY15:1,PARTY_ID_:2 ^

Posted on 01/26/2016 6:56:37 PM PST by dangus

click here to read article


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To: dangus

whatever that poll actually is (with only 222 respondents nationally), and it’s hard to tell from the posted page, here’s a link to a reuters poll from 1/22/2015 that shows Trump at 40.6% and Cruz at 10.5%:

“Republican front-runner candidate Donald Trump has a big lead in the race for the 2016 presidential nomination nationally, swamping his opponents with a 40.6 percent share of those surveyed, a Reuters-Ipsos tracking poll found on Friday.

The survey of 582 respondents found Trump with a higher percentage of the vote than his next four challengers combined, with Texas Senator Ted Cruz drawing 10.5 percent, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson with 9.7 percent, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush at 9.2 percent and Florida Senator Marco Rubio with 7.2 percent.”

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSMTZSAPEC1MDJJ32Q

Now here’s the poll YOU posted, only no filters, which includes 935 respondents:

Trump: 42.1%

Cruz: 31.8%

Go peddle you fake polls elsewhere.


61 posted on 01/26/2016 10:02:52 PM PST by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: bolobaby

Like CAPS much?


62 posted on 01/26/2016 11:29:03 PM PST by wiggen (#JeSuisCharlie)
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To: wiggen

Caps show how committed I am! ;-)


63 posted on 01/27/2016 5:04:12 AM PST by bolobaby
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To: entropy12

If Canada’s laws dictate our Presidential qualifications, maybe we could ask them to pass a law that says Hillary is a citizen, so that she can’t run for US President.

Or, they could pass a law that says we are all Canadian citizens, and then none of us could run for President of the US...

Just thinking...


64 posted on 01/27/2016 5:10:51 AM PST by LachlanMinnesota
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To: catnipman

The filters are selecting Republicans who say they will vote.


65 posted on 01/27/2016 6:51:44 AM PST by dangus
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To: dangus

“The filters are selecting Republicans who say they will vote.”

Liar. The filter you selected states quite clearly “Likely Republican PRIMARY voter”, which has almost nothing to do with the national outlook once Trump is nominated.

I’ll repost YOUR link so everyone can check it out for themselves.

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TM764AY15/filters/LIKELY_PRIMARY15:1,PARTY_ID_:2


66 posted on 01/27/2016 9:22:05 AM PST by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: catnipman

Oh, you mean the link I provided myself in the heading? Yes, I meant “who say they will vote in the primaries.”

The distinction is that Reuters gets BIGGER margins for TRUMP than other pollsters by believing voters when they say they will vote.

Other pollsters set their likely voter pool by demographically altering their results to match the profile of 2012 GENERAL ELECTION voters.

If the turnout is typical of actual primary voters, the result will skew waaaay more towards Cruz, but I find plausible the argument that Trump will inspire people who don’t normally vote to come out to the polls... even though those people normally lie to pollsters and say they’re “absolutely certain” they’ll vote.


67 posted on 01/27/2016 10:32:58 AM PST by dangus
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To: catnipman

P.S.

It’s amazing how Trump people throw the word “liar” around so casually.


68 posted on 01/27/2016 10:33:44 AM PST by dangus
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To: dangus

“Yes, I meant “who say they will vote in the primaries.””

then why did it take 66 posts before you corrected your “error” and only RIGHT AFTER someone pointed out the egregious nature of said error?


69 posted on 01/27/2016 10:49:53 AM PST by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: catnipman

I didn’t make an error. You misunderstood what I said, so I clarified.


70 posted on 01/27/2016 1:01:38 PM PST by dangus
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To: dangus

“You misunderstood what I said, so I clarified.”

ROTFLOL!


71 posted on 01/27/2016 2:20:12 PM PST by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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