Posted on 02/02/2016 10:30:41 AM PST by Talisker
DES MOINES, Iowa - One of the most bizarre details to emerge from Monday's Iowa caucuses was that in six Democratic counties, the ownership of six delegates was decided by a coin flip.
A single delegate remained unassigned at the end of caucusing in two precincts in Des Moines, one precinct in Ames, one in Newton, one in West Branch and one in Davenport, The Des Moines Register reported.
In all six instances, the coin toss was won by former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.
There may have been more coin tosses, but those are the ones we know about for now.
Now, get ready to do some math.
In a single coin toss, the probability of calling the toss correctly is 50 percent, or one in two. Heads or tails.
But the probably of winning every flip out of six flips is one in 64, or 1.56 percent.
The online study tool “Coin Toss Probability Calculator†has a really intense formula that explains why, but the bottom line is, the probabilities stack on each other.
You’re 50 percent likely to win one coin flip. But you’re only 25 percent likely to win two consecutive coin flips, because there are now twice as many possible outcomes. So bump that up to six coin flips, and your chances of winning them all are slim.
Clinton’s final statewide delegate count was 699.57, according to the Iowa Democratic Party. Sanders’ was 695.49.
1 in 64 odds.
“Heads I win, Tails you loose!”
-She won 6 out of 6 coin flips. 1 in 64 odds-
Well, that is 3 6s.
What were the odds of her obtaining a $100K return on her $1000 investment on cattle futures?
This is what happens in socialist countries. Whether it’s “random” chance, or actual votes, the establishment wins.
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Of course. Either they kept flipping the coin until they got the results they wanted, or more likely they simply called it for Hilly because they wanted to. We are talking about Democrat Hillary voters here.Nobody expects this to be on the up and up.
Same odds against her making that big haul in cattle futures.
Some gals have all the luck...
The odds go up when you are using a two-headed coin.
Can you imagine if that happened to a Republican?
*flip*
“Heads!”
“Really? I didn’t see it.”
“It was heads.”
Yeah. DH has PhD in Physics and “did the math”. We’re not buying it.
This really is “change” you can believe in!
Yup!
"A million to one shot, Doc."
From what i have heard about democratic iowan caucus procedures, i might see where a toin coss might come into play.
The question arises:
“WHO supplied the coin for the toss???”
(For those who read this, and have not been around this Earth for a while, there IS something called a ‘double-headed coin’, which has ‘no tails’.)
Yes, this happens. Improbable doesn’t mean that it doesn’t happen. There is nothing to stop it from happening thousands of times in a row.
Well, she DID get stuck with the First Molester of The United States, so she’s statistically due some good flips! ☺
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