Percentages in states that didn't want Cruz

March 12, 2016

[NKP_Vet]

Cruz is constantly making a big deal about the number of people that have voted that doesn't want Trump as the nominee, using the % that didn't vote for him. Here's the tables turned on him. Asterisk denotes the states he won.

Alaska* 63.6

Michigan 75.1

Miss 63.7

Idaho* 54.6

Hawaii 67.3

Louisiana 62.00

Kentucky 68.00

Kansas* 52.00

Maine* 54.00

Virginia 83.00

Vermont 90.00

Texas* 56.00 (Home State)

Tennessee 75.00

Oklahoma* 66.00

Minn 71.00

Mass 90.00

Georgia 76.00

Arkansas 69.00

Alabama 79.00

Nevada 79.00

SC 78.00

NH 88.00

Iowa* 72.00

Puerto Rico 91.00

[NKP_Vet]

So far Trump has won 15 states, compared to 7 for Cruz, and 2 for Rubio, 0 for Kasich. Another interesting statistic is Cruz has been completely shut out in the Southern United States, with Trump also carrying the majority of the Evangelical vote that Cruz thinks belongs to him. As a matter of fact he's been humiliated all over the South.

[Robert DeLong]

Thanks for compiling this, very good job. Keep up the good work.

[nhwingut]

I’ve been beating that drum on Twitter related to Texas. 44% in home state is historically bad. Bush took 88% in Texas in 2000.

[ZULU]

Cruz is finished, just like the incredible shrinking Marco.

[Tom Bombadil]

I believe that Cruz feels that when dealing with constituencies, not candidates, for the most Part the constituencies supporting Trump’s opponents have a greater affinity for each other than they do with Trump’s constituency.

I felt the same way until Carson endorsed Trump. Your analysis is valid when analyzing candidates, but may not be so for constituencies.

Can any candidate at this point count on another candidates voters if the other candidate drops out of the race? That may have been true 2 months ago, but now things are really muddled.

[DoughtyOne]

Percentages in (24) states that didn’t want Cruz

Average per state...

71.8 didn’t want Cruz...

[Extremely Extreme Extremist]

Cruz’s margin of victory in TX was the smallest margin of victory of any TX Republican presidential primary winner in history.

[anymouse]

[sonofagun]

I don't think Cruz ever said the majority of voters picked Cruz.

He simply points out, correctly, that the majority of voters did not pick Trump.

Of course that applies to each candidate, which Cruz never denied.

So, these numbers seem to represent time spent doodling with numbers.

[NKP_Vet]

The point I was trying to make it in the states Cruz lost, and especially in his supposedly stronghold the Southern States, he has been summarily destroyed. If Cruz can’t carry the South he will not win the GOP nomination. So far he has Missouri left to bail him out and Missouri is a Midwestern State, although is typically identified as a Southern State.

[Svartalfiar]

I’ve been beating that drum on Twitter related to Texas. 44% in home state is historically bad. Bush took 88% in Texas in 2000

Bush took 88% in TX in 2000... When he was the only one still in the running for the nomination. He didn't have 4-5 other candidates to compete with. Of course Bush would pull more.

[JustTheTruth]

To make this meaningful, you would need to compare the same statistic for each of the other candidates, and Trump’s results would look way better than the others.

[DesertRhino]

That assertion always makes me laugh. He says that most people didn’t vote for Trump. If Trump beat him, that means even more people didn’t vote for him.

I know politicians aren’t good at math, but geeezzzz.
The other explanation is that he is so arrogant he automatically assumes that every vote not for Trump would automatically come to him. Its just idiotic.

[jersey117]

Good job! Facts are stubborn things.

[CatDancer]

I don’t think Missouri (my state) will bail out Cruz, after his agreement with the human garbage in St. Louis (the cesspool of our state)and whatever may happen to Trump’s rally in KC tonight But if Missouri does go for Cruz on Tuesday, I’m already so disgusted with my state I doubt I’ll feel more so.