Posted on 04/07/2016 6:10:31 AM PDT by Rockitz
Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)’s overwhelming victory in Wisconsin on Tuesday makes it all but impossible for GOP frontrunner Donald Trump to win the 1,237 delegates he needs to secure the nomination ahead of the RNC convention in Cleveland.
Trump currently leads the GOP field with 743 delegates. He would need to win 58.9 percent of the remaining pledged delegates to obtain the simple majority necessary.
A number of the states remaining award delegates proportionally. The bulk of delegates in one critical upcoming state, Pennsylvania, aren’t officially bound to any candidate. The fight for California’s massive 172 delegates will be fought largely in each of the state’s 54 Congressional Districts.
As a result, Breitbart News estimates that Donald Trump will end the primary portion of the nomination fight with 1164 delegates, 74 short of the 1,237 delegates necessary to win the nomination on the first ballot. This estimate assumes Trump’s performance in upcoming contests is consistent with the results prior to Wisconsin.
In other words, it is a static estimate, assuming no great change in the trajectory, tone, or focus of the campaigns. It isn’t based on any future missteps, like those experienced by the Trump campaign ahead of the Wisconsin primary. Our assumption is, in many respects, the most optimistic for the Trump campaign. Because of this, it underscores the steep challenge Donald Trump faces heading into the 4th Quarter of the primary season.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
1. If you really think the GOP will let him in, you're just plain stupid.
2. Even if sCruz DID get the nomination by stealing it from under the one who is 50 - 100 short, that's no victory - that's just plain underhanded.
3. sCruz's temporary stolen valor victory at the convention will be short lived, when he loses the general to Hitlery.
Yes, it's corrupt. That is one of several reasons why people are voting for Trump. But Trump knows it's corrupt. If he can't plan for that crooked game and beat the system, he's not going to make it against Hillary and he's not going to get anything done once he's in the White House. It's time for Trump to prove he's a match for that corrupt system.
Since Trump hasn’t come close to getting a majority of voters, everything’s good.
If Trump goes 3rd party, I go 3rd party.
Not sure 600,000 lives was worth it. Not sure it was worth it today, seeing how we got the BLM philosophy running rampant now. In think Monroe had the right idea. (Liberia)
If he waits until the convention, it'll be too late to make a meaningful 3rd party run. That said, if Trump gets sCruz'ed out of the nomination, I'll be writing Trump in from the top of the ballot to the bottom, and will never, ever, for any reason, under any circumstance, vote for another rotten, stinking, filthy, backstabbing, vile, traitorous wretch republican again, EVER.
Shortly after 1pm, the GOP frontrunner arrived in his $7million Sikorsky S-76, landing in a parking lot near to the fairgrounds, which he had hired out so he could give free helicopter rides to children.
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3199381/The-Donald-landed-Trump-touches-helicopter-Iowa-launches-war-worst-Secretary-State-Clinton-beholden-donors-Bush-adds-haven-t-mistakes.html#ixzz459L9bQ9Y Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3199381/The-Donald-landed-Trump-touches-helicopter-Iowa-launches-war-worst-Secretary-State-Clinton-beholden-donors-Bush-adds-haven-t-mistakes.html
Trump can buy the extra delegates.
“I propose Trump and Cruz have an Apprentice like contest which involves some problem solving - like organizing planning for building a skyscraper. “
This is an excellent suggestion for testing skill sets to be president, provided of course that you see the purpose of the federal government is to build things.
If on the other hand you think the purpose of the federal government is to defend our rights and provide for the common defense, coincidentally the view of the nation’s founders, then you see mega-public works projects for what they are. Boondoggles whose primary purpose is to pay off political allies, like the trillion dollar Obama stimulus package that was nothing more than legalized graft to the unions. At which, by the way, Trump is proudly accomplished.
If you listened to his speech announcing his candidacy (I did, intently, as I was fully willing to support him) it seemed as though his primary motivation for entering the race was frustration that the politicians he bribed would not stay bribed.
The fact is that if Trump does not reach 1237, it will be an open convention. I am not a never-Trump. I have said the nominee has to be either Cruz or Trump. Polls also show Trump losing to Hillary but apparently only polls favoring Trump are valid to Trump supporters.
Or Trump can buy the delegates.
The party can be about backroom bargaining or follow the voice of the voters.
The problem is that the "voice of the voters" is not clear. It's clear if one candidate wins a majority of delegates before, but it's not clear when you have a situation where no candidate has a majority. This happens all the time in multi-party democracies where there are lots of parties. The party that wins the plurality may be the most disliked party in the election, and the other parties all unite against them because a majority of voters don't like the party that one the plurality.
If Trump goes third party, which might be difficult since it will be too late to get on the ballot, then he hands the election to the democrats/socialists, destroying the country he claims to love. Is that acceptable?
According to this Breitbart estimate Trump would have fell short even with a win of all delegates in Wisconsin. So after Wisconsin it really is business as usually for the Trump campaign. Work hard and focus on issues. Trump will easily win the majority of the delegates, the most states and millions of more votes than any other candidate. Without corruption,that in itself should secure the nomination.
I certainly hope, that if there is no clear winner by number of initial delegates, that breadth of outreach would be considered. Nobody has romanced ex-Democrats quite like Donald.
Want to take bets on what Donald will call Hillary, if he has called Cruz “Lyin’ Ted”? The “Hypnotist from Hell?”
And a job for life with exquisite perks if they can keep fooling their constituents. TERM LIMITS, NOW AND FOREVER!
I think most Trump voters will vote for Cruz in the general election, but will be unenthusiastic and alienated.
Most non-Republican voters won’t vote for Cruz in November. We lose in November, GOP Inc remains entrenched, and the GOP is out of the presidency for another eight years and simply noncompetitive in national presidential elections. It really is the worst scenario.
At least Trump exposed these frauds for what they are. I’ll probably switch my GOP registration to Independent and find a hobby: following politics will be too depressing for the next half century.
Still rooting for Mr Trump!
Why vote? What difference, at this point, does it make?
Apparently buying delegates is legal so the billionaire deal maker is good to go.
Slavery was a moral stain of ultimate injustice. No man should ever be kept in thrall to another. And the suggestion that black people 150 years ago should have remained slaves because of the BLM a*holes now is the epitome of judging human beings by the color of their skin, and is tracks the same train of race-based thought as the progressive cretins who argue for reparations.
For me, the 600,000 who died are the reparations. Slavery was a horrible evil that deserved to end. Whatever debt was owed for those hundreds of years of slavery was paid for in blood.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.