Posted on 04/14/2016 3:17:26 PM PDT by drewh
I think Trump will get to 1237 by June 7th. He is going to schlong Cruz in the NE primaries which will effectively end Cruz’s campaign. He will be forced to exit.
You do understand that he is going to be swept in NE don’t you?
Prepare yourself for the fact that Ted Cruz will not be in the race much longer. The GOP party leadership is coming to terms with Trump as the nominee. All the normal signs are there. This happens every four years. Ted Cruz has no path to the nomination at this point. Very soon he will be forced to plot his exit strategy. Nebraska will have no bearing on the outcome of the nomination.
Like the Guy who handed out gift baskets to illegals at the border, tried to increase H1B visas by 500 % and double the number of Syrian Muslims we take in.
The GOPe keeps you on the plantation by lying to you,
https://www.donaldjtrump.com/positions/immigration-reform
“Yep. Full socialism. None of this Obama dillydallying. “
Nick, you do know that there is a process whereby you can commit yourself for treatment don’t you? There’s no shame in self-commitment! Who knows, they might find a cure for what’s wrong with you. You should try it!
If Trump earns more than 1,237 delegates, then he will be our nominee.
If he doesn’t, then the elected delegates will continue voting until one of the candidates receives 1,237 delegate votes.
No riots. No “destroying” the Republican party. No defecting. No voting third party. Just following the rules.
Good. End this convention sabotage before it begins.
I really do not think that Cruz will ever exit the race.
What are you people smoking? Trump is the epitome of capitalism, not even in the same universe as socialism.
Since Kasich won his home state of OH, he really hasn't been much of a factor elsewhere because even people that like Kasich know it's a wasted vote.
All the Cruz supporters are hanging their hats on a scenario in which Trump falls just short of the 1237 on the first ballot and then on subsequent ballots, enough Trump delegates magically bail in numbers large enough to get Cruz to 1237.
Maybe that scenario would be plausible if Trump and Cruz were essentially tied for delegates with say Trump at 950 and Cruz at 900. That would definitely make for a contested convention and Trump would be at serious risk.
But even in a worse case scenario, we are looking at Trump at around 1150 and Cruz at around 700. That's a 450 delegate delta. No way does Trump not find a way to bargain for the 80 or 90 delegates to put him over the top.
The closest modern parallel we have to this is the 1976 GOP convention in which Ford had 1,106 delegates going in with Ronald Reagan at 1,034. That was a 72 delegate spread. With 119 uncommitted. This was when 1,130 was the number you needed so Ford was just 24 delegates short.
I won't go into the details here (but if you search "1976 Republican Convention" - it makes for an interesting read) but the bottom line is that Ford ended up prevailing and Reagan really had long odds of pulling it out. Cruz at a minimum will be some 450 delegates behind Trump. It's just not going to happen for Cruz.
You need to warn Nick that if he self commits he’s in there for 72 hours before they’ll let him out. And if they get him drugged up a little they may talk him into staying until his insurance runs out.
That’s Cruz’ target as well. Cool.
And, of course, for all the Trump supporters ready to chime in that that would be a pipe dream.....
That was my point. It’s a pipe dream for Trump, too.
So. Somebody with a vested interest to exaggerate a candidate’s performance is.... Wait for it..... Exaggerating his candidate’s performance.
SURPRISE!
Probably not. He’ll become the modern day Harold Stassen.
“You need to warn Nick that if he self commits he’s in there for 72 hours before they’ll let him out. And if they get him drugged up a little they may talk him into staying until his insurance runs out.”
Maybe he can get Kaslin to join him. Kaslin would bring all the NR copies for the past twenty years and read them to him until he’s either bored to death or cured. Can you imagine having someone read Rich Lowry, Dana Loesch or Jonah Goldberg to you ad nauseum? I’d take a colonoscopy any time!
But even in a worse case scenario, we are looking at Trump at around 1150 and Cruz at around 700. That’s a 450 delegate delta. No way does Trump not find a way to bargain for the 80 or 90 delegates to put him over the top.
There is just no plausible argument for dumping the winner of near all the most important states for Cruz because he hasn’t won anything of substance outside his home state.
20 Biggest electoral vote states
After 4/26
Trump 13
Cruz 2
Kasich 1
Remaining: CA, IN, WA, NJ.
Yes very likely and I figured out many moons ago.
Cruz will be about 500 delegates short of 1237, IF he wins IA which is a big if. He may have much fewer than that.
You sure hooked on Socialism.
I hope you enjoy these babes.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3414519/posts?page=136#136
Now he and Heidi and Goldman Sachs have to get to work on the NAU.
I’d rather see Hillary locked up by June.
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