Posted on 04/28/2016 8:53:33 AM PDT by COUNTrecount
For the last month or so, Donald Trump’s path to 1,237 delegates has been clear: Win Indiana and California.
But after his strong showings in the Northeast, Indiana no longer seems to be a must-win state to capture the Republican nomination.
Sure, winning the state would be very helpful toward gaining a majority of delegates. Without Indiana, he would struggle to get the 1,237 bound delegates needed to wrap up the nomination heading into the convention. But there’s now a credible path to winning on the first ballot without it.
The main reason is Mr. Trump’s success on Tuesday among Pennsylvania’s 54 unpledged delegates. Even though none of them are officially bound to a candidate, 31 of the 54 spots went to delegates preferred by Mr. Trump. And before the election, others had said they would vote for the winner of their district (Mr. Trump won all of the state’s districts). My colleague Jeremy W. Peters reported that Mr. Trump “appeared to have won about 40 of Pennsylvania’s 54 unbound delegates.” If this holds, the delegate math is a little different than what you might have read . That’s because my analysis and that of others included only pledged delegates; the 54 unpledged delegates were held out of Mr. Trump’s path to 1,237.
If he has indeed moved many of those delegates off the sideline and into his territory, it obviates the necessity for him to win Indiana, which is worth 57 delegates . He would still need a comfortable victory in California — enough to win about 130 of the state’s 172 delegates in the event of a loss in Indiana. He could bring that figure as low as 115 with good outcomes in West Virginia, Oregon, Washington and New Mexico, or with a few additional districts in Indiana.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
Been decided. You’re wrong.
We’ll see. If your guy is nominated I’m voting for him but I fear an electoral disaster. If Trump isn’t the nominee, what are you doing?
John, Cruz has been tied at the hip to the Bushes since 1999. He helped Bush devise policy that saw no enforcement of the immigration laws on our books. Further he did it in terms of “for the children” Leftist manipulative language.
Cruz would be no better than a third Bush term.
How did Bush do for the nation? Didn’t he leave it almost flat on it’s back in 2008?
I could go on and on and on mentioning reasons I don’t view Tead to be a positive force for the nation. And if he were to get the nomination at this point, it could only be through treachery.
I don’t reward treachery.
If you would have said that to me even six months ago, I would have gladly high-fived you over it. Now I’m telling folks I wouldn’t vote him onto a local school board.
I also have this very squeamish feeling that we are going to hear about his family situation in the near future.
I am not convinced he’s SCOTUS material by a long shot. His blaming of that rally violence on Trump made it clear he had no concept of the first amendment. If a “Constitutional Scholar” can’t grasp that, do I want him anywhere near John Roberts?
Pariah. There was a time I’d have argued over using that term. After watching his caucus and delegate shenanigans, I’m thinking that’s going lightly.
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you people are way too emotionally involved with Trump....it’s unhealthy and quite honestly silly
btw. there were no delegate shenanigans and you forgot the dastardly deeds he did to saint carson...for some reason that made you people really mad
Anyone who votes based on what some college coach says is too dumb to vote in the first place. Hey, I love Pete Carroll, but I am not voting for the Hildabeast just because he says so.
“I don’t happen to think he’s destroyed and neither does the rest of the world. That’s the point.”
Wanna bet?
I know tons of disillusioned former Cruz supporters. I am one though mine goes back to when he announced himself as a presidential candidate, knowing all the while he is ineligible.
I heard a good one this morning on our local talk radio show.
The only difference between Trump and Hillary is that she made her millions by selling government influence while Trump used his billions to buy government influence. Sounds about right to me.
“Been decided. You’re wrong.”
Sorry, but he isn’t. The Democrats prepared the challenge months ago “just in case.” Any electoral college victory by Cruz will result in a challenge by the Dems, just as Obama’s victory should have been challenged by the mentally challenged (stupid party) Republicans in the Senate and House.
Tead is toast........any way but loose......
But you had supported him?
DoughtyOne, I tried (I think) to post my vote on your final Caucus thread late last night (after midnight) but it seems to have been disappeared into the ether (I’m in “review” status where ALL my posts are reviewed before being posted. Most of my posts (no matter how innocuous) are simply “disappeared” and are never posted. If by some chance I end up with multiple votes in that final caucus, please delete the duplicate(s).
If that was supposed to be you at your best, I feel sorry for you.
you used the phrase coach. the concept of god is more nearl correct
“Trump Doesn’t Need Indiana Anymore, John W wrote:
But you had supported him?”
In my admitted ignorance of who/what he is, yes. Even old guys, tempered by world experience can make mistakes. I count Cruz as one of mine.
In the end you may decide you wound up making a bigger one.
“In the end you may decide you wound up making a bigger one.”
It’s apparent more and more that I haven’t.
Seriously he brought Carly aboard to “Win” California. That in itself shows how flawed Cruz is. Carly is not held in very high esteem in California. In fact its exactly the opposite. Cruz never had and still doesn’t have the “brilliant” mind he is credited for. (Much like Hillary is the “smartest woman in the world meme.)
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