With the MOE this poll is basically already a tie. Let's see if Trump gets past Hillary at the end of May as Reagan did against Carter in 1980. At this point in 1980 Reagan was down by about 5%:
Posted on 05/10/2016 8:02:12 AM PDT by GonzoII
Democratic presidential front-runner Hillary Clinton leads presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump by just 4 points nationally, according to a poll released Tuesday that showed Republicans are rallying around Mr. Trump about as much as Democrats are unifying behind Mrs. Clinton.
Mrs. Clinton led Mr. Trump by a 42 percent to 38 percent margin in the poll from the Democratic-leaning firm Public Policy Polling, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 4 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 2 percent.
In a head-to-head match-up, Mrs. Clinton led Mr. Trump by 6 points, 47 percent to 41 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...
If this is where things stand before the general election has even started, she is going down to an historic defeat. Clinton ALWAYS underperforms the polls, often collapsing into the final week.
Vote Trump!
That last little bit is NOT insignificant.
We will know by November whether the United States will prevail over the decadence of Western Civilization or whether it will fall.
Which means Trump is probably up by about 1 when likely voters are considered.
True. There is no doubt some poll manipulation being done to keep her ahead above water. The Benghazi Scandal kabuki theater is the next thing to be played out to expose her and OBuzzard for the traitors they are. What we are seeing is that the NS community has the goods and is getting ready to play their hand.
PPP is a Democrat poll. but....see I told you folks, the pollsters were holding back their polls because Trump is about to overtake Hillary clinton for good on his successful quest to become POTUS!!! Obama......better call down to the Democrat Bullpen and get Joe “Plugs” Biden ready for the “Trump” political slaughter of the Democrat Party!!! JLA....he done “TOLD YA ALL, SO!!!!
When a candidate cannot muster more the a few supporters to a political rally, they are in deep hurt!!! When a candidate cannot overtake and defeat a 74 year old socialist/communist opponent (Bernie Sanders), who has more energy in his pinky finger, then HRC has in her entire body.....the clear handwriting of total failure for HRC, is on the wall.
Americans....all, kindly do not let your Mainstream Media lies fool you anymore, and couple that with the lies coming from both the Republican & Democrat Establishment political parties. Folks you have been had big time by all these clowns who used and abused every American citizen, no matter who they were or are!!!
The glaring fault of these polls concerning democrats is that the pollsters have never developed a workable algorithm to account for all of the dead people
and all of the virtual and imaginary voters who always turn out in force for the democrat candidate.
RV might be best for Trump with his cross-over appeal.
What we need to be doing is looking at the weightings for sex, race, location.
Not to mention that its way early. IIRC the early polls had Reagan down by double digits in ‘80, and Dukakis beating Bush I in ‘88 by almost 20 points in the early going. One of the warmest feelings I can remember was watching John Chancellor on NBC election night coverage saying over and over again as the Reagan landslide built, “Nobody predicted this kind of victory for Ronald Reagan.” I know that Trump isn’t Reagan, but the obverse is also true, Trump isn’t going to take any crap from Hillary or the ‘Rats.
Interestingly the polls this week show Hillary losing west Virginia by a landslide and Georgia, which the dems hoped would be competitive.
Trump is up solidly in Ohio.
PA and Florida are neck in neck at around 43/42 favoring Hillary by about 1 in each state.
What is needed now is republican unity and from there the Independents will come around.
All the high level Republicans who are with holding their endorsement such as Ryan, Cruz and Bush had better get on board or be drummed out of the party come June 7th. By then the delegate count and votes should show how strong trumps basic support is.
I hope Ryan goes down to a primary defeat in August.
With the MOE this poll is basically already a tie. Let's see if Trump gets past Hillary at the end of May as Reagan did against Carter in 1980. At this point in 1980 Reagan was down by about 5%:
Ha! They do, because those are the most likely voters of all!
It’s just they count them double for months and months, via “registered” voters, when they are trying to influence the election—and only pull back to the “likely” voters in the last week, so they can claim that their poll was accurate when squared with the final results.
This is YUGE news. I’ve been watching in horror as the Republican Party has been — in my opinion — squandering its best chance to put a conservative in the White House in 32 years. I’ve been praying I’m wrong.
Go, Trump, Go!
I heard Savage last week say that Dim turnout is down 3 million to Rep. This poll doesn’t carry very much import for me. I believe turnout will be the difference. Nobody is excited on the left, for good reason.
How many points swing do you think the debates will create?
What I find interesting is that Clinton has been underperforming her poll numbers in her primaries with Sanders, losing several where she was leading. Trump, on the other hand, has been over-performing his polls against multiple opponents by an average of about 5 points.
If that pattern holds in the Clinton-Trump match-ups, Trump could be significantly ahead.
I was curious why I did not see the usual grinning faces on TV this morning reciting the latest polls.
I guess I was alluding more to the earlier polls. At the beginning of the year Carter was way ahead, but Reagan closed the gap. I understand the dynamic is different this year. There isn’t any Iran hostage crisis weighing on the public mind every time they turned on the evening news. But there are plenty of other things Trump can turn against Hillary, who is basically tied to Obama head and foot. Family income down year after year, record numbers of people dropping out of the workforce, jobs lost to illegal immigrants and outsourced overseas. The Trump campaign has to figure out a way to get that out to the public, because the media sure won’t.
Where would these numbers be coming from ?
The performance of Trump in the primaries, and the individual voting records of each poll (being A LOT more voters than usual) is making big, big numbers for the anti-left.
On top of that, Bernie is making a big splash and his followers are even reporting going to Trump before going to Hillary.
Without doing the actual math, are we to believe that Hillary is picking up 6 times the amount of supporting votes than she had in 2008 - When she won the superdelegates against Obama ?
This is ludicrous !
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