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Robots Won't Replace Humans, They'll Simply Transform Their Work
Real Clear Markets ^ | July 12, 2016 | Arden Manning

Posted on 07/12/2016 5:11:29 AM PDT by expat_panama

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Related thread (It’s better than you think - Away from the shocking headlines, progress is improving human life) mentions that the Dallas cop-killer was taken out by a robot...
1 posted on 07/12/2016 5:11:30 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

Sure. I’d like to believe that, and to some extent it is true. But at what point does it no longer remain true as robots become more generalized and able?


2 posted on 07/12/2016 5:24:42 AM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults)
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To: expat_panama
"Arden Manning is the Senior Vice President at Yseop (www.yseop.com), an enterprise software company that provides an Artificial Intelligence platform which allows customers to develop AI applications autonomously."

Ahhh, so this is a sales pitch.

3 posted on 07/12/2016 5:25:28 AM PDT by Pietro
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To: expat_panama

Robot Bomb Repairman will certainly be a job of the future.


4 posted on 07/12/2016 5:25:45 AM PDT by Wolfie
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To: expat_panama

Dallas July 2016

Robots 1
Murderers 0


5 posted on 07/12/2016 5:26:02 AM PDT by bert ((K.E.; N.P.; GOPc;+12, 73, ....Opabinia can teach us a lot)
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To: expat_panama
Except for the small percentage who do the jobs that require innovation and independent thinking, I wonder where this is leading. Medicine has had a non-beneficial impact, in terms of Survival of the Fittest. Technology does so much for us that we don't need to think independently and be resourceful as much as our ancestors (and even us up to a few decades ago). Survival skills will pretty much die off when our generation is gone. The media controls the message so much that very few people dig for the facts.

The skills needed to survive today are different from what they were pre-technology. They're more involved with the ability to follow directions and procedures. They're not about respecting the wisdom or lessons of the past. The Luddite in me says that this is not a path that will get us past the threat of destruction of civilization as we know it.

6 posted on 07/12/2016 5:29:02 AM PDT by grania
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To: expat_panama

Robots will make some groups obsolete.


7 posted on 07/12/2016 5:30:30 AM PDT by Cowboy Bob
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To: expat_panama
Someday you can all be a battery for your robot overlords


8 posted on 07/12/2016 5:32:15 AM PDT by Donglalinger
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To: Wolfie

Until they can repair themselves.


9 posted on 07/12/2016 5:34:14 AM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults)
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To: Donglalinger
you can all be a battery for your robot overlords

--as long as I get to pick my overlord...


10 posted on 07/12/2016 5:42:05 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama
"Pardon me for breathing, which I never do anyway so I don't know why I bother to say it, oh God, I'm so depressed. Here's another one of those self-satisfied doors. Life! Don't talk to me about life."


11 posted on 07/12/2016 5:46:19 AM PDT by P.O.E. (Pray for America)
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To: grania
Technology does so much for us that we don't need to think independently

That may be a bit hard to quantify and back up.  What I'm seeing is a heck of a lot more independent thought as the internet/info-age has replaced the ABC-NBC-CBS news sources that we all used to listen to.

12 posted on 07/12/2016 5:46:59 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

If industrialization had, in fact, destroyed all those jobs and permanently put all those people out of work where would the customers be to buy the products of the machines? Same goes for modern robotics. If the government were to stay out of it all and the regulatory agencies would disappear with all their regulations and the onerous taxation of business were to go away we would see that the automation would proceed at a slower pace and the nature of work would shift and unemployment would decrease. The mechanization/automation frees up hands and minds to produce more and new things and services.


13 posted on 07/12/2016 5:51:26 AM PDT by arthurus
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To: P.O.E.
This is what people think robots look like...

 

.. but in real life they look like this:


14 posted on 07/12/2016 5:51:32 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama
More like this


15 posted on 07/12/2016 5:52:55 AM PDT by Donglalinger
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To: grania

‘Technology does so much for us that we don’t need to think independently and be resourceful as much as our ancestors (and even us up to a few decades ago). Survival skills will pretty much die off when our generation is gone.’’

That makes me think of James Burke’s excellent series ‘Connections’. One theme of which is that over-reliance on technology always working as expected can be risky. A lesson that preppers seem to intuitively know.


16 posted on 07/12/2016 5:53:07 AM PDT by Pelham (Barack Obama, representing Islam since 2008)
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To: Jonty30

gain the question- if automation steals all the jobs without replacement how do the companies that automate survive when there is no one who can afford to buy the product? How did we survive the original industrialization when all those weavers (and workers in the other trades) were replaced by machines?


17 posted on 07/12/2016 5:53:43 AM PDT by arthurus
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To: expat_panama

For all practical purposes Google Search = Artificial Intelligence. It replaces a Super Human Librarian with access to a Super Duper Library.

Has that taken away some jobs? I’m betting it has. Are we better off? You betcha.

The fear of technological innovation putting all of us out of a job is foolishness in the extreme. No work = No Customers = No Business = Total Collapse of the Economy. Does anyone believe that could/would happen? Not me.


18 posted on 07/12/2016 5:55:47 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Still a Cruz Fan but voting for Trump)
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To: Pietro

Bingo. We have a winner. Arden does not really have a job. A bot could certainly do the same thing. Nice bio. on your site.
He underestimates what AI will do eventually. The jackhammer replaced the sledge hammer but you still needed a human to operate it. We are close to the time when many manual jobs will be done by robots. Full disclosure, I taught computer engineering some years ago. It was getting weird even back then.
Robots in the near future will need a small number of “overseers” to manage them. Emphasis on small number.


19 posted on 07/12/2016 6:01:11 AM PDT by prof.h.mandingo
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To: Pietro

Manning is also a really, really bad writer. The Luddites were active in the early 19th century, not the early 1900s as he states redundantly in his second sentence. The third sentence is just gibberish, and then he misuses the phrase “begs the question” in the fourth. All this in the opening paragraph, and the rest of the piece is not much better.


20 posted on 07/12/2016 6:19:41 AM PDT by HartleyMBaldwin
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