Posted on 08/04/2016 8:36:29 AM PDT by usafa92
A post-convention bounce appears to have given Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton her biggest lead over Republican rival Donald Trump since June in our latest weekly White House Watch survey. This is the first update that includes both the Libertarian and Green Party candidates.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds Clinton with 44% support to Republican nominee Donald Trump’s 40%. Six percent (6%) prefer Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, while three percent (3%) back Green Party candidate Jill Stein. Another three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Clinton and Trump were virtually dead even over the previous two weeks. Support for Clinton ties its highest level in Rasmussen Reports tracking since October of last year. Trump reached a high of 44% support in mid-July. Support for Johnson is down slightly from a high of nine percent (9%) a month ago. This is the first survey to include Stein.
Seventy-two percent (72%) of Republicans now support Trump, down from 86% a week ago, while Clinton’s support among Democrats has risen from 79% last week to 82% this week. Fourteen percent (14%) of Republicans now prefer Clinton, while 11% of Democrats support Trump.
Trump once again leads Clinton among voters not affiliated with either party 41% to 29% after Clinton held a five-point lead a week ago. Johnson draws support from three percent (3%) of Republicans, two percent (2%) of Democrats and 14% of voters not affiliated with either party. Stein picks up five percent (5%) of the vote from unaffiliateds and just two percent (2%) support each from Republicans and Democrats.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 1-2, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Voters followed both national political conventions with equal interest but think Clinton benefited more from hers than Trump did from his. Clinton leads Trump 50% to 32% among women this week, a significantly larger gap from last week. Trump leads 49% to 37% among men, also a noticeable jump from a week ago.
Clinton has bounced back into contention in the key state of Nevada in a survey conducted after the convention. Voters are very suspicious about the 30,000 e-mails Clinton and her staff chose to delete and not turn over to the FBI and aren’t all together sure it would be a bad thing if Russia returned those e-mails to investigators here. The FBI has concluded that Clinton potentially exposed top secret information to hostile countries when she illegally used a private e-mail server as secretary of State. Most voters disagree with FBI Director James Comey’s decision not to seek a criminal indictment against the Democratic presidential nominee.
Despite complaints from progressives in her party, Clinton’s decision to make Virginia Senator Tim Kaine her running mate makes little difference to voters. Voters are strongly convinced that Bill Clinton will be involved in his wife’s policy decisions if she is elected to the White House this fall.
Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.
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Exactly right. If Republicans would just coalesce around Trump, he would win going away. He needs to have 3 months of no gaffes and those numbers will rise. Just a bunch of wobbly Republicans right now.
The good news is that these are people that are gettable.
Apparently the Republicans have low information voters, too.
You are they’re gettable? Have you seen the emotionally driven insanity of the never trump people?
I seriously think Trump might be better off trying to siphon off blue collar / union voters (which he ought to be doing anyway)
“Seventy-two percent (72%) of Republicans now support Trump, down from 86% a week ago”
They’re trying to demoralize the base with the media onslaught. That’s the entire problem - right leaning people becoming demoralized. We can save the USA - don’t get all weak kneed now! #MAGA
As soon as the Witch has to campaign again that deficit will evaporate. Stick with it, don’t give up, don’t let the leftists shame you into doing the wrong thing! It’s their only path to victory.
I no longer trust RasmussenReports, especially since it is lacking Rasmussen. It has taken a neck-jarring turn to the left in recent years.
Oh noes....the sky is falling. :0)
Noteworthy: “Seventy-two percent (72%) of Republicans now support Trump, down from 86% a week ago, while Clinton’s support among Democrats has risen from 79% last week to 82% this week. Fourteen percent (14%) of Republicans now prefer Clinton, while 11% of Democrats support Trump.”
The GOP-e is going to lose this election if they are slapped down hard.
Any comments here about the independent voters? It seems that Donald is doing even better with them now and I noticed that when I looked at Rasmussen earlier today.
Any comments here about the independent voters? It seems that Donald is doing even better with them now and I noticed that when I looked at Rasmussen earlier today.
He blew the lead with ill advised comments regardless if they were correct. Good news is that he had the lead. Can get again.
Trump is only getting 72% of the GOP vote.
Until that changes I will not be voting GOP down ticket. Politics is a two way street in my book. IF the GOPe want Trumpers support/votes they need to support Trump. Period.
At the end of the day, I think Trump will get around 85% of the Republican vote. There are those who are wobbly right now, but when election day rolls around, they will come on board. Right now Trump is going through a bad stretch. This campaign will be a roller coaster.
This poll and the USC/LA Times one are probably give a more accurate idea of where the race is at right now.
Call it the Khan effect from the media.
Within the margin of error, which makes this a tie. To me this is good news, especially in light of how badly the media is bashing Trump.
Bingo. Liberals are ruthless. The problem is the GOP. As a party they don’t deserve to win.
The treason and mass suicide among republicans this week was pathetic.
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