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Two ways Trump wins — or loses
The Washington Examiner ^ | September 17, 2016 | W. James Antle III

Posted on 09/17/2016 5:23:36 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Donald Trump's path to 270 in the Electoral College — the number of votes he needs to be elected president — became smoother this week, but obstacles remain with less than two months to go in the race for the White House.

Trump is now tied with or ahead of Hillary Clinton in several recent reputable national polls. More important is the Republican's steady gains in the battleground states. Trump is now leading in the RealClearPolitics polling average in three states Barack Obama carried in 2012: Ohio, Florida and Iowa.

An Emerson College poll found Trump leading in Colorado, a state that was thought to be out of the Republicans' reach this year, especially with the New York businessman at the top of the ticket. Trump's lead is just outside the margin for error...

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; hillary; polls; trump
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1 posted on 09/17/2016 5:23:37 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

He’s going to win Ohio, Fl, NC, Va, maine, Michigan, Penn. It’s going to be a landslide. Mark my words and make me eat my hat if I’m wrong. He’s just beginning to consolidate these victories.


2 posted on 09/17/2016 5:29:51 PM PDT by Combat_Liberalism
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Here's one electoral opinion about Trump's surge for the electoral college votes. It will probably be known by 8 PM ET on election day, if either NH, PA, or VA go to Trump giving him the needed 270. Of course, must-wins are FL and OH.


3 posted on 09/17/2016 5:31:24 PM PDT by Carl Vehse
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To: Combat_Liberalism

Mainstream media to throw hissy fits and blow hysterical gushers before it’s over. Heads will roll among the liberal elite media.


4 posted on 09/17/2016 5:31:46 PM PDT by Combat_Liberalism
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To: Combat_Liberalism

Yeah, it will be Reagan 80 all over again.


5 posted on 09/17/2016 5:33:18 PM PDT by struggle (The)
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To: Carl Vehse

Trump will win CO, MI, NH, PA and VA.

319 EV looks like a good night. That’s on top of 266 votes. NH alone will put him over the top.


6 posted on 09/17/2016 5:36:41 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: Carl Vehse
This is how I have my map at present.

Trump is already at 277 with a lot of upside still.

I have NY, CT and NJ as tossups right now, along with VA, MI, WI, CO and WA. I believe Trump has OH and FL.

7 posted on 09/17/2016 5:40:37 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (It is a wise man who rules by the polls but it is a fool who is ruled by them)
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To: SamAdams76

DC should be Blue. Its a guaranteed Hillary lock.

Always goes Democratic - so she has 131 EV not 128.


8 posted on 09/17/2016 5:43:27 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: goldstategop

Yes, I forget about marking DC. Just a tiny speck on the map!


9 posted on 09/17/2016 5:45:00 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (It is a wise man who rules by the polls but it is a fool who is ruled by them)
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To: SamAdams76

Yup.

And looking at state polls under 3%, CO, WI, MI and VA look now like prime Trump pick-ups.

If he can get his voters out to the polls in those states, he should easily overcome Hillary’s razor-thin lead.


10 posted on 09/17/2016 5:47:50 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Anyone notice that in virtually prognostication type articles, they always reference how Trump is winning or losing and never ever how hillary is winning or losing. Why is that? It’s all about Trump, all the time (not that I’m complaining).


11 posted on 09/17/2016 5:54:12 PM PDT by lafroste
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
These articles are a reprise of all the "He won't/he can't get to 1270" in the primaries. He got 1725.

Sorry, but 270 is going to be a cakewalk.

12 posted on 09/17/2016 5:56:21 PM PDT by M. Thatcher
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To: goldstategop
I'm holding back on calling those for now but like you, I feel confident Trump will pick those states up. I feel especially good I was able to get Trump over 270 without PA, CO, WI, MI, and VA - which we both think he will win. Even if you move NH to a toss-up on my map, Trump will still have 273.

Also, people think I'm nuts for saying this, but I think he's got a shot at the tri-state area of NY, CT and NJ as well. That is why I did not call those for Crooked Hillary.

Trump is a true New Yorker and I think he'll do far better than projected in that state along with neighboring CT and NJ, which let's face it, are mostly bedroom communities for NYC!

13 posted on 09/17/2016 5:57:56 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (It is a wise man who rules by the polls but it is a fool who is ruled by them)
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To: M. Thatcher
These articles are a reprise of all the "He won't/he can't get to 1237" in the primaries. He got 1725.

Let's not forget. It was only back in April when ALL the know-it-all pundits were confidently telling us that Trump had "no path" to the 1237 delegates needed.

No path. That's what they were telling us. It was going to be a "contested convention" and Cruz was going to win because he had the "ground game" and understood all the rules of the delegate game.

And this here Free Republic was imploding in much wailing and gnashing of teeth.

As you point out, Trump ended up with 1700+ and the nomination was a cakewalk.

Trump is going to do far better than 270 EC's in the general election. He knows what he is doing and more importantly, he WANTS to win.

14 posted on 09/17/2016 6:03:36 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (It is a wise man who rules by the polls but it is a fool who is ruled by them)
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To: SamAdams76

NY is winnable - Trump has big leads upstate and in the downstate collar counties.

NYC is always the 800 lb gorilla in the room. Hillary needs to be held down to 60-65% out of NYC for him to win the state.

Tough but doable. Hillary’s support is so soft there an upset is quite possible.

Why? Her national numbers are underwater.


15 posted on 09/17/2016 6:07:47 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: SamAdams76

Agree totally. I like it that the smug experts aren’t up to speed. This means 1) they aren’t preparing for the actual state of play, and 2) their tears of shock and dismay are going to be exponentially more satisfying to witness.


16 posted on 09/17/2016 6:11:15 PM PDT by M. Thatcher
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Undecideds are breaking now for Trump....everyone who was ever for him hasn’t left him. Contrast that to Clinton. She’s got a few die hard supporters but given a choice between exciting unique Trump and same ol’ crabby Clinton most for her are either going to vote trump or stay home.


17 posted on 09/17/2016 6:13:04 PM PDT by DouglasKC
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To: goldstategop
Trump needs to bring out the fact that the more people get to know Hillary the more they dislike her.

I find it great that in Arkansas, where Bill was Governor of Arkansas (1979–81 and 1983–92), the Arkansas Attorney General from 1977 to 1979 and Hillary was first lady, Trump is up by 28 points.

That says a lot about Hillary.

18 posted on 09/17/2016 6:41:55 PM PDT by tired&retired (Blessings)
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To: tired&retired

Here is why Trumps ahead. Hillary now has to spend money to build firewalls. Where Clintons campaign went wrong is they thought everything Obama turned blue would stay that way. Traditional red states that went Obama was an anomaly. Trump is taking back the red and hitting blue states.

Hillary now has to defend blue states which will cost millions. For Trump, he needs to open another front. Maybe after this week, go into NY. He is the native and Clinton is the carpetbagger. Have a rally right outside of her Brooklyn headquarters. Add insult to injury,ala Alinsky.


19 posted on 09/17/2016 7:24:42 PM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Trump will win New York.)
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To: DouglasKC
Undecideds are breaking now for Trump..

The ridicule in the wake of the "basket of deplorables" and the large number of people signing up to call themselves deplorable, has helped let people know it's ok to stand up and be counted. I doubt there are many folks who lie and say they will vote for Trump when they won't. But there are a lot who will say they are voting for Hillary when they won't. It's an act of bravery to suggest even that you are undecided.

20 posted on 09/17/2016 7:26:27 PM PDT by AndyJackson
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