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The USC Dornsife / LA Times Presidential Election "Daybreak" Poll (T-47.8 C-41.1)
http://cesrusc.org/election/ ^

Posted on 09/19/2016 5:25:54 AM PDT by RoosterRedux

As of 09/18/2016...

Trump 47.8%

Clinton 41.1%

(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; elections; polls; trump; trumplandslidecoming
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1 posted on 09/19/2016 5:25:54 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
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To: RoosterRedux

50% on the horizon !


2 posted on 09/19/2016 5:26:57 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (You can't spell Hillary without using the letters L, I, A, R)
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To: hoosiermama; onyx; Jane Long; V K Lee; RitaOK; Black Agnes; nopardons; PennsylvaniaMom; Fai Mao; ...

Big spread and holding. Gotta see this poll.


3 posted on 09/19/2016 5:27:12 AM PDT by RoosterRedux (Einstein: I live in that solitude which is painful in youth, but delicious in the years of maturity)
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To: RoosterRedux

Trump breaks out above the error region....WHOOO...HOOO....DING ...DING


4 posted on 09/19/2016 5:29:07 AM PDT by spokeshave (In the Thatch Weave,..Trump's Wing Man is Truth.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009; RoosterRedux

50 percent just happened saturday night and last night.

Got an emergency cell phone imminent danger alert about some piece of #### muslim (redundant) on the run in NYC.

call 911 if you see him.

AFTER I beat him bloody, i’d call 911.


5 posted on 09/19/2016 5:29:18 AM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: RoosterRedux

I see Obama says we are polarized, racist, sexist, whatever other -ist they can gin up. But seriously, does anyone but losing Democrats care that Clinton is female, or any of that BS? Reflecting on the election to day, I see really no mention whatsoever about Clinton’s gender and when I do, it is raised by Clinton and her supporters. The rest of us could really care less. This, is something worth noting and celebrating in the election—we are going to elect or not elect Clinton on the merits. Nice.


6 posted on 09/19/2016 5:31:41 AM PDT by Reno89519 (It is very simple, Trump/Pence or Clinton/Kaine. Good riddance Lyn' Ted, we regret ever knowing you)
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To: RoosterRedux

EXCELLENT!!

50% within reach!


7 posted on 09/19/2016 5:33:42 AM PDT by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: RoosterRedux

He’ll hit 50 or above after the first debate on the 26th. Maybe even before that, once people have time to react to several terrorist attacks over the weekend. Clinton looked like she was about ready to pass out when she was being asked about them.


8 posted on 09/19/2016 5:34:06 AM PDT by euram
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To: RoosterRedux

Chris Stirewalt says FOX doesn’t include the LATimes poll because they poll the same 3000 people over & over again


9 posted on 09/19/2016 5:34:25 AM PDT by KavMan
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Agreed, this poll is a seven day moving average so I think we can anticipate the margin to continue increase.


10 posted on 09/19/2016 5:35:34 AM PDT by GT Vander (Life's priorities; God, Family, Country. Everything else is just details...)
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Terrorism used to help Republicans, but the media treats Obama as being good on terrorism. I hope the American people see Trump’s policies as being better than Obama’s and Hillary’s.


11 posted on 09/19/2016 5:37:34 AM PDT by TakebackGOP
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To: RoosterRedux

It looks like time for NBC to do a poll showing Hillary up 17 points and lil Natie Silver to say Trump has a 4% chance of winning.


12 posted on 09/19/2016 5:38:29 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: RoosterRedux
"Big spread and holding. Gotta see this poll."

Good results over a weekend. Republicans tend to not poll well on weekends since they are out doing stuff and not home to answer the phone.

13 posted on 09/19/2016 5:38:53 AM PDT by lstanle
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To: RoosterRedux
A very interesting change to that 95%-confidence gray area started today:

Update: As of Monday September 19th, the Daybreak Poll’s charts will reflect a change in the way we compute the "area of uncertainty" represented by the gray band in each chart. This change means that candidate votes that are about 5 or 6 percentage points apart will be shown to be statistically significant (depending on sample size and how much variation there is in the voting). Our previous calculations required an interval of +/5.5 percentage points for significance in our election forecast, which we have determined was too conservative. We have adjusted the interval in the charts, and in the data provided in the poll’s csv files accordingly.

14 posted on 09/19/2016 5:39:35 AM PDT by jiggyboy (Ten percent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
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To: KavMan

I think he’s incorrect. I think these guys have a pool of 3000, and they pick 400 every day.


15 posted on 09/19/2016 5:40:46 AM PDT by jiggyboy (Ten percent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
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To: KavMan

Chris Stirewalt has limited brain function


16 posted on 09/19/2016 5:42:14 AM PDT by Mjreagan
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To: KavMan

Riiight. Like they wouldn’t include it if the result showed PIAPS / Baroness Harkkonen ahead...


17 posted on 09/19/2016 5:42:48 AM PDT by HombreSecreto (The life of a repo man is always intense)
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To: RoosterRedux

18 posted on 09/19/2016 5:42:55 AM PDT by orchestra ((And there were also two other, malefactors, led with him to be put to death.))
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To: dp0622

The random bombs incite fear, but the aftermath of being inconvenienced by transportation basically being shut down in and out of the city incites anger. The interruption in productivity costs millions of $$$ and also takes an emotional toll, as you are experiencing.

Where is the threshold of tolerance for this nonsense? When are those who make excuses for it going to be held accountable? Who knows?


19 posted on 09/19/2016 5:43:56 AM PDT by randita
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To: RoosterRedux

Aren’t these the same numbers from yesterday?


20 posted on 09/19/2016 5:45:14 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (It is a wise man who rules by the polls but it is a fool who is ruled by them)
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