Posted on 09/25/2016 4:52:24 PM PDT by mandaladon
NEW YORK CITY, New York — Republican nominee for president Donald J. Trump has taken the lead in Colorado and maintains his lead in Ohio, two new Breitbart News Network/Gravis Marketing polls released on Sunday show. The promising polls for Trump come just before the all-important debate an hour from here on Monday night, at Hofstra University on Long Island.
In Colorado, a swing state with 9 electoral votes, Trump leads Democratic nominee Hillary Rodham Clinton by 4 points—outside the survey’s 3.5 percent margin of error. Trump, at 41 percent, leads Clinton—who has just 37 percent. Libertarian Gary Johnson takes 6 percent and Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party takes 6 percent, and 10 percent of the voters polled are undecided. The poll, conducted from Sept. 22 to Sept. 23, surveyed 799 registered voters in Colorado.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
PA will follow soon too.
Nate Silver currently disagrees. Once he gets on board it'll be over fur sure.
Has anyone bothered polling New Mexico?
Winning despite John McKasich, or is it Arlen Kasich?
KICK HER CRIMINAL ASS!!
Thus, a 4 point lead is not outside the margin of error, because Trump could actually be up to 3.5 points lower, and Hillary could be up to 3.5 points higher.
That's the way I've always understood the MOE to function on such polls.
In any event, if Trump is close, or even up, in states like Colorado, that's a very good sign for him moving into October...
Vote Trump!
Nate will hold out for Clinton and the Democrats as long as he can. Otherwise he loses his paying audience and career.
I think NM is going to be a bridge too far for Trump because Johnson is going to suck up just enough votes to “prop Hillary up.”
That’s because he’s not (conveniently) counting THIS poll.
His last two polls, YouGov and Quinnipac, have Hillary up a combined 1.5 points. WELL within the margin of error from his last two.
I think the Cruz endorsement might be helping...
I think Johnson and Stein trap more disgruntled Bernie votes than any “Trump - the other 15” followers.
Silver hasn’t factored this one in yet—give him a couple of hours. This won’t close his gap entirely, but should be good for a 3-5% boost in Colorado, and hopefully push Trump above 43% in polls-plus.
SIlver’s model is a decent statistician model, which means topping 80% is unlikely for anyone unless something approaching total collapse is happening.
FWIW-—on this date in 2012, Silver had Mittensat 20.3%. He continued to decline until the first debate, and did pick up some steam, but never topped 40% after June 3rd, and never was as high as Trump is now.
GOOD!!!!!! Stick this up your butt Hitlery!!!
And why little Natie is a liberal shill and cannot be objective.
The dude is smart he doesn’t want to end up in the park with a bullet between his eyes!!
Bosch, is that you?
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