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National Reuters/Ipsos Poll - Cankles lead cut to 4
RCP/Reuters ^ | 10/19/2016 | Reuters

Posted on 10/19/2016 7:27:45 AM PDT by rb22982

Washington, DC- Three weeks out from election day the Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Clinton’s bump from the last week or so receding just in time for the third debate. The effects of Trump’s “hot mike” incident and second debate performance appear to have subsided somewhat, and the election has reverted back to pre-debate levels

Hillary Clinton continues to lead Donald Trump among likely voters, though her lead has shrunk to 4 percentage points, with Clinton at 43% to Trump at 39%.


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; clinton; poll; reutersipsos; trump
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RCP has the gory details here.

Good move towards Trump in this poll - was +7 last week - looks fairly consistent with the earlier WaPo poll. Trump is also only getting 77-78% of Republicans at this point - if he gets that to 90%, should be game over for Hillary.

1 posted on 10/19/2016 7:27:45 AM PDT by rb22982
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To: rb22982

He doesn’t need 90. 85 and he’s in. The disgraceful Never-Trumpers are reprehensible.

Yesterday, Bill Kristol and others re-tweeted polls showing Eff McMuffin being near the top and praising him. Now.. he’s in very few states. What’s the end game for him, when he can’t be Pres? To take UT away from Trump (won’t happen). He is there SOLELY to help Crooked win. Think about that for a moment!?!? They claim to be conservatives, and are not only against Trump, they are actively campaigning to elect Hillary. Just beyond disgusting


2 posted on 10/19/2016 7:32:17 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!l)
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To: rb22982

Dems +14 in this poll. Sure.!!


3 posted on 10/19/2016 7:32:25 AM PDT by Murp (!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)
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To: rb22982

Hillary is back to her max of 42%.

If Trump puts its away tonight, he will be our next President.

Let’s not overly worry about the polls.

Turnout will decide the difference in November.


4 posted on 10/19/2016 7:33:30 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: Murp

D +14 and Hillary is up only 4+?

She’s in deep trouble - not going to anywhere near that in November.


5 posted on 10/19/2016 7:35:01 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: rb22982

Trump will get more than 39%.

Pray America wakes


6 posted on 10/19/2016 7:35:02 AM PDT by bray (Because you would be in jail)
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To: rb22982

Yup. This thing is narrowing again. Only four points is within the margin of error.

More Wikileaks dumps this morning OCT 19, and now another woman has come forward saying Bill Clinton sexually assaulted her and groped her. I really do not want to focus on that, but heck, the Hillary campaign started all this and the current Bill Clinton accuser’s testimony is much more credible than that “airplane lady” accusing Trump. Some say Bill Clinton isn’t running for President - in fact he is and is part of the entire Hillary package and includes Paul Ryan. But we don’t need to be told Bill Clinton is also running for President because we have him on video at a Hillary rally saying he is running for President on her behalf. And of course, Bill Clinton WILL be running things as part of the team along with all the corporate insiders and the crony capitalist connections of his.


7 posted on 10/19/2016 7:36:07 AM PDT by ShivaFan
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To: goldstategop

Agreed


8 posted on 10/19/2016 7:36:12 AM PDT by rb22982
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To: goldstategop

I thought when I saw this they would have adjusted the Dem weighting down from last week but it is the same!
That means in this poll he has picked up 3-4% since last week.
The trend is definitely good from week to week in this poll.
Also, the Obama approval is skewed.


9 posted on 10/19/2016 7:37:16 AM PDT by SteveO87
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To: rb22982

This is not a poll, is it a joke, it is clearly psy-ops:

D 40
R 26
Other 34

There is no place in this universe, that the party split will be anything like this. And, the witch is only +4? LOL

Trump wins going away based on this poll.


10 posted on 10/19/2016 7:37:45 AM PDT by rigelkentaurus
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To: rb22982

Hillary at 43%. Her ceiling is in the mid-forties at best. Of course this race is winnable for Trump. Hillary is essentially the incumbent (the third term of Obama) yet she is mired in the low to mid-forties. There is no way Johnson and Stein are getting the percentages they are polling. They will be lucky to get 5% of the vote together.


11 posted on 10/19/2016 7:38:06 AM PDT by kabar
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To: goldstategop

I have “felt” (in one can feel through the TV screen...) that Obama seems especially prickly lately. I firmly believe they are very rattled.


12 posted on 10/19/2016 7:39:46 AM PDT by PghBaldy (12/14 - 930am -rampage begins... 12/15 - 1030am - Obama's advance team scouts photo-op locations.)
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To: All

the new news meme is “third debates do not matter”

must really suck for chris “gotcha” Wallace and fox news.

they were given the crumb of the third debate because it had no relevance.

the fix was in.


13 posted on 10/19/2016 7:40:48 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: PghBaldy

Now begins the tightening.


14 posted on 10/19/2016 7:41:42 AM PDT by Tuxedo (The few, the proud, the deplorable...)
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

“The disgraceful Never-Trumpers are reprehensible.”

Agreed. I still believe Trump will win, but if we end up with President Hillary I’m going to prune many, many people from my email contacts and Facebook. Their holier-than-thou anti-Trump stuff has been sickening.


15 posted on 10/19/2016 7:45:10 AM PDT by Kharis13 (That noise you hear is our Founding Fathers spinning in their graves.)
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

could mccains own ground game be working against trump and for her Swamp Thighs?


16 posted on 10/19/2016 7:45:37 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: rb22982; goldstategop; LS; Windflier
+14 Dems

REALLY Reuters?

What were Ubama's margin again?

I don't care what happens she is NOT getting +14 D's.

Although, maybe they DO factor in the cheating that goes in their samples. Since that rabbit hole has been proved to go Deep!

17 posted on 10/19/2016 7:45:56 AM PDT by KC_Lion (Control the Media, Control the Mind)
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To: kabar

Also, the incumbent party candidate of the two term president leaving office has their success linked in some ways to the outgoing president’s approval rating. In this poll it is 50-45 approval for Obama but, again, with Dem +14 over sample I would have to think his approval would be well under 50 with a more representative sample of maybe Dem +3 or so.


18 posted on 10/19/2016 7:47:42 AM PDT by SteveO87
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To: rigelkentaurus

“There is no place in this universe, that the party split will be anything like this.”

Santa Monica


19 posted on 10/19/2016 7:49:40 AM PDT by vooch ( y)
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To: Murp
D+14

Doesn't this oversampling and poll skewering serve as Sominex to the Democratic base?

20 posted on 10/19/2016 7:50:33 AM PDT by JonPreston
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